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Aids and Economic Growth: A Human Capital Approach

  • Scott McDonald
  • Jennifer Roberts

    ()

    (Department of Economics, The University of Sheffield)

It is estimated that by 2001 20 million people had died from AIDS, which is now the world´s fourth biggest cause of death. While the highest prevalence and death rates and number of infected persons are reported for sub-Saharan Africa, where life expectancies at birth are declining rapidly and infant mortality rates are increasing, there is evidence that the epidemic is accelerating in Asia and Eastern Europe. While the human and social costs of the HIV/AIDS epidemic are the major causes for concern, the econometric results reported in this paper indicate that the macroeconomic affects of the HIV/AIDS epidemic have been substantial; especially in Africa where the average marginal negative impact on income per capita of a one percent increase in HIV prevalence rate is 0.59 percent. Even in countries where the HIV prevalence rates are lower the marginal impacts are non trivial.

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File URL: http://www.shef.ac.uk/content/1/c6/03/91/71/SERP2004008.pdf
File Function: First version, 2004
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File URL: http://www.shef.ac.uk/content/1/c6/03/91/71/SERP2004008.pdf
File Function: Revised version, 2004
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Paper provided by The University of Sheffield, Department of Economics in its series Working Papers with number 2004008.

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Length: 28 pages
Date of creation: Aug 2004
Date of revision: Aug 2004
Handle: RePEc:shf:wpaper:2004008
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