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Intermodal competition and substitution. HSR versus air transport: Understanding the socio-economic determinants of modal choice

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  • Bergantino, Angela Stefania
  • Madio, Leonardo

Abstract

In this article we study whether and to what extent the introduction of HSR can lead to inter-modal substitution and we identify the segments of demand which are less captive to the currently chosen mode. We use a discrete choice experiment to determine the optimal modal choice under the current set of available alternatives (train, bus, flights, car-pooling, private car) and the planned HSR services on the Bari-Rome and Brindisi-Rome route. The comparative analysis of the two routes allows us to investigate the effect of distance/time on the modal choice, in a similar geographical context characterized by the same set of modal alternatives. Using original data gathered through a stated/revealed preference exercise we find that the probability of changing the modal choice toward HSR increases with age, income and education as well as the purpose of the trip (Business), but the latter only for long-distance connections (above 500 km). Finally, we find that the potential shift in demand is more likely to come from air transport (air-to-HSR) and conventional rail services (rail-to-HSR).

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  • Bergantino, Angela Stefania & Madio, Leonardo, 2020. "Intermodal competition and substitution. HSR versus air transport: Understanding the socio-economic determinants of modal choice," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:retrec:v:79:y:2020:i:c:s0739885920300123
    DOI: 10.1016/j.retrec.2020.100823
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    Cited by:

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    2. Rategh, Yalda & Tamannaei, Mohammad & Zarei, Hamid, 2022. "A game-theoretic approach to an oligopolistic transportation market: Coopetition between incumbent systems subject to the entrance threat of an HSR service," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 165(C), pages 144-171.
    3. Wang, Yixiao & Pels, Eric & Teunter, Ruud H. & Sun, Luoyi & Wu, Jianhong, 2023. "Railway liberalization, airport congestion toll, and infrastructure pricing: Modelling and numerical analysis for European and Chinese markets," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 170(C).
    4. Amitrajeet A. Batabyal & Hamid Beladi, 2022. "Commuting to work in cities: Bus, car, or train?," Regional Science Policy & Practice, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 14(3), pages 599-609, June.
    5. Asep Yayat Nurhidayat & Hera Widyastuti & Sutikno & Dwi Phalita Upahita, 2023. "Research on Passengers’ Preferences and Impact of High-Speed Rail on Air Transport Demand," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(4), pages 1-26, February.
    6. Anne Aguiléra & Eléonore Pigalle, 2021. "The Future and Sustainability of Carpooling Practices. An Identification of Research Challenges," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(21), pages 1-16, October.
    7. Avogadro, Nicolò & Pels, Eric & Redondi, Renato, 2023. "Policy impacts on the propensity to travel by HSR in the Amsterdam – London market," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 87(PB).
    8. Thierry Blayac & Patrice Bougette & Florent Laroche, 2023. "What Drive HSR' Prices and Frequencies? An Analysis of Intermodal Competition and Multiproduct Incumbent's Strategies in the French Market," Working Papers halshs-03934485, HAL.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    High speed rail; Intermodal competition; Passenger transport; Airlines; Coach; Blablacar; Italy;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • L91 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Transportation and Utilities - - - Transportation: General
    • L92 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Transportation and Utilities - - - Railroads and Other Surface Transportation
    • L93 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Transportation and Utilities - - - Air Transportation
    • R40 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Transportation Economics - - - General
    • O18 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Urban, Rural, Regional, and Transportation Analysis; Housing; Infrastructure

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