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How COVID‐19 has Affected Africa's Development

Author

Listed:
  • Abel Kinyondo
  • Riccardo Pelizzo

Abstract

Africa has experienced over a decade of sustained economic growth. However, since the outbreak of Ebola, there have been pertinent questions as to whether and what extent such outbreaks have developmental implications in the continent. It is in this context that this article investigates whether and to what extent the ongoing COVID‐19 pandemic affects the development of Africa's economies. Using data from various international organizations, we show that the pandemic has indeed slowed down African economies, albeit in differing degrees across various regions of the continent. However, the slowdown is moderate compared with economies in high‐income countries and the world economies as a whole. We contend that while it is difficult to predict when the crisis is going to end, the continent can navigate itself out of it by leveraging on the ever‐increasing global prices of agricultural products and natural resources. África ha experimentado más de una década de crecimiento económico sostenido. Sin embargo, desde el brote de ébola, ha habido preguntas pertinentes sobre si esos brotes tienen implicaciones para el desarrollo en el continente y en qué medida. Es en este contexto que el presente artículo investiga si la pandemia actual de COVID‐19 afecta el desarrollo de las economías africanas y en qué medida. Utilizando datos de varias organizaciones internacionales, mostramos que la pandemia de hecho ha desacelerado las economías africanas, aunque en diferentes grados en varias regiones del continente. Sin embargo, la desaceleración es moderada en comparación con las economías de los países de ingresos altos y las economías mundiales en su conjunto. Continuamos argumentando que si bien es difícil predecir cuándo terminará la crisis, el continente puede salir de ella aprovechando los precios mundiales cada vez mayores de los productos agrícolas y los recursos naturales. 非洲已经历了十年的持续经济增长。然而,自埃博拉病毒爆发以来,一直存在关于这类爆发是否以及在何种程度上对非洲发展产生影响的疑问。在该背景下,本文调查了当前新冠肺炎(COVID‐19)大流行是否以及在何种程度上影响了非洲经济的发展。通过使用不同国际组织的数据,我们表明,大流行确实已放缓了非洲经济,尽管不同地区的经济放缓程度有所不同。不过,相比起高收入国家的经济和将世界经济作为整体进行考量,非洲的经济放缓程度是温和的。我们主张,尽管难以预测危机将在何时结束,但非洲能通过充分利用全球日益增加的农产品及自然资源价格来走出危机。

Suggested Citation

  • Abel Kinyondo & Riccardo Pelizzo, 2021. "How COVID‐19 has Affected Africa's Development," World Affairs, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 184(1), pages 57-76, March.
  • Handle: RePEc:wly:woraff:v:184:y:2021:i:1:p:57-76
    DOI: 10.1177/0043820021989681
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. McDonald, Scott & Roberts, Jennifer, 2006. "AIDS and economic growth: A human capital approach," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(1), pages 228-250, June.
    2. Byaro, Mwoyo & Kinyondo, Abel, 2020. "Institutional Quality Explains the Difference of Natural Gas Revenues to Contribute in the Economy: Empirical Evidence from Tanzania," African Journal of Economic Review, African Journal of Economic Review, vol. 8(3), November.
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