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Aggregate Demand Disturbances in the Visegrad Group and the Eurozone

Author

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  • Krzysztof Beck

    (Lazarski University)

  • Jakub Janus

    (Cracow University of Economics)

Abstract

The main goal of the paper is to evaluate, in a comparative manner, the degree of similarities in aggregated demand disturbances in the Visegrad Group (the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland and Slovakia, collectively: V4) and the Eurozone economies from 1995 to 2013. The underlying demand disturbances are extracted using the structural vector auto-regression (SVAR) model with the long-run restrictions. The identification scheme is based on the theoretical aggregate supplyaggregate demand (AS-AD) model. The obtained approximations of unobservable demand shocks are then used to infer on their correlation structures. The demand shocks among the four economies are described by the highest correlation among all chosen sub-samples. The dynamic approach revealed that the synchronization of the demand shocks in the V4 Group was stronger even when compared to the EMU core. The adjustments to the demand shocks in the V4 countries are relatively flexible and these economies converge to long-run equilibria at a fast pace. The V4 countries fulfil substantial criteria of an optimum currency area and could benefit from adoption of a single currency, as well as a common monetary policy. This comparative empirical study brings evidence on the similarities in aggregate demand shocks within the V4 and EMU countries.

Suggested Citation

  • Krzysztof Beck & Jakub Janus, 2013. "Aggregate Demand Disturbances in the Visegrad Group and the Eurozone," Entrepreneurial Business and Economics Review, Centre for Strategic and International Entrepreneurship at the Cracow University of Economics., vol. 1(3), pages 7-19.
    • Handle: RePEc:krk:eberjl:v:1:y:2013:i:3:p:7-19
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Krzysztof Beck & Ntokozo Patrick Nzimande, 2023. "Labor mobility and business cycle synchronization in Southern Africa," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 56(1), pages 159-179, February.
    2. Czyżewski, Daniel, 2021. "The relationship between the international trade and economic growth accounting for model uncertainty and reverse causality," MPRA Paper 108405, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Krzysztof Beck, 2016. "Business Cycle Synchronization In European Union: Regional Perspective," Equilibrium. Quarterly Journal of Economics and Economic Policy, Institute of Economic Research, vol. 11(4), pages 785-815, December.
    4. Gawlik, Remigiusz, 2017. "Wybory młodych Europejczyków w pokryzysowej rzeczywistości - propozycja modelu decyzyjnego opartego na metodzie AHP [Choices of young Europeans in a post-crisis reality - Proposal of an AHP-based d," MPRA Paper 78838, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Krzysztof Beck, 2021. "Capital mobility and the synchronization of business cycles: Evidence from the European Union," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 29(4), pages 1065-1079, September.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    optimum currency area; economic shocks; SVAR; Visegrad Group;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • F15 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Economic Integration
    • F44 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - International Business Cycles
    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models

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