Where Did All the Growth Go? External Shocks, Social Conflict, and Growth Collapses
This article argues that domestic social conflicts are a key to understanding why growth rates lack persistence and why so many countries have experienced a growth collapse since the mid-1970s. It emphasizes, in particular, the manner in which social conflicts interact with external shock on the one hand, and the domestic institutions of conflict-management on the other. Econometric evidence provides support for this hypothesis. Countries that experienced the sharpest drops in growth after 1975 were those with divided societies (as measured by indicators of inequality, ethnic fragmentation, and the like) and with weak institutions of conflict management (proxied by indicators of the quality of governmental institutions, rule of law, democratic rights, and social safety nets). Copyright 1999 by Kluwer Academic Publishers
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Volume (Year): 4 (1999)
Issue (Month): 4 (December)
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- Robert E. Hall & Charles I. Jones, 1996.
"The Productivity of Nations,"
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5812, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- John F. Helliwell, 1992.
"Empirical Linkages Between Democracy and Economic Growth,"
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4066, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Helliwell, John F., 1994. "Empirical Linkages Between Democracy and Economic Growth," British Journal of Political Science, Cambridge University Press, vol. 24(02), pages 225-248, April.
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