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EU wide regional impacts of climate change

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  • Shrestha, Shailesh
  • Himics, Mihaly
  • Van Doorslaer, Benjamin
  • Ciaian, Pavel

Abstract

The current paper investigates the medium term impact of climate changes on EU agriculture. We employ CAPRI partial equilibrium modelling framework. The results indicate that within the EU, there will be both winners and losers, with some regions benefitting from climate change, while other regions suffering losses in production and welfare. In general, there are relatively small market effects at the EU aggregate. For example, the value of total agricultural income, land use and welfare change by approximately between -0.3% and 2%. However, there is a stronger impact at regional level with the effects increase by a factor higher than 10 relative to the aggregate EU impacts. The price adjustments reduce the response of agricultural sector to climate change in particular with respect to production and income changes.

Suggested Citation

  • Shrestha, Shailesh & Himics, Mihaly & Van Doorslaer, Benjamin & Ciaian, Pavel, 2012. "EU wide regional impacts of climate change," 123rd Seminar, February 23-24, 2012, Dublin, Ireland 122546, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
  • Handle: RePEc:ags:eaa123:122546
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    File URL: http://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/122546/files/Shrestha.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Torbjörn Jansson & Thomas Heckelei, 2011. "Estimating a Primal Model of Regional Crop Supply in the European Union," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 62(1), pages 137-152, February.
    2. Darwin, Roy & Tsigas, Marinos E. & Lewandrowski, Jan & Raneses, Anton, 1995. "World Agriculture and Climate Change: Economic Adaptations," Agricultural Economics Reports 33933, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
    3. Quiroga, Sonia & Iglesias, Ana, 2009. "A comparison of the climate risks of cereal, citrus, grapevine and olive production in Spain," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 101(1-2), pages 91-100, June.
    4. Ana Iglesias & Luis Garrote & Sonia Quiroga & Marta Moneo, 2009. "Impacts of climate change in agriculture in Europe. PESETA-Agriculture study," JRC Working Papers JRC55386, Joint Research Centre (Seville site).
    5. repec:eee:ecomod:v:220:y:2009:i:11:p:1395-1410 is not listed on IDEAS
    6. repec:ipt:wpaper:055386 is not listed on IDEAS
    7. Beach, Robert H. & Thomson, Allison M. & McCarl, Bruce A., 2010. "Climate Change Impacts On Us Agriculture," 2010: Climate Change in World Agriculture: Mitigation, Adaptation, Trade and Food Security, June 2010, Stuttgart-Hohenheim, Germany 91393, International Agricultural Trade Research Consortium.
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    Keywords

    Risk and Uncertainty;

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