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The Effects of Weather on Recreational Fishing Demand and Adaptation: Implications for a Changing Climate

Author

Listed:
  • Steven J. Dundas
  • Roger H. von Haefen

Abstract

Outdoor recreation is one of the most popular leisure activities in the United States, yet the potential impacts of climate change on the nonmarket aspects of this activity are largely unknown or poorly understood. We estimate the nonlinear effects of temperature and precipitation on the demand for a significant segment of the outdoor recreation economy—shoreline marine recreational fishing in the Atlantic and Gulf Coast regions—from 2004 to 2009. Our econometric estimates suggest that extreme heat significantly reduces recreation participation. We find declines in participation (up to 15%) and welfare (up to $312 million annually) over a range of predicted climate futures. These impacts vary spatially and temporally, with warmer locations and times of year experiencing significant losses and gains possible in cooler areas. We also find evidence of climate-averting behavior as anglers shift their activities to nighttime rather than fish less frequently to mitigate the negative impacts from extreme heat.

Suggested Citation

  • Steven J. Dundas & Roger H. von Haefen, 2020. "The Effects of Weather on Recreational Fishing Demand and Adaptation: Implications for a Changing Climate," Journal of the Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, University of Chicago Press, vol. 7(2), pages 209-242.
    • Handle: RePEc:ucp:jaerec:doi:10.1086/706343
    DOI: 10.1086/706343
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    Cited by:

    1. Huai Deng & Huan Wu & Hui Xu, 2025. "Social cost of carbon under endogenous social adaptation," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 178(4), pages 1-20, April.
    2. repec:osf:socarx:dwye8_v1 is not listed on IDEAS
    3. Drescher, Katharina & Janzen, Benedikt, 2025. "When weather wounds workers: The impact of temperature on workplace accidents," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 241(C).
    4. Boto-García, David, 2023. "Investigating the two-way relationship between mobility flows and COVID-19 cases," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 118(C).
    5. Hashida, Yukiko & Lewis, David J., 2022. "Estimating welfare impacts of climate change using a discrete-choice model of land management: An application to western U.S. forestry," Resource and Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    6. Prest, Brian C. & Wingenroth, Jordan & Errickson, Frank, 2024. "Challenges and Opportunities for Incorporating Climate Change’s Impacts on Ocean Systems into the Social Cost of Greenhouse Gases," RFF Reports 24-17, Resources for the Future.
    7. Nathan W. Chan & Casey J. Wichman, 2020. "Climate Change and Recreation: Evidence from North American Cycling," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 76(1), pages 119-151, May.
    8. Baldenius, Till & Klauber, Hannah & Koch, Nicolas, 2025. "Heat and experienced racial segregation," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    9. Linsenmeier, Manuel, 2024. "Global variation in the preferred temperature for recreational outdoor activity," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 127(C).
    10. Xi, Chen & Xie, Wei & Chen, Xiaoguang & He, Pan, 2023. "Weather shocks and movie recreation demand in China," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 127(PB).
    11. Schirpke, Uta & Ebner, Manuel & Tappeiner, Ulrike, 2024. "Effects of climate-related environmental changes on non-material benefits from human-nature interactions: A literature review," Ecosystem Services, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    12. David Boto‐García & Antonio Alvarez & José Baños, 2021. "Modelling heterogeneous preferences for nature‐based tourism trips," Papers in Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 100(6), pages 1625-1653, December.
    13. Carlo Fezzi & Mauro Derek J. Ford & Kirsten L.L. Oleson, 2022. "The economic value of coral reefs: climate change impacts and spatial targeting of restoration measures," DEM Working Papers 2022/5, Department of Economics and Management.
    14. Churchill, Brandyn F. & Srivastava, Sparshi, 2025. "Effects of environmental exposures on weight-related health behaviors and outcomes," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
    15. Hashida, Yukiko & Lewis, David J. & Cummins, Karen, 2025. "Prescribed fires as a climate change adaptation tool," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
    16. Gellman, Jacob & Walls, Margaret & Wibbenmeyer, Matthew, 2025. "Welfare losses from wildfire smoke: Evidence from daily outdoor recreation data," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    17. repec:ags:aaea22:335687 is not listed on IDEAS
    18. Ing-Marie Gren & Kerstin Holmgren & Willem Goedkoop, 2023. "Fishing motives and economic effects of climate change: an application on Arctic char in northern Sweden," Journal of Bioeconomics, Springer, vol. 25(3), pages 203-223, December.
    19. Till Baldenius & Nicolas Koch & Hannah Klauber & Nadja Klein, 2023. "Heat increases experienced racial segregation in the United States," Papers 2306.13772, arXiv.org.
    20. Steven J. Dundas & Roger H. von Haefen, 2021. "The importance of data structure and nonlinearities in estimating climate impacts on outdoor recreation," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 107(3), pages 2053-2075, July.
    21. Trudy Ann Cameron & Sonja H. Kolstoe, 2022. "Using Auxiliary Population Samples for Sample-Selection Correction in Models Based on Crowd-Sourced Volunteered Geographic Information," Land Economics, University of Wisconsin Press, vol. 98(1), pages 1-21.
    22. Piotr Próchniak & Agnieszka Próchniak, 2023. "Adventure Recreation in Blue Spaces and the Wellbeing of Young Polish Adults," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 20(5), pages 1-16, March.
    23. Daryl Fairweather & Matthew E. Kahn & Robert D. Metcalfe & Sebastian Sandoval Olascoaga, 2024. "Expecting Climate Change: A Nationwide Field Experiment in the Housing Market," NBER Working Papers 33119, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    24. Fezzi, Carlo & Ford, Derek J. & Oleson, Kirsten L.L., 2023. "The economic value of coral reefs: Climate change impacts and spatial targeting of restoration measures," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 203(C).

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