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Real options analysis of abatement investments for sulphur emission control compliance

Author

Listed:
  • Sina Atari

    (Tallinn University of Technology, Estonia)

  • Yassine Bakkar

    (Tallinn University of Technology, Estonia)

  • Eunice Omolola Olaniyi

    (Tallinn University of Technology, Estonia)

  • Gunnar Prause

    (Tallinn University of Technology, Estonia)

Abstract

Since the introduction of the Sulphur Emission Control Areas (SECA) regulations in the Baltic Sea Region (BSR) in 2015, the BSR has witnessed high compliance rate. However, a closer look to the situation reveals that the currently preferred compliance strategies depend on low oil price where ship owners shun investments in abatement technologies which may lead into an economic trap in the event of the oil price increase. The research considers incentive provisions for maritime investors who make investment decisions related to clean shipping and maritime fuel management. Traditionally, the financial assessments of these decisions are based on capital budgeting methods comprising cash flow analyses and net present value calculations. The findings reveal that the Real-Option approach represents a more realistic, reliable and promising method for the evaluation of abatement projects, especially under uncertainty and high volatility in material resource markets. The results can be applied to the evaluation of all projects in the maritime industry that depends on the price variation of the underlying asset during a specific period.

Suggested Citation

  • Sina Atari & Yassine Bakkar & Eunice Omolola Olaniyi & Gunnar Prause, 2019. "Real options analysis of abatement investments for sulphur emission control compliance," Entrepreneurship and Sustainability Issues, VsI Entrepreneurship and Sustainability Center, vol. 6(3), pages 1062-1087, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:ssi:jouesi:v:6:y:2019:i:3:p:1062-1087
    DOI: 10.9770/jesi.2019.6.3(1)
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    Cited by:

    1. Fernando García & Jairo González-Bueno & Javier Oliver & Nicola Riley, 2019. "Selecting Socially Responsible Portfolios: A Fuzzy Multicriteria Approach," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(9), pages 1-14, April.
    2. Karin Reinhold & Marina Järvis & Gunnar Prause, 2019. "Occupational health and safety aspects of green shipping in the Baltic Sea," Entrepreneurship and Sustainability Issues, VsI Entrepreneurship and Sustainability Center, vol. 7(1), pages 10-24, September.
    3. Eunice Omolola Olaniyi & Yassine Bakkar & Gunnar Prause, 2019. "Entrepreneurial compliance opportunities for maritime fuel producers," Entrepreneurship and Sustainability Issues, VsI Entrepreneurship and Sustainability Center, vol. 6(4), pages 1550-1565, June.
    4. Gunnar Prause & Eunice O. Olaniyi & Wolfgang Gerstlberger, 2023. "Ammonia Production as Alternative Energy for the Baltic Sea Region," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(4), pages 1-17, February.
    5. Gunnar Prause & Eunice O. Olaniyi, 2020. "Building a sustainable and transferable sulphur emission free BSR [Die Errichtung eines nachhaltigen und übertragbaren Ostseeraumes ohne Schwefelemissionen]," Sustainability Nexus Forum, Springer, vol. 28(1), pages 21-27, June.
    6. I.G. Kuznetsova & O.Yu. Voronkova & M.M. Nimatulaev & I.R. Ruiga & G.N. Zhuruli & V.E. Levichev, 2019. "Ensuring the National Security of Agriculture in the Digital Era through the Formation of Human Capital," International Journal of Economics & Business Administration (IJEBA), International Journal of Economics & Business Administration (IJEBA), vol. 0(Special 1), pages 558-569.
    7. Olha Prokopenko & Radosław Miśkiewicz, 2020. "Perception of "Green Shipping" in the contemporary conditions," Entrepreneurship and Sustainability Issues, VsI Entrepreneurship and Sustainability Center, vol. 8(2), pages 269-284, December.
    8. Felix Prause & Gunnar Prause & Robert Philipp, 2022. "Inventory Routing for Ammonia Supply in German Ports," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(17), pages 1-22, September.
    9. Serhiy Lyeonov & Tetyana Pimonenko & Yuriy Bilan & Dalia Štreimikienė & Grzegorz Mentel, 2019. "Assessment of Green Investments’ Impact on Sustainable Development: Linking Gross Domestic Product Per Capita, Greenhouse Gas Emissions and Renewable Energy," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(20), pages 1-12, October.
    10. Iryna Sotnyk & Tetiana Kurbatova & Yaroslavna Romaniuk & Olha Prokopenko & Viktoriya Gonchar & Yuriy Sayenko & Gunnar Prause & Aleksander Sapiński, 2022. "Determining the Optimal Directions of Investment in Regional Renewable Energy Development," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(10), pages 1-26, May.
    11. Aysan, Ahmet Faruk & Bakkar, Yassine & Ul-Durar, Shajara & Kayani, Umar Nawaz, 2023. "Natural resources governance and conflicts: Retrospective analysis," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PA).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    SECA regulations; maritime investments; Real-Options; Monte Carlo simulation; clean shipping;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G31 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Capital Budgeting; Fixed Investment and Inventory Studies
    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill
    • L26 - Industrial Organization - - Firm Objectives, Organization, and Behavior - - - Entrepreneurship
    • L98 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Transportation and Utilities - - - Government Policy
    • M10 - Business Administration and Business Economics; Marketing; Accounting; Personnel Economics - - Business Administration - - - General

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