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Estimates of the ICAPM with regime-switching betas: evidence from four pacific rim economies

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  • Shyh-Wei Chen
  • Nai-Chuan Huang

Abstract

This article examines the relation between stock returns and the World Index for four Pacific Rim economies, i.e. that of Taiwan, Hong Kong, South Korea and Malaysia. When the constant International Capital Asset Pricing Model (ICAPM) and the regime-switching ICAPM are considered, the evidence shows that the estimated beta coefficients from the constant ICAPM model underestimates systemic risk under the high-volatility regime, but overestimates systemic risk under the low-volatility regime. In addition, the evidence is strong that the stock markets of Taiwan and Malaysia are less risky for traders, whereas that of South Korea is risk-neutral. The Hong Kong Hang Seng stock index, on the other hand, is highly risky for both speculators and investors. On the weight of the evidence, it is suggested that estimates of the ICAPM should account for the changes in betas over time and over different variance regimes.

Suggested Citation

  • Shyh-Wei Chen & Nai-Chuan Huang, 2007. "Estimates of the ICAPM with regime-switching betas: evidence from four pacific rim economies," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(4), pages 313-327.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:apfiec:v:17:y:2007:i:4:p:313-327 DOI: 10.1080/09603100600749188
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    Cited by:

    1. Abu Taher Mollik & M. Khokan Bepari, 2010. "Instability of stock beta in Dhaka Stock Exchange, Bangladesh," Managerial Finance, Emerald Group Publishing, vol. 36(10), pages 886-902, August.
    2. Lahrech, Abdelmounaim & Sylwester, Kevin, 2013. "The impact of NAFTA on North American stock market linkages," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 25(C), pages 94-108.
    3. Korkmaz, Turhan & Cevik, Emrah Ismail & Gurkan, Serhan, 2010. "Testing the international capital asset pricing model with Markov switching model in emerging markets," MPRA Paper 71481, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2010.
    4. Jaramillo, Laura & Weber, Anke, 2013. "Bond yields in emerging economies: It matters what state you are in," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, pages 169-185.
    5. Bee-Hoong Tay & Pei-Tha Gan, 2016. "The Determinants of Investment Rewards: Evidence for Selected Developed and Developing Countries," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 6(3), pages 1180-1188.
    6. Korkmaz, Turhan & Cevik, Emrah Ismail & Birkan, Elif & Özataç, Nesrin, 2010. "Testing CAPM using Markov switching model: the case of coal firms," MPRA Paper 71479, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2010.

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