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The Effects of Climate Change on Agriculture

Author

Listed:
  • Francesco Bosello
  • Jian Zhang

Abstract

The economy implications that climate change holds for agricultural sectors in 2050 are estimated using a static computable general equilibrium model. A peculiar feature of this exercise is the interfacing of the economic model with a climate model forecasting temperature increase in the relevant year and a crop-growth model estimating climate change impact on cereal productivity. The main results of the study show, on one hand, the limited influence of climate change on world food supply and welfare, but, on the other hand, its important distributional consequences, the negative effects being concentrated mainly on the developing countries. The simulation exercise is introduced by a broad overview of the relevant literature.

Suggested Citation

  • Francesco Bosello & Jian Zhang, 2006. "The Effects of Climate Change on Agriculture," QA - Rivista dell'Associazione Rossi-Doria, Associazione Rossi Doria, issue 1, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:rar:journl:0032
    as

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    File URL: http://www.francoangeli.it/riviste/Scheda_Riviste.asp?IDArticolo=26824&Tipo=Articolo%20PDF
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Darwin, Roy & Tsigas, Marinos E. & Lewandrowski, Jan & Raneses, Anton, 1995. "World Agriculture and Climate Change: Economic Adaptations," Agricultural Economic Reports 33933, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
    2. Hertel, Thomas, 1997. "Global Trade Analysis: Modeling and applications," GTAP Books, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Department of Agricultural Economics, Purdue University, number 7685, December.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Ding, Yimin & Wang, Weiguang & Song, Ruiming & Shao, Quanxi & Jiao, Xiyun & Xing, Wanqiu, 2017. "Modeling spatial and temporal variability of the impact of climate change on rice irrigation water requirements in the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River, China," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 193(C), pages 89-101.
    2. Xu Luo & Hong S. He & Yu Liang & Jacob S. Fraser & Jialin Li, 2018. "Mitigating the Effects of Climate Change through Harvesting and Planting in Boreal Forests of Northeastern China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(10), pages 1-20, October.
    3. Fátima Gonçalves & Cristina Carlos & Luís Crespo & Vera Zina & Amália Oliveira & Juliana Salvação & José Alberto Pereira & Laura Torres, 2021. "Soil Arthropods in the Douro Demarcated Region Vineyards: General Characteristics and Ecosystem Services Provided," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(14), pages 1-35, July.
    4. Shuaishuai Li & Jiahua Zhang & Sha Zhang & Yun Bai & Dan Cao & Tiantian Cheng & Zhongtai Sun & Qi Liu & Til Prasad Pangali Sharma, 2021. "Impacts of Future Climate Changes on Spatio-Temporal Distribution of Terrestrial Ecosystems over China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(6), pages 1-27, March.
    5. Zhenhuan Liu & Guojie Zhang & Peng Yang, 2016. "Geographical Variation of Climate Change Impact on Rice Yield in the Rice-Cropping Areas of Northeast China during 1980–2008," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 8(7), pages 1-12, July.
    6. Wang, Weiguang & Yu, Zhongbo & Zhang, Wei & Shao, Quanxi & Zhang, Yiwei & Luo, Yufeng & Jiao, Xiyun & Xu, Junzeng, 2014. "Responses of rice yield, irrigation water requirement and water use efficiency to climate change in China: Historical simulation and future projections," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 146(C), pages 249-261.
    7. Surender Kumar & Madhu Khanna, 2023. "Distributional heterogeneity in climate change impacts and adaptation: Evidence from Indian agriculture," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 54(2), pages 147-160, March.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Climate Change; Computable General Equilibrium Models; Agriculture;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D58 - Microeconomics - - General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium - - - Computable and Other Applied General Equilibrium Models
    • C68 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computable General Equilibrium Models
    • N50 - Economic History - - Agriculture, Natural Resources, Environment and Extractive Industries - - - General, International, or Comparative
    • Q54 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Climate; Natural Disasters and their Management; Global Warming

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