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Convergence dynamics of output: Do stochastic shocks and social polarization matter?

Author

Listed:
  • Mamata Parhi

    (Department of Economics, Swansea University, Swansea, UK.)

  • Claude Diebolt

    (BETA, UMR 7522, Université de Strasbourg & Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin.)

  • Tapas Mishra

    (Department of Economics, Swansea University, Swansea, UK.)

  • Prashant Gupta

    (Department of Economics, Swansea University, Swansea, UK.)

Abstract

This paper seeks to address two neglected aspects of convergence dynamics of cross-country per capita income. First, we allow evolutionary path of per capita income to contain stochastic shocks which may not converge fast enough to the long-run mean. Under this condition, we show that the conventional inference on σ convergence can be enlarged with more predictive power if one assumes, along with the necessary condition of β convergence, that the stochastic shocks are covariance stationary. Second, we argue that for economies to (conditionally) converge, they need to be sufficiently cohesive so that the growth of stochastic shocks is not sustained through complex socio-economic interactions. Empirical examination is carried out by analyzing time series properties of state per capita income in India and performing convergence analysis by conditioning a constructed social cohesion index based on indicators collected from the National Sample Survey. It is demonstrated that when the economy faces monotonic social segmentation, persistence of stochastic shocks considerably affects speed of per capita output convergence.
(This abstract was borrowed from another version of this item.)

Suggested Citation

  • Mamata Parhi & Claude Diebolt & Tapas Mishra & Prashant Gupta, 2012. "Convergence dynamics of output: Do stochastic shocks and social polarization matter?," Working Papers 12-10, Association Française de Cliométrie (AFC).
  • Handle: RePEc:afc:wpaper:12-10
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    2. Arabsheibani, Gholamreza & Gupta, Prashant & Mishra, Tapas & Parhi, Mamata, 2018. "Wage differential between caste groups: Are younger and older cohorts different?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 10-23.
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    5. Desli, E. & Gkoulgkoutsika, A., 2020. "World economic convergence: Does the estimation methodology matter?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 138-147.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • C14 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods: General
    • O40 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - General
    • O53 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Asia including Middle East

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