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The extreme-value dependence between the crude oil price and Chinese stock markets

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  • Chen, Qian
  • Lv, Xin

Abstract

This paper examines the asymptotic dependence between the Chinese stock market and the world crude oil market based on the Extreme Value Theory (EVT) and finds a positive extremal dependence. We explain this positive dependence in terms of economic cycles due to the co-movement between the Chinese stock market, the world oil market and the global economic cycle. EVT satisfactorily captures the Chinese special oil price adjustment mechanism. We also examine the contagion effect and find that the dependence level tends to increase dramatically during the crisis period but that the simultaneous booms between these two markets decrease considerably after the crisis.

Suggested Citation

  • Chen, Qian & Lv, Xin, 2015. "The extreme-value dependence between the crude oil price and Chinese stock markets," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 121-132.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:reveco:v:39:y:2015:i:c:p:121-132
    DOI: 10.1016/j.iref.2015.03.007
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    Cited by:

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    2. Singhal, Shelly & Ghosh, Sajal, 2016. "Returns and volatility linkages between international crude oil price, metal and other stock indices in India: Evidence from VAR-DCC-GARCH models," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 276-288.
    3. Población, Javier & Serna, Gregorio, 2016. "Is the refining margin stationary?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 169-186.
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    8. Peng, Cheng & Zhu, Huiming & Jia, Xianghua & You, Wanhai, 2017. "Stock price synchronicity to oil shocks across quantiles: Evidence from Chinese oil firms," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 248-259.
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    10. Bouri, Elie & Chen, Qian & Lien, Donald & Lv, Xin, 2017. "Causality between oil prices and the stock market in China: The relevance of the reformed oil product pricing mechanism," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 34-48.
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    13. Huiming Zhu & Xianfang Su & Yawei Guo & Yinghua Ren, 2016. "The Asymmetric Effects of Oil Price Shocks on the Chinese Stock Market: Evidence from a Quantile Impulse Response Perspective," Sustainability, MDPI, Open Access Journal, vol. 8(8), pages 1-19, August.
    14. Jian Chai & Youhong Zhou & Ting Liang & Limin Xing & Kin Keung Lai, 2016. "Impact of International Oil Price on Energy Conservation and Emission Reduction in China," Sustainability, MDPI, Open Access Journal, vol. 8(6), pages 1-17, May.
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    16. Zhu, Huiming & Guo, Yawei & You, Wanhai & Xu, Yaqin, 2016. "The heterogeneity dependence between crude oil price changes and industry stock market returns in China: Evidence from a quantile regression approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 30-41.
    17. Zhu, Huiming & Huang, Hui & Peng, Cheng & Yang, Yan, 2016. "Extreme dependence between crude oil and stock markets in Asia-Pacific regions: Evidence from quantile regression," Economics Discussion Papers 2016-46, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Crude oil price; Stock market; Extreme Value Theory; Economic cycle;

    JEL classification:

    • C58 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Financial Econometrics
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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