IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/taf/regstd/v55y2021i8p1376-1387.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Output, investment and productivity: the Italian North–South regional divide from a Kaldor–Verdoorn approach

Author

Listed:
  • Matteo Deleidi
  • Walter Paternesi Meloni
  • Luigi Salvati
  • Francesca Tosi

Abstract

This paper elaborates on the Italian North–South divide by endorsing a Kaldor–Verdoorn perspective. To assess the endogenous relationship between labour productivity, capital accumulation and output growth, panel structural vector autoregressive (P-SVAR) modelling is applied to 1980–2017 data on Italian macro-regions and areas. Findings show that territorial disparities exist in both the Verdoorn and the capital accumulation effects throughout the country. Output growth has a larger effect on productivity in the Centre–North, while the investment effect is stronger in the South. That stresses the relevance of public effort in stimulating both output and investment – therefore, productivity – especially in economically depressed areas.

Suggested Citation

  • Matteo Deleidi & Walter Paternesi Meloni & Luigi Salvati & Francesca Tosi, 2021. "Output, investment and productivity: the Italian North–South regional divide from a Kaldor–Verdoorn approach," Regional Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 55(8), pages 1376-1387, August.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:regstd:v:55:y:2021:i:8:p:1376-1387
    DOI: 10.1080/00343404.2021.1896694
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00343404.2021.1896694
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1080/00343404.2021.1896694?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to

    for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Raffaele Paci & Stefano Usai, 2000. "Technological Enclaves and Industrial Districts: An Analysis of the Regional Distribution of Innovative Activity in Europe," Regional Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(2), pages 97-114.
    2. Fabrizio Antenucci & Matteo Deleidi & Walter Paternesi Meloni, 2020. "Kaldor 3.0: An Empirical Investigation of the Verdoorn-augmented Technical Progress Function," Review of Political Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(1), pages 49-76, July.
    3. repec:oup:ecpoli:v:18:y:2003:i:36:p:9-72 is not listed on IDEAS
    4. Andrea Bassanini & Ekkehard Ernst, 2002. "Labour market regulation, industrial relations and technological regimes: a tale of comparative advantage," Industrial and Corporate Change, Oxford University Press and the Associazione ICC, vol. 11(3), pages 391-426, June.
    5. Simone Gitto, 2017. "Efficiency change, technological change and capital accumulation in Italian regions: a sectoral study," International Review of Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 31(2), pages 191-207, March.
    6. Matteo Deleidi & Walter Paternesi Meloni & Antonella Stirati, 2020. "Tertiarization, productivity and aggregate demand: evidence-based policies for European countries," Journal of Evolutionary Economics, Springer, vol. 30(5), pages 1429-1465, November.
    7. João P. Romerojpromero & Gustavo Britto, 2017. "Increasing returns to scale, technological catch-up and research intensity: endogenising the Verdoorn coefficient," Cambridge Journal of Economics, Cambridge Political Economy Society, vol. 41(2), pages 391-412.
    8. Luigi Cannari & Gianfranco Viesti & Alberto Zanardi, 2019. "Interregional Disparities in Italy: Structural Changes and Public Policies: A Brief Introduction," Politica economica, Società editrice il Mulino, issue 2, pages 159-172.
    9. Kerstin Enflo & Per Hjertstrand, 2009. "Relative Sources of European Regional Productivity Convergence: A Bootstrap Frontier Approach," Regional Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 43(5), pages 643-659.
    10. Harris, Richard I D & Lau, Eunice, 1998. "Verdoorn's Law and Increasing Returns to Scale in the UK Regions, 1968-91: Some New Estimates Based on the Cointegration Approach," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 50(2), pages 201-219, April.
    11. Peter Pedroni, 2013. "Structural Panel VARs," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 1(2), pages 1-27, September.
    12. Joseph Byrne & Giorgio Fazio & Davide Piacentino, 2009. "Total Factor Productivity Convergence among Italian Regions: Some Evidence from Panel Unit Root Tests," Regional Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 43(1), pages 63-76.
    13. Kaldor, Nicholas, 1972. "The Irrelevance of Equilibrium Economics," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 82(328), pages 1237-1255, December.
    14. Kevin J. Stiroh, 2001. "What drives productivity growth?," Economic Policy Review, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, issue Mar, pages 37-59.
    15. Matteo Deleidi & Mariana Mazzucato, 2019. "Putting Austerity to Bed: Technical Progress, Aggregate Demand and the Supermultiplier," Review of Political Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 31(3), pages 315-335, July.
    16. Pasquale Tridico & Riccardo Pariboni, 2018. "Inequality, financialization, and economic decline," Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 41(2), pages 236-259, April.
    17. McCombie, J S L & de Ridder, J R, 1984. ""The Verdoorn Law Controversy": Some New Empirical Evidence Using U.S. State Data," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 36(2), pages 268-284, June.
    18. Giuseppe Nicoletti & Stefano Scarpetta, 2003. "Regulation, productivity and growth: OECD evidence [‘A model of growth through creative destruction’]," Economic Policy, CEPR, CESifo, Sciences Po;CES;MSH, vol. 18(36), pages 9-72.
    19. Krugman, Paul, 1991. "Increasing Returns and Economic Geography," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 99(3), pages 483-499, June.
    20. N. Kaldor & J. A. Mirrlees, 1971. "A New Model of Economic Growth," Palgrave Macmillan Books, in: F. H. Hahn (ed.), Readings in the Theory of Growth, chapter 13, pages 165-183, Palgrave Macmillan.
    21. Sergio Destefanis, 2002. "The Verdoorn Law: Some Evidence from Non-Parametric Frontier Analysis," Palgrave Macmillan Books, in: John McCombie & Maurizio Pugno & Bruno Soro (ed.), Productivity Growth and Economic Performance, chapter 6, pages 136-164, Palgrave Macmillan.
    22. Krugman, Paul & Venables, Anthony J., 1996. "Integration, specialization, and adjustment," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 40(3-5), pages 959-967, April.
    23. Daron Acemoglu, 2006. "A Simple Model of Inefficient Institutions," Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 108(4), pages 515-546, December.
    24. John S. L. McCombie & Mark Roberts, 2007. "Returns To Scale And Regional Growth: The Static-Dynamic Verdoorn Law Paradox Revisited," Journal of Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 47(2), pages 179-208, May.
    25. Graziani, Augusto, 1978. "The Mezzogiorno in the Italian Economy," Cambridge Journal of Economics, Cambridge Political Economy Society, vol. 2(4), pages 355-372, December.
    26. Jordi Pons-Novell & Elisabet Viladecans-Marsal, 1999. "Kaldor's Laws and Spatial Dependence: Evidence for the European Regions," Regional Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 33(5), pages 443-451.
    27. Guilherme R. Magacho & John S. L. McCombie, 2017. "Verdoorn’s law and productivity dynamics: An empirical investigation into the demand and supply approaches," Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(4), pages 600-621, October.
    28. R. Boyer & P. Petit, 1991. "Kaldor’s Growth Theories: Past, Present and Prospects for the Future," Palgrave Macmillan Books, in: Edward J. Nell & Willi Semmler (ed.), Nicholas Kaldor and Mainstream Economics, chapter 27, pages 485-517, Palgrave Macmillan.
    29. Andres Rodriguez-Pose & Riccardo regstdcenzi, 2008. "Research and Development, Spillovers, Innovation Systems, and the Genesis of Regional Growth in Europe," Regional Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 42(1), pages 51-67.
    30. Francesca Tosi & Roberto Impicciatore & Rosella Rettaroli, 2019. "Individual skills and student mobility in Italy: a regional perspective," Regional Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 53(8), pages 1099-1111, August.
    31. Deleidi, Matteo & Mazzucato, Mariana, 2021. "Directed innovation policies and the supermultiplier: An empirical assessment of mission-oriented policies in the US economy," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 50(2).
    32. Kilian,Lutz & Lütkepohl,Helmut, 2018. "Structural Vector Autoregressive Analysis," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9781107196575, November.
    33. Thomas R. Michl, 1985. "International Comparisons of Productivity Growth: Verdoorn’s Law Revisited," Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 7(4), pages 474-492, July.
    34. Julián Ramajo & Geoffrey J. D. Hewings, 2018. "Modelling regional productivity performance across Western Europe," Regional Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 52(10), pages 1372-1387, October.
    35. repec:bla:ecpoli:v:18:y:2003:i:36:p:9-72 is not listed on IDEAS
    36. Philippe Aghion & Christopher Harris & Peter Howitt & John Vickers, 2001. "Competition, Imitation and Growth with Step-by-Step Innovation," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 68(3), pages 467-492.
    37. Fingleton, B & McCombie, J S L, 1999. "Increasing Returns and Economic Growth: Some Evidence for Manufacturing from the European Union Regions: A Correction," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 51(3), pages 574-575, July.
    38. Riccardo Pariboni & Pasquale Tridico, 2020. "Structural change, institutions and the dynamics of labor productivity in Europe," Journal of Evolutionary Economics, Springer, vol. 30(5), pages 1275-1300, November.
    39. Subodh Kumar & R. Robert Russell, 2002. "Technological Change, Technological Catch-up, and Capital Deepening: Relative Contributions to Growth and Convergence," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 92(3), pages 527-548, June.
    40. Andrea Filippetti & Antonio Peyrache, 2015. "Labour Productivity and Technology Gap in European Regions: A Conditional Frontier Approach," Regional Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 49(4), pages 532-554, April.
    41. Davide Piacentino & Erasmo Vassallo, 2011. "Exploring the sources of labour productivity growth and convergence in the Italian regions: some evidence from a production frontier approach," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 46(2), pages 469-486, April.
    42. Fabio Freitas & Franklin Serrano, 2015. "Growth Rate and Level Effects, the Stability of the Adjustment of Capacity to Demand and the Sraffian Supermultiplier," Review of Political Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 27(3), pages 258-281, July.
    43. Guglielmo Forges Davanzati & Rosario Patalano & Guido Traficante, 2019. "The Italian economic stagnation in a Kaldorian theoretical perspective," Economia Politica: Journal of Analytical and Institutional Economics, Springer;Fondazione Edison, vol. 36(3), pages 841-861, October.
    44. John S. L. McCombie, 1983. "Kaldor’s Laws in Retrospect," Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 5(3), pages 414-430, March.
    45. Theodore Papageorgiou, 2014. "Learning Your Comparative Advantages," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 81(3), pages 1263-1295.
    46. Sergio Cesaratto & Franklin Serrano & Antonella Stirati, 2003. "Technical Change, Effective Demand and Employment," Review of Political Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 15(1), pages 33-52.
    47. Millemaci, Emanuele & Ofria, Ferdinando, 2016. "Supply and demand-side determinants of productivity growth in Italian regions," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 138-146.
    48. Matteo Deleidi & Walter Paternesi Meloni, 2019. "Produttività e domanda aggregata: una verifica della legge di Kaldor-Verdoorn per l'economia italiana," Economia & lavoro, Carocci editore, issue 2, pages 25-44.
    49. Emilio Carnevali & Antoine Godin & Stefano Lucarelli & Marco Veronese Passarella, 2020. "Productivity growth, Smith effects and Ricardo effects in Euro Area's manufacturing industries," Metroeconomica, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 71(1), pages 129-155, February.
    50. Robert J. Barro, 2001. "Human Capital and Growth," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 91(2), pages 12-17, May.
    51. Francesco Aiello & Valeria Pupo & Fernanda Ricotta, 2015. "Firm heterogeneity in TFP, sectoral innovation and location. Evidence from Italy," International Review of Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(5), pages 579-607, September.
    52. Paul M. Romer, 1994. "The Origins of Endogenous Growth," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 8(1), pages 3-22, Winter.
    53. Nicholas Kaldor, 1961. "Capital Accumulation and Economic Growth," International Economic Association Series, in: D. C. Hague (ed.), The Theory of Capital, chapter 0, pages 177-222, Palgrave Macmillan.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Alessandro Bellocchi & Giuseppe Travaglini & Beatrice Vitali, 2023. "How capital intensity affects technical progress: An empirical analysis for 17 advanced economies," Metroeconomica, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 74(3), pages 606-631, July.
    2. Alessio Baldassarre & Danilo Carullo, 2025. "Estimating The Impact of the Investment Tax Credit for Southern Italy Regions through a New Sub-National CGE Model," Working Papers wp2025-21, Ministry of Economy and Finance, Department of Finance.
    3. Cambini, Carlo & Grinza, Elena & Sabatino, Lorien, 2023. "Ultra-fast broadband access and productivity: Evidence from Italian firms," International Journal of Industrial Organization, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
    4. Ricardo Barradas & João Alcobia, 2024. "Determinants Of The Portuguese External Imbalances: The Lens Of Post-Keynesian Economics," Working Papers REM 2024/0334, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa.
    5. Borsato, Andrea & Lorentz, André, 2023. "The Kaldor–Verdoorn law at the age of robots and AI," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 52(10).
    6. Massimo Arnone & Angelo Leogrande & Carlo Drago & Alberto Costantiello, 2024. "Social Trust and Support Networks: A Regional Analysis of Italy," Working Papers hal-04698270, HAL.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Matteo Deleidi & Walter Paternesi Meloni & Luigi Salvati & Francesca Tosi, 2020. "Exploring the Determinants of Productivity Growth in Italian Regions: a Kaldorian Perspective," Working Papers 0051, ASTRIL - Associazione Studi e Ricerche Interdisciplinari sul Lavoro.
    2. Matteo Deleidi & Claudia Fontanari & Santiago José Gahn, 2023. "Autonomous demand and technical change: exploring the Kaldor–Verdoorn law on a global level," Economia Politica: Journal of Analytical and Institutional Economics, Springer;Fondazione Edison, vol. 40(1), pages 57-80, April.
    3. Fabrizio Antenucci & Matteo Deleidi & Walter Paternesi Meloni, 2019. "Demand and Supply-side Drivers of Labour Productivity Growth: an empirical assessment for G7 countries," Working Papers 0042, ASTRIL - Associazione Studi e Ricerche Interdisciplinari sul Lavoro.
    4. Walter Paternesi Meloni, 2024. "Okun vs. Verdoorn: distinguishing between cyclical and structural effects of output on productivity," Economia Politica: Journal of Analytical and Institutional Economics, Springer;Fondazione Edison, vol. 41(2), pages 295-325, July.
    5. Matteo Deleidi & Walter Paternesi Meloni & Antonella Stirati, 2020. "Tertiarization, productivity and aggregate demand: evidence-based policies for European countries," Journal of Evolutionary Economics, Springer, vol. 30(5), pages 1429-1465, November.
    6. Matteo Deleidi & Walter Paternesi Meloni & Antonella Stirati, 2018. "Structural change, labour productivity and the Kaldor-Verdoorn law: evidence from European countries," Departmental Working Papers of Economics - University 'Roma Tre' 0239, Department of Economics - University Roma Tre.
    7. Borsato, Andrea & Lorentz, André, 2023. "The Kaldor–Verdoorn law at the age of robots and AI," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 52(10).
    8. Sascha Keil & Walter Paternesi Meloni, 2024. "Kaldorian cumulative causation in the Euro area: an empirical assessment of divergent export competitiveness," FMM Working Paper 103-2024, IMK at the Hans Boeckler Foundation, Macroeconomic Policy Institute.
    9. Francesco Zezza & Dario Guarascio, 2024. "Fiscal policy, public investment and structural change: a P-SVAR analysis on Italian regions," Regional Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 58(6), pages 1356-1373, June.
    10. Ferdinando Ofria, 2009. "L'approccio Kaldor-Verdoorn: una verifica empirica per il Centro-Nord e il Mezzogiorno d'Italia (anni 1951-2006)," Rivista di Politica Economica, SIPI Spa, issue 1, pages 179-207, January-M.
    11. Alexandre Gomes, 2020. "Regional economic growth in China from a Kaldorian perspective: A comparative study of Nanjing and Suzhou," PSL Quarterly Review, Economia civile, vol. 73(295), pages 283-312.
    12. Ciaffi, Giovanna & Deleidi, Matteo & Di Bucchianico, Stefano, 2024. "Stagnation despite ongoing innovation: Is R&D expenditure composition a missing link? An empirical analysis for the US (1948–2019)," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 206(C).
    13. Adrián Rial & Rafael Fernández, 2023. "Does tertiarisation slow down productivity growth? A Kaldorian–Baumolian analysis across 10 developed economies," Metroeconomica, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 74(1), pages 188-222, February.
    14. Ofria, Ferdinando & Millemaci, Emanuele, 2010. "Kaldor-Verdoorn’s law and increasing returns to scale: a comparison across developed countries," MPRA Paper 30941, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    15. Christine Carton Madura, 2009. "Mecanismos kaldorianos del crecimiento regional: Aplicación empírica al caso del ALADI (1980-2007)," Economic Analysis Working Papers (2002-2010). Atlantic Review of Economics (2011-2016), Colexio de Economistas de A Coruña, Spain and Fundación Una Galicia Moderna, vol. 8, pages 1-24, May.
    16. Claudia Fontanari & Antonella Palumbo, 2023. "Permanent scars: The effects of wages on productivity," Metroeconomica, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 74(2), pages 351-389, May.
    17. Dong Guo & Sandy Dall’erba & Julie Le Gallo, 2013. "The Leading Role of Manufacturing in China’s Regional Economic Growth," International Regional Science Review, , vol. 36(2), pages 139-166, April.
    18. Alvaro Angeriz & John McCombie & Mark Roberts, 2008. "Returns to Scale for EU Regional Manufacturing," Working Papers 20, Queen Mary, University of London, School of Business and Management, Centre for Globalisation Research.
    19. Simone Gitto, 2017. "Efficiency change, technological change and capital accumulation in Italian regions: a sectoral study," International Review of Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 31(2), pages 191-207, March.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:taf:regstd:v:55:y:2021:i:8:p:1376-1387. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Chris Longhurst (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.tandfonline.com/CRES20 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.