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Rainfall Variability and its Impact on Dryland Cropping in Victoria

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  • Wimalasuriya, Rukman
  • Ha, Arthur
  • Tsafack, Esther
  • Larson, Kristoffer

Abstract

Conventional wisdom holds that rainfall variability represents a significant source of agriculture production risk. Surprisingly, there have been very few economic analyses exploring the link between rainfall variability and agriculture production. This paper is intended to investigate the factual basis of this assumption and to inform future government policy in such areas as drought, climate change adaptation and water policy. We investigate whether rainfall variability has had an actual impact on agricultural production, specifically dryland cropping in Victorian regions during the period 1982-83 to 2004-05.

Suggested Citation

  • Wimalasuriya, Rukman & Ha, Arthur & Tsafack, Esther & Larson, Kristoffer, 2008. "Rainfall Variability and its Impact on Dryland Cropping in Victoria," 2008 Conference (52nd), February 5-8, 2008, Canberra, Australia 6000, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:aare08:6000
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.6000
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Barrios, Salvador & Ouattara, Bazoumana & Strobl, Eric, 2008. "The impact of climatic change on agricultural production: Is it different for Africa?," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 33(4), pages 287-298, August.
    2. Harwood, Joy L. & Heifner, Richard G. & Coble, Keith H. & Perry, Janet E. & Somwaru, Agapi, 1999. "Managing Risk in Farming: Concepts, Research, and Analysis," Agricultural Economic Reports 34081, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
    3. Martin van Ittersum & Ada Wossink, 2006. "Integrating Agronomic Principles into Production Function Specification: A Dichotomy of Growth Inputs and Facilitating Inputs," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 88(1), pages 203-214.
    4. Horridge, Mark & Madden, John & Wittwer, Glyn, 2005. "The impact of the 2002-2003 drought on Australia," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 27(3), pages 285-308, April.
    5. Wimalasuriya, Rukman, 1999. "Risk Beyond Farmers’ Control: Grain-Sheep Mixed Farming Systems under Rainfall and Commodity Price Variability," 1999 Conference (43th), January 20-22, 1999, Christchurch, New Zealand 125040, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society.
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    Cited by:

    1. Lane, Murray & Dawes, Les & Grace, Peter, 2014. "The essential parameters of a resource-based carrying capacity assessment model: An Australian case study," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 272(C), pages 220-231.
    2. Daniel Kyalo Willy & Arnim Kuhn, 2016. "Technology Adoption Under Variable Weather Conditions — The Case of Rain Water Harvesting in Lake Naivasha Basin, Kenya," Water Economics and Policy (WEP), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 2(02), pages 1-25, June.

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    Keywords

    Productivity Analysis; Risk and Uncertainty;

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