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Estimation of Actual and potential adoption rates and determinants of a new technology not universally known in the population: The case of NERICA rice varieties in Guinea

Author

Listed:
  • Diagne, Aliou
  • Sogbossi, Marie-Josee
  • Simtowe, Franklin
  • Diawara, Sekou
  • Diallo, Abdoulaye Sadio
  • Barry, Alpha Bacar

Abstract

The NERICA (New Rice for Africa) rice varieties, developed by the Africa Rice Center during the 1990s, are providing hopes for raising the productivity of upland rice farmers in Africa because of their reported high yield potential and adaptability to the African conditions. The varieties are new and not widely disseminated in farming communities and there is lot of interest in the donor community in knowing their potential for widespread adoption across sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). However, when a technology is new and the target population is not universally exposed it, the observed sample adoption rate and classical models of adoption widely used in adoption studies does not inform reliably on its potential adoption and constraint to it in the full population. The paper uses the Average Treatment Effect (ATE) estimation framework and data from a sample of 1467 rice farmers in Guinea to document the actual and potential adoption rates of NERICA varieties and their determinants in Guinea, a country reported to have seen the largest number of adopting farmers among the SSA countries. The results of the analysis indicate that only 37% of the sample households were exposed to NERICA rice varieties in 2001 and that 20% of the sampled rice farmers adopted NERICA The potential adoption rate for the population is estimated at 61% with the adoption gap (difference between the 61% potential adoption rate and the 20% actual adoption rate) resulting from the incomplete exposure of the population to the NERICA varieties estimated at 41%. The findings suggest a relatively large unmet demand for the NERICA varieties in Guinea that justify investment in its further dissemination in Guinea.

Suggested Citation

  • Diagne, Aliou & Sogbossi, Marie-Josee & Simtowe, Franklin & Diawara, Sekou & Diallo, Abdoulaye Sadio & Barry, Alpha Bacar, 2009. "Estimation of Actual and potential adoption rates and determinants of a new technology not universally known in the population: The case of NERICA rice varieties in Guinea," 2009 Conference, August 16-22, 2009, Beijing, China 51644, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
  • Handle: RePEc:ags:iaae09:51644
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.51644
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Agboh-Noameshie, Afiavi R. & Kinkingninhoun-Medagbe, Florent M. & Diagne, Aliou, 2008. "Gendered impact of NERICA Adoption on Farmers’ Production and Income in Central Benin," 2007 Second International Conference, August 20-22, 2007, Accra, Ghana 52082, African Association of Agricultural Economists (AAAE).
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    3. Adekambi, Souleimane Adeyemi & Diagne, Aliou & Simtowe, Franklin & Biaou, Gauthier, 2009. "The Impact of Agricultural Technology Adoption on Poverty: The case of NERICA rice varieties in Benin," 2009 Conference, August 16-22, 2009, Beijing, China 51645, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    4. Lee, Myoung-jae, 2005. "Micro-Econometrics for Policy, Program and Treatment Effects," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780199267699.
    5. Yoko KIJIMA & Dick SSERUNKUUMA & Keijiro OTSUKA, 2006. "How Revolutionary Is The “Nerica Revolution”? Evidence From Uganda," The Developing Economies, Institute of Developing Economies, vol. 44(2), pages 252-267, June.
    6. Florent Kinkingninhoun-Mêdagbé & Aliou Diagne & Franklin Simtowe & Afiavi Agboh-Noameshie & Patrice Adégbola, 2010. "Gender discrimination and its impact on income, productivity, and technical efficiency: evidence from Benin," Agriculture and Human Values, Springer;The Agriculture, Food, & Human Values Society (AFHVS), vol. 27(1), pages 57-69, March.
    7. Yoko Kijima & Keijiro Otsuka & Dick Sserunkuuma, 2008. "Assessing the impact of NERICA on income and poverty in central and western Uganda," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 38(3), pages 327-337, May.
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    1. Ouédraogo, Mathieu & Dakouo, Dona, 2017. "Evaluation de l'adoption des variétés de riz NERICA dans l'Ouest du Burkina Faso," African Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, African Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 12(1), March.
    2. Tomonori Yokouchi & Kazuki Saito, 2016. "Factors affecting farmers’ adoption of NERICA upland rice varieties: the case of a seed producing village in central Benin," Food Security: The Science, Sociology and Economics of Food Production and Access to Food, Springer;The International Society for Plant Pathology, vol. 8(1), pages 197-209, February.
    3. Tomonori Yokouchi & Kazuki Saito, 2016. "Factors affecting farmers’ adoption of NERICA upland rice varieties: the case of a seed producing village in central Benin," Food Security: The Science, Sociology and Economics of Food Production and Access to Food, Springer;The International Society for Plant Pathology, vol. 8(1), pages 197-209, February.

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