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COVID-19: stock market reactions to the shock and the stimulus

Author

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  • Maretno Agus Harjoto
  • Fabrizio Rossi
  • John K. Paglia

Abstract

Using the WHO announcement on 11 March 2020 and the Federal Reserve Bank announcement on 9 April 2020 as two events that represent the shock and the stimulus, this study finds that COVID-19 caused a negative shock to the global stock markets, especially in emerging markets and for small firms. We find that the US stock market experienced positive abnormal returns from the Fed stimulus compared to other developed countries and emerging markets. We find that the positive abnormal returns from the stimulus were garnered by the US large firms instead of the small firms.

Suggested Citation

  • Maretno Agus Harjoto & Fabrizio Rossi & John K. Paglia, 2021. "COVID-19: stock market reactions to the shock and the stimulus," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(10), pages 795-801, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:28:y:2021:i:10:p:795-801
    DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1781767
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    Cited by:

    1. Sisa Shiba & Juncal Cunado & Rangan Gupta, 2022. "Predictability of the Realised Volatility of International Stock Markets Amid Uncertainty Related to Infectious Diseases," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 15(1), pages 1-18, January.
    2. Wang, Zhixuan & Dong, Yanli & Liu, Ailan, 2022. "How does China's stock market react to supply chain disruptions from COVID-19?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    3. Wu, JunFeng & Zhang, Chao & Chen, Yun, 2022. "Analysis of risk correlations among stock markets during the COVID-19 pandemic," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    4. Kamal, Javed Bin & Wohar, Mark, 2023. "Heterogenous responses of stock markets to covid related news and sentiments: Evidence from the 1st year of pandemic," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 173(C), pages 68-85.
    5. Nguyen Ngoc Thach, 2023. "Applying Monte Carlo Simulations to a Small Data Analysis of a Case of Economic Growth in COVID-19 Times," SAGE Open, , vol. 13(2), pages 21582440231, June.
    6. Sisa Shiba & Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta & Samrat Goswami, 2022. "Forecastability of Agricultural Commodity Futures Realised Volatility with Daily Infectious Disease-Related Uncertainty," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 15(11), pages 1-15, November.
    7. Sabeeh Ullah, 2023. "Impact of COVID-19 Pandemic on Financial Markets: a Global Perspective," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 14(2), pages 982-1003, June.
    8. Jessica Birkholz & Jarina Kühn & Mariia Shkolnykova, 2022. "Exploration or Exploitation: Innovation Behavior of SMEs and Large Firms during the COVID-19 Crisis," Bremen Papers on Economics & Innovation 2203, University of Bremen, Faculty of Business Studies and Economics.
    9. Ho, Ken C. & Gao, Yibo & Gu, Qiying & Yang, Da, 2022. "Covid-19 vaccine approvals and stock market returns: The case of Chinese stocks," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 215(C).
    10. Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Yousaf, Imran & Karim, Sitara & Yarovaya, Larisa & Ali, Shoaib, 2023. "Tail-event driven NETwork dependence in emerging markets," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
    11. Eddie C. M. Hui & Ka Kwan Kevin Chan, 2022. "How does Covid-19 affect global equity markets?," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 8(1), pages 1-19, December.
    12. Yashraj Varma & Renuka Venkataramani & Parthajit Kayal & Moinak Maiti, 2021. "Short-Term Impact of COVID-19 on Indian Stock Market," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(11), pages 1-15, November.
    13. Richard C. K. Burdekin & Samuel Harrison, 2021. "Relative Stock Market Performance during the Coronavirus Pandemic: Virus vs. Policy Effects in 80 Countries," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(4), pages 1-18, April.
    14. Emre Cevik & Buket Kirci Altinkeski & Emrah Ismail Cevik & Sel Dibooglu, 2022. "Investor sentiments and stock markets during the COVID-19 pandemic," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 8(1), pages 1-34, December.
    15. Duan, Kun & Liu, Yang & Yan, Cheng & Huang, Yingying, 2023. "Differences in carbon risk spillovers with green versus traditional assets: Evidence from a full distributional analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 127(PA).
    16. Li, Cong & Lin, Shiwei & Sun, Yihan & Afshan, Sahar & Yaqoob, Tanzeela, 2022. "The asymmetric effect of oil price, news-based uncertainty, and COVID-19 pandemic on equity market," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    17. Cui xiaozhong, & Yen-Ku, Kuo & Maneengam, Apichit & Cong, Phan The & Quynh, Nguyen Ngoc & Ageli, Mohammed Moosa & Wisetsri, Worakamol, 2022. "Covid-19 and oil and gold price volatilities: Evidence from China market," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    18. Iwanicz-Drozdowska Małgorzata & Rogowicz Karol & Smaga Paweł, 2023. "Market-moving events and their role in portfolio optimization of generations X, Y, and Z," International Journal of Management and Economics, Warsaw School of Economics, Collegium of World Economy, vol. 59(4), pages 371-397, December.
    19. Mensi, Walid & Vo, Xuan Vinh & Ko, Hee-Un & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2023. "Frequency spillovers between green bonds, global factors and stock market before and during COVID-19 crisis," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 558-580.
    20. Mohammad K. Elshqirat, 2022. "Can The Easing Of COVID-19 Restrictions Enhance the Performance of Sectors in The Stock Market?," International Business Research, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 15(4), pages 1-34, April.
    21. Mensi, Walid & Reboredo, Juan C. & Ugolini, Andrea, 2021. "Price-switching spillovers between gold, oil, and stock markets: Evidence from the USA and China during the COVID-19 pandemic," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    22. Sakawa, Hideaki & Watanabel, Naoki, 2023. "The impact of the COVID-19 outbreak on Japanese shipping industry: An event study approach," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 130(C), pages 130-140.
    23. Wang, Xueli & Wang, Lei & Zhang, Xuerong & Fan, Fei, 2022. "The spatiotemporal evolution of COVID-19 in China and its impact on urban economic resilience," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    24. Alam, Md Shabbir & Murshed, Muntasir & Manigandan, Palanisamy & Pachiyappan, Duraisamy & Abduvaxitovna, Shamansurova Zilola, 2023. "Forecasting oil, coal, and natural gas prices in the pre-and post-COVID scenarios: Contextual evidence from India using time series forecasting tools," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    25. Hasan, Md. Tanvir, 2022. "The sum of all SCARES COVID-19 sentiment and asset return," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 332-346.

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