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Institutional Quality Explains the Difference of Natural Gas Revenues to Contribute in the Economy: Empirical Evidence from Tanzania

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  • Byaro, Mwoyo
  • Kinyondo, Abel

Abstract

This paper uses Tanzanian annual time series data for the period 2007-2016 in a Bayesian MCMC (Markov Chain Monte Carlo) to establish and compare the impact of natural gas revenues and institutional quality in the economy. We found that, the interaction effect between natural gas revenues and institutional quality as contributors to the economy was wide. This difference seems to be largely explained by institutional quality. This suggests that strengthening institutional quality structures in the country will reshape natural gas revenues, providing higher national economic growth. The results are robust due to combinations of prior distribution and likelihood function. These findings have important implications for Tanzania, while also suggesting developing countries with natural resources need to ensure they have implemented appropriate policy measures to improve institutional quality.

Suggested Citation

  • Byaro, Mwoyo & Kinyondo, Abel, 2020. "Institutional Quality Explains the Difference of Natural Gas Revenues to Contribute in the Economy: Empirical Evidence from Tanzania," African Journal of Economic Review, African Journal of Economic Review, vol. 8(3), November.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:afjecr:308777
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.308777
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    1. Byaro, Mwoya & Pelizzo, Riccardo & Kinyondo, Abel, 2023. "What are the Main Drivers Behind the Acceleration of Tanzania's Economic Growth Over the Past Three Decades?," African Journal of Economic Review, African Journal of Economic Review, vol. 11(4), June.
    2. Byaro, Mwoya & Msafiri, Derick, 2021. "The uncertainty of natural gas consumption in Tanzania to support economic development. Evidence from Bayesian estimates," African Journal of Economic Review, African Journal of Economic Review, vol. 9(4), September.

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