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The impact of NAFTA on North American stock market linkages

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  • Lahrech, Abdelmounaim
  • Sylwester, Kevin

Abstract

Past research considered effects of trade or trade agreements on equity market linkages across countries. We investigate the impact of NAFTA on U.S., Canadian, and Mexican equity market linkages from December 1988 to July 2006. We employ a dynamic conditional correlation model to the stock markets of these three countries. We then test for the presence of a structural break coinciding with the NAFTA agreement. We find that NAFTA increased linkages between U.S. and Mexican equity markets and between Canadian and Mexican markets. No evidence arises of an impact of NAFTA on the linkages between U.S. and Canadian markets.

Suggested Citation

  • Lahrech, Abdelmounaim & Sylwester, Kevin, 2013. "The impact of NAFTA on North American stock market linkages," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 25(C), pages 94-108.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecofin:v:25:y:2013:i:c:p:94-108
    DOI: 10.1016/j.najef.2013.04.001
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    Cited by:

    1. Fuinhas, José Alberto & Marques, António Cardoso & Nogueira, David Coito, 2014. "Análise VAR dos índices bolsistas SP500, FTSE100, PSI20, HSI e IBOVESPA
      [Integration of the indexes SP500, FTSE100, PSI20, HSI and IBOVESPA: A VAR approach]
      ," MPRA Paper 62092, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 10 Feb 2015.
    2. Donadelli, Michael & Paradiso, Antonio, 2014. "Does financial integration affect real exchange rate volatility and cross-country equity market returns correlation?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 206-220.
    3. Larry Filer & David D. Selover, 2014. "Why Can Weak Linkages Cause International Stock Market Synchronization? The Mode-Locking Effect," International Journal of Financial Research, International Journal of Financial Research, Sciedu Press, vol. 5(3), pages 20-42, July.
    4. John Berdell & Animesh Ghoshal, 2015. "US–Mexico border tourism and day trips: an aberration in globalization?," Latin American Economic Review, Springer;Centro de Investigaciòn y Docencia Económica (CIDE), vol. 24(1), pages 1-18, December.
    5. Boubaker, Sabri & Jouini, Jamel, 2014. "Linkages between emerging and developed equity markets: Empirical evidence in the PMG framework," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 322-335.
    6. Chen, Mei-Ping & Chen, Pei-Fen & Lee, Chien-Chiang, 2014. "Frontier stock market integration and the global financial crisis," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 84-103.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    NAFTA; Stock markets; DCC models;

    JEL classification:

    • F36 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Financial Aspects of Economic Integration
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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