IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/jknowl/v14y2023i2d10.1007_s13132-022-00970-7.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Impact of COVID-19 Pandemic on Financial Markets: a Global Perspective

Author

Listed:
  • Sabeeh Ullah

    (The University of Agriculture Peshawar)

Abstract

This study aims to examine the influence of the COVID-19 outbreak on daily market returns in most affected developed and emerging markets. For this purpose, panel data of 30 most affected developed and emerging markets over the period January 1, 2020, to December 12, 2020, were analyzed by using panel estimated generalized least square (panel-EGLS) and panel quantile regression approaches. The results confirm that the new COVID-19 daily cases and deaths adversely impact daily market returns around the globe. Also, the positive rate of new COVID-19 cases has also negatively influenced market returns. Further, the number of new COVID-19 daily tests conducted has a positive impact on market returns. Interestingly, the study also found similar impacts for both developed and emerging markets except the news announcement of new COVID-19 daily deaths, which have a positive impact on emerging market returns. The findings of this study present some policy implications for governments to adopt early proactive and control measures to protect financial markets from an adverse decline in future pandemics and to increase investors’ confidence.

Suggested Citation

  • Sabeeh Ullah, 2023. "Impact of COVID-19 Pandemic on Financial Markets: a Global Perspective," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 14(2), pages 982-1003, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:jknowl:v:14:y:2023:i:2:d:10.1007_s13132-022-00970-7
    DOI: 10.1007/s13132-022-00970-7
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s13132-022-00970-7
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s13132-022-00970-7?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Katarzyna Czech & Michał Wielechowski & Pavel Kotyza & Irena Benešová & Adriana Laputková, 2020. "Shaking Stability: COVID-19 Impact on the Visegrad Group Countries’ Financial Markets," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(15), pages 1-19, August.
    2. Xu, Libo, 2021. "Stock Return and the COVID-19 pandemic: Evidence from Canada and the US," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 38(C).
    3. Luigi Aldieri & Concetto Paolo Vinci, 2017. "Quantile Regression for Panel Data: An Empirical Approach for Knowledge Spillovers Endogeneity," International Journal of Economics and Finance, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 9(7), pages 106-113, July.
    4. Galvao, Antonio F. & Gu, Jiaying & Volgushev, Stanislav, 2020. "On the unbiased asymptotic normality of quantile regression with fixed effects," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 218(1), pages 178-215.
    5. Isiaka Akande Raifu & Terver Theophilus Kumeka & Alarudeen Aminu, 2021. "Reaction of stock market returns to COVID-19 pandemic and lockdown policy: evidence from Nigerian firms stock returns," Future Business Journal, Springer, vol. 7(1), pages 1-16, December.
    6. Kuan, Tsung-Han & Li, Chu-Shiu & Liu, Chwen-Chi, 2012. "Corporate governance and cash holdings: A quantile regression approach," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 24(C), pages 303-314.
    7. Davor Mance & Siniša Vilke & Borna Debelić, 2020. "Sustainable Governance of Coastal Areas and Tourism Impact on Waste Production: Panel Analysis of Croatian Municipalities," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(18), pages 1-16, September.
    8. José Oliveira & Tânia Santos & Marlene Sousa & João M. Lopes & Sofia Gomes & Márcio Oliveira, 2021. "Physical Health of Food Consumers during the COVID-19 Pandemic," Social Sciences, MDPI, vol. 10(6), pages 1-14, June.
    9. Alexakis, Christos & Eleftheriou, Konstantinos & Patsoulis, Patroklos, 2021. "COVID-19 containment measures and stock market returns: An international spatial econometrics investigation," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(C).
    10. Al-Awadhi, Abdullah M. & Alsaifi, Khaled & Al-Awadhi, Ahmad & Alhammadi, Salah, 2020. "Death and contagious infectious diseases: Impact of the COVID-19 virus on stock market returns," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 27(C).
    11. Zhang, Dayong & Hu, Min & Ji, Qiang, 2020. "Financial markets under the global pandemic of COVID-19," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 36(C).
    12. Clive Bell & Maureen Lewis, 2004. "The Economic Implications of Epidemics Old and New," World Economics, World Economics, 1 Ivory Square, Plantation Wharf, London, United Kingdom, SW11 3UE, vol. 5(4), pages 137-174, October.
    13. Stefano Ramelli & Alexander F. Wagner, 2020. "Feverish Stock Price Reactions to COVID-19," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series 20-12, Swiss Finance Institute.
    14. Ranis, Gustav & Stewart, Frances & Ramirez, Alejandro, 2000. "Economic Growth and Human Development," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 28(2), pages 197-219, February.
    15. Hui Hong & Zhicun Bian & Chien-Chiang Lee, 2021. "COVID-19 and instability of stock market performance: evidence from the U.S," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 7(1), pages 1-18, December.
    16. Haroon, Omair & Rizvi, Syed Aun R., 2020. "COVID-19: Media coverage and financial markets behavior—A sectoral inquiry," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 27(C).
    17. Im, Kyung So & Pesaran, M. Hashem & Shin, Yongcheol, 2003. "Testing for unit roots in heterogeneous panels," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 115(1), pages 53-74, July.
    18. Maretno Agus Harjoto & Fabrizio Rossi & John K. Paglia, 2021. "COVID-19: stock market reactions to the shock and the stimulus," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(10), pages 795-801, June.
    19. Niels J. Gormsen & Ralph S.J. Koijen, 2020. "The Corona Virus, the Stock Market’s Response, and Growth Expectations," Working Papers 2020-21, Becker Friedman Institute for Research In Economics.
    20. Maddala, G S & Wu, Shaowen, 1999. "A Comparative Study of Unit Root Tests with Panel Data and a New Simple Test," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 61(0), pages 631-652, Special I.
    21. Jose Cuesta & Julieth Pico, 2020. "The Gendered Poverty Effects of the COVID-19 Pandemic in Colombia," The European Journal of Development Research, Palgrave Macmillan;European Association of Development Research and Training Institutes (EADI), vol. 32(5), pages 1558-1591, December.
    22. HaiYue Liu & Aqsa Manzoor & CangYu Wang & Lei Zhang & Zaira Manzoor, 2020. "The COVID-19 Outbreak and Affected Countries Stock Markets Response," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(8), pages 1-19, April.
    23. Claudiu Albulescu, 2020. "Coronavirus and oil price crash," Papers 2003.06184, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2020.
    24. Richard C. K. Burdekin & Samuel Harrison, 2021. "Relative Stock Market Performance during the Coronavirus Pandemic: Virus vs. Policy Effects in 80 Countries," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(4), pages 1-18, April.
    25. Just, Małgorzata & Echaust, Krzysztof, 2020. "Stock market returns, volatility, correlation and liquidity during the COVID-19 crisis: Evidence from the Markov switching approach," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 37(C).
    26. Brainerd, Elizabeth & Siegler, Mark V, 2003. "The Economic Effects of the 1918 Influenza Epidemic," CEPR Discussion Papers 3791, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    27. Alwyn Young, 2005. "The Gift of the Dying: The Tragedy of AIDS and the Welfare of Future African Generations," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 120(2), pages 423-466.
    28. Lars Jonung & Werner Roeger, 2006. "The macroeconomic effects of a pandemic in Europe - A model-based assessment," European Economy - Economic Papers 2008 - 2015 251, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission.
    29. Michalis Nikiforos, 2020. "When Two Minskyan Processes Meet a Large Shock: The Economic Implications of the Pandemic," Economics Policy Note Archive 20-1, Levy Economics Institute.
    30. Cepoi, Cosmin-Octavian, 2020. "Asymmetric dependence between stock market returns and news during COVID-19 financial turmoil," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 36(C).
    31. Díaz, Fernando & Henríquez, Pablo A. & Winkelried, Diego, 2022. "Stock market volatility and the COVID-19 reproductive number," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
    32. Hartwell, Christopher A., 2018. "The impact of institutional volatility on financial volatility in transition economies," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 46(2), pages 598-615.
    33. Li, Zhenghui & Zhong, Junhao, 2020. "Impact of economic policy uncertainty shocks on China's financial conditions," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 35(C).
    34. Dao Van Hung & Nguyen Thi Minh Hue & Vu Thuy Duong, 2021. "The Impact of COVID-19 on Stock Market Returns in Vietnam," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(9), pages 1-16, September.
    35. Onan, Mustafa & Salih, Aslihan & Yasar, Burze, 2014. "Impact of macroeconomic announcements on implied volatility slope of SPX options and VIX," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 11(4), pages 454-462.
    36. Michelle L. Barnes & Anthony W. Hughes, 2002. "A quantile regression analysis of the cross section of stock market returns," Working Papers 02-2, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
    37. HaiYue Liu & Yile Wang & Dongmei He & Cangyu Wang, 2020. "Short term response of Chinese stock markets to the outbreak of COVID-19," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 52(53), pages 5859-5872, November.
    38. Dao Le Trang Anh & Christopher Gan, 2020. "The impact of the COVID-19 lockdown on stock market performance: evidence from Vietnam," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 48(4), pages 836-851, August.
    39. Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Jana, R.K. & Roubaud, David, 2019. "The policy uncertainty and market volatility puzzle: Evidence from wavelet analysis," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 31(C).
    40. Azimli, Asil, 2020. "The impact of COVID-19 on the degree of dependence and structure of risk-return relationship: A quantile regression approach," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 36(C).
    41. G. S. Maddala & Shaowen Wu, 1999. "A Comparative Study of Unit Root Tests with Panel Data and a New Simple Test," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 61(S1), pages 631-652, November.
    42. Kalyvas, Antonios & Papakyriakou, Panayiotis & Sakkas, Athanasios & Urquhart, Andrew, 2020. "What drives Bitcoin’s price crash risk?," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 191(C).
    43. Wagner, Alexander F. & Ramelli, Stefano, 2020. "Feverish Stock Price Reactions to COVID-19," CEPR Discussion Papers 14511, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    44. Levin, Andrew & Lin, Chien-Fu & James Chu, Chia-Shang, 2002. "Unit root tests in panel data: asymptotic and finite-sample properties," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 108(1), pages 1-24, May.
    45. Laura Alfaro & Anusha Chari & Andrew N. Greenland & Peter K. Schott, 2020. "Aggregate and Firm-Level Stock Returns During Pandemics, in Real Time," NBER Working Papers 26950, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    46. Bamanga Umar & Sabri Nayan, 2018. "Poverty Reduction and Stock Market Development:Evidence from Africa," Pakistan Journal of Humanities and Social Sciences, International Research Alliance for Sustainable Development (iRASD), vol. 6(3), pages :338-356, September.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Wang, Zhixuan & Dong, Yanli & Liu, Ailan, 2022. "How does China's stock market react to supply chain disruptions from COVID-19?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    2. Szczygielski, Jan Jakub & Charteris, Ailie & Bwanya, Princess Rutendo & Brzeszczyński, Janusz, 2022. "The impact and role of COVID-19 uncertainty: A global industry analysis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    3. Sherif. M. Hassan & John M. Riveros Gavilanes, 2021. "First to React Is the Last to Forgive: Evidence from the Stock Market Impact of COVID 19," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(1), pages 1-25, January.
    4. Hasan, Md. Tanvir, 2022. "The sum of all SCARES COVID-19 sentiment and asset return," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 332-346.
    5. Kamal, Javed Bin & Wohar, Mark, 2023. "Heterogenous responses of stock markets to covid related news and sentiments: Evidence from the 1st year of pandemic," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 173(C), pages 68-85.
    6. Rao, Purnima & Goyal, Nisha & Kumar, Satish & Hassan, M. Kabir & Shahimi, Shahida, 2021. "Vulnerability of financial markets in India: The contagious effect of COVID-19," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    7. Cervantes, Paula & Díaz, Antonio & Esparcia, Carlos & Huélamo, Diego, 2022. "The impact of COVID-19 induced panic on stock market returns: A two-year experience," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 1075-1097.
    8. Seyed Alireza Athari & Dervis Kirikkaleli & Tomiwa Sunday Adebayo, 2023. "World pandemic uncertainty and German stock market: evidence from Markov regime-switching and Fourier based approaches," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 57(2), pages 1923-1936, April.
    9. Alam, Md Shabbir & Murshed, Muntasir & Manigandan, Palanisamy & Pachiyappan, Duraisamy & Abduvaxitovna, Shamansurova Zilola, 2023. "Forecasting oil, coal, and natural gas prices in the pre-and post-COVID scenarios: Contextual evidence from India using time series forecasting tools," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    10. Tanveer, Zubair, 2021. "Event Analysis of the COVID-19: Evidence from the Stock Markets of Twenty Highly Infected Countries," Jurnal Ekonomi Malaysia, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia, vol. 55(1), pages 3-25.
    11. Szczygielski, Jan Jakub & Charteris, Ailie & Bwanya, Princess Rutendo & Brzeszczyński, Janusz, 2023. "Which COVID-19 information really impacts stock markets?," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    12. Tomás Gómez Rodríguez & Humberto Ríos Bolívar & Adriana Zambrano Reyes, 2021. "Volatilidad y COVID-19: evidencia empírica internacional," Remef - Revista Mexicana de Economía y Finanzas Nueva Época REMEF (The Mexican Journal of Economics and Finance), Instituto Mexicano de Ejecutivos de Finanzas, IMEF, vol. 16(3), pages 1-20, Julio - S.
    13. Ismail Fasanya & Ololade Periola & Abiodun Adetokunbo, 2023. "On the effects of Covid-19 pandemic on stock prices: an imminent global threat," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 57(3), pages 2231-2248, June.
    14. Isabel Carrillo-Hidalgo & Juan Ignacio Pulido-Fernández & José Luis Durán-Román & Jairo Casado-Montilla, 2023. "COVID-19 and tourism sector stock price in Spain: medium-term relationship through dynamic regression models," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 1-24, December.
    15. Huynh, Nhan & Dao, Anh & Nguyen, Dat, 2021. "Openness, economic uncertainty, government responses, and international financial market performance during the coronavirus pandemic," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 31(C).
    16. Manel Youssef & Khaled Mokni & Ahdi Noomen Ajmi, 2021. "Dynamic connectedness between stock markets in the presence of the COVID-19 pandemic: does economic policy uncertainty matter?," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 7(1), pages 1-27, December.
    17. Meral Kagitci, 2020. "The impact of COVID – 19 on the stocks’ yield from the pharmaceutical sector," Journal of Financial Studies, Institute of Financial Studies, vol. 9(5), pages 58-71, November.
    18. Ashraf, Badar Nadeem, 2020. "Economic impact of government interventions during the COVID-19 pandemic: International evidence from financial markets," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 27(C).
    19. Ștefan Cristian Gherghina & Daniel Ștefan Armeanu & Camelia Cătălina Joldeș, 2020. "Stock Market Reactions to COVID-19 Pandemic Outbreak: Quantitative Evidence from ARDL Bounds Tests and Granger Causality Analysis," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(18), pages 1-35, September.
    20. Topcu, Mert & Gulal, Omer Serkan, 2020. "The impact of COVID-19 on emerging stock markets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 36(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:jknowl:v:14:y:2023:i:2:d:10.1007_s13132-022-00970-7. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.