IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/pacfin/v94y2025ics0927538x25002859.html

Who leads in China's interbank market? Information networks and quote spillovers in SHIBOR

Author

Listed:
  • Chen, Yu-Lun
  • Hu, Ming-Che
  • Liao, Wen-Ju
  • Chang, Yu-Ting

Abstract

This paper investigates quote spillovers and information transmission among Shanghai Interbank Offered Rate (SHIBOR) panel banks across different maturities. We find strong synchronization in short-term quote submissions, with increasing heterogeneity and asymmetry at longer tenors. Large state-owned banks consistently act as dominant transmitters of market signals, while joint-stock and city commercial banks tend to be followers. Despite being foreign-owned, HSBC often acts as a key transmitter, highlighting the importance of global reach and cross-border liquidity. Empirical analysis shows that economic policy uncertainty, systemic risk exposure, and China's central bank open market operations are key drivers of spillover dynamics. The results provide new insights into the structural behavior of China's interbank market and the stability of its interest rate benchmark system.

Suggested Citation

  • Chen, Yu-Lun & Hu, Ming-Che & Liao, Wen-Ju & Chang, Yu-Ting, 2025. "Who leads in China's interbank market? Information networks and quote spillovers in SHIBOR," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:pacfin:v:94:y:2025:i:c:s0927538x25002859
    DOI: 10.1016/j.pacfin.2025.102948
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0927538X25002859
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.pacfin.2025.102948?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to

    for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Banerjee, Ryan N. & Mio, Hitoshi, 2018. "The impact of liquidity regulation on banks," Journal of Financial Intermediation, Elsevier, vol. 35(PB), pages 30-44.
    2. Viral V. Acharya & Tanju Yorulmazer, 2008. "Information Contagion and Bank Herding," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 40(1), pages 215-231, February.
    3. Diebold, Francis X. & Yilmaz, Kamil, 2012. "Better to give than to receive: Predictive directional measurement of volatility spillovers," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 28(1), pages 57-66.
    4. Christian Brownlees & Robert F. Engle, 2017. "SRISK: A Conditional Capital Shortfall Measure of Systemic Risk," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 30(1), pages 48-79.
    5. Allen, Franklin & Qian, Jun & Qian, Meijun, 2005. "Law, finance, and economic growth in China," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 77(1), pages 57-116, July.
    6. Cheng, Xiaoqiang & Wang, Yabin, 2022. "Shadow banking and the bank lending channel of monetary policy in China," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 128(C).
    7. Viral V. Acharya & Lasse H. Pedersen & Thomas Philippon & Matthew Richardson, 2017. "Measuring Systemic Risk," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 30(1), pages 2-47.
    8. Priyank Gandhi & Benjamin Golez & Jens Carsten Jackwerth & Alberto Plazzi, 2019. "Financial Market Misconduct and Public Enforcement: The Case of Libor Manipulation," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 65(11), pages 5268-5289, November.
    9. Scott R. Baker & Nicholas Bloom & Steven J. Davis, 2016. "Measuring Economic Policy Uncertainty," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 131(4), pages 1593-1636.
    10. Heider, Florian & Hoerova, Marie & Holthausen, Cornelia, 2015. "Liquidity hoarding and interbank market rates: The role of counterparty risk," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 118(2), pages 336-354.
    11. Paolo Angelini & Andrea Nobili & Cristina Picillo, 2011. "The Interbank Market after August 2007: What Has Changed, and Why?," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 43(5), pages 923-958, August.
    12. Li, Ming & Sun, Hang & Zong, Jichuan, 2021. "Intertemporal imitation behavior of interbank offered rate submissions," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    13. Alexander Eisl & Rainer Jankowitsch & Marti G. Subrahmanyam, 2017. "The Manipulation Potential of Libor and Euribor," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 23(4), pages 604-647, September.
    14. Kaiji Chen & Jue Ren & Tao Zha, 2018. "The Nexus of Monetary Policy and Shadow Banking in China," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 108(12), pages 3891-3936, December.
    15. Tomohiro Ando & Matthew Greenwood-Nimmo & Yongcheol Shin, 2022. "Quantile Connectedness: Modeling Tail Behavior in the Topology of Financial Networks," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 68(4), pages 2401-2431, April.
    16. Billio, Monica & Getmansky, Mila & Lo, Andrew W. & Pelizzon, Loriana, 2012. "Econometric measures of connectedness and systemic risk in the finance and insurance sectors," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(3), pages 535-559.
    17. Diebold, Francis X. & Yılmaz, Kamil, 2014. "On the network topology of variance decompositions: Measuring the connectedness of financial firms," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 182(1), pages 119-134.
    18. He, Dong & Wang, Honglin, 2012. "Dual-track interest rates and the conduct of monetary policy in China," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 23(4), pages 928-947.
    19. Eross, Andrea & Urquhart, Andrew & Wolfe, Simon, 2016. "Liquidity risk contagion in the interbank market," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 142-155.
    20. Viral V. Acharya & Qian Jun & Yang Su & Zhishu Yang, 2024. "Fiscal Stimulus, Deposit Competition, and the Rise of Shadow Banking: Evidence from China," NBER Working Papers 32034, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Zhou, Dong-hai & Liu, Xiao-xing, 2024. "Does systemic risk in the fund markets predict future economic downturns?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
    2. Chen, Huayi & Shi, Huai-Long & Zhou, Wei-Xing, 2024. "Carbon volatility connectedness and the role of external uncertainties: Evidence from China," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 33(C).
    3. Feng, Yusen & Wang, Gang-Jin & Zhu, You & Xie, Chi, 2023. "Systemic risk spillovers and the determinants in the stock markets of the Belt and Road countries," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
    4. Chen, Bin-xia & Sun, Yan-lin, 2024. "Financial market connectedness between the U.S. and China: A new perspective based on non-linear causality networks," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    5. Gang-Jin Wang & Chi Xie & Kaijian He & H. Eugene Stanley, 2017. "Extreme risk spillover network: application to financial institutions," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(9), pages 1417-1433, September.
    6. Jozef Barunik & Mattia Bevilacqua & Radu Tunaru, 2022. "Asymmetric Network Connectedness of Fears," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 104(6), pages 1304-1316, November.
    7. Foglia, Matteo & Addi, Abdelhamid & Angelini, Eliana, 2022. "The Eurozone banking sector in the time of COVID-19: Measuring volatility connectedness," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    8. ZHANG, Ping & WANG, Yiru & ZHAO, Min & YANG, Tzu-Yi, 2021. "Measuring Systemic Risk Of China'S Listed Banks," Studii Financiare (Financial Studies), Centre of Financial and Monetary Research "Victor Slavescu", vol. 25(3), pages 6-28, September.
    9. Fang, Yi & Lin, Hao & Lu, Liping, 2025. "Measuring systemic risk from textual Analysis: Evidence from Chinese Banks," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
    10. Marta Gómez-Puig & Simón Sosvilla-Rivero & Manish K. Singh, 2018. "“The robustness of the sovereign-bank interconnection: Evidence from contingent claims analysis”," IREA Working Papers 201804, University of Barcelona, Research Institute of Applied Economics, revised Feb 2018.
    11. Foglia, Matteo & Addi, Abdelhamid & Wang, Gang-Jin & Angelini, Eliana, 2022. "Bearish Vs Bullish risk network: A Eurozone financial system analysis," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    12. Wei, Hongyu & An, Feng & Gao, Xiangyun & Sun, Xiaotian, 2025. "Self-dynamics and inter-dynamics network reconstruction for characterizing the systemic risk in stock market," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 201(P3).
    13. Atasoy, Burak Sencer & Özkan, İbrahim & Erden, Lütfi, 2024. "The determinants of systemic risk contagion," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
    14. Andrieş, Alin Marius & Ongena, Steven & Sprincean, Nicu & Tunaru, Radu, 2022. "Risk spillovers and interconnectedness between systemically important institutions," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    15. Assaf, Ata & Daia, Roula Al & Charif, Husni & Mokni, Khaled, 2025. "Extreme return connectedness among renewable energy and rare earth markets: The role of global factors," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 77(PB).
    16. Cotter, John & Hallam, Mark & Yilmaz, Kamil, 2023. "Macro-financial spillovers," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    17. Shi, Huai-Long & Chen, Huayi, 2025. "Quantile return connectedness of theme factors and portfolio implications: Evidence from the US and China," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    18. Brož, Václav & Teplý, Petr, 2025. "From collapse to contagion: How bank failures influence stock markets," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    19. Wang, Gang-Jin & Xie, Chi & Zhao, Longfeng & Jiang, Zhi-Qiang, 2018. "Volatility connectedness in the Chinese banking system: Do state-owned commercial banks contribute more?," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 205-230.
    20. Cai, Jian & Eidam, Frederik & Saunders, Anthony & Steffen, Sascha, 2018. "Syndication, interconnectedness, and systemic risk," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 105-120.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;

    JEL classification:

    • E4 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates
    • E5 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit
    • G1 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:pacfin:v:94:y:2025:i:c:s0927538x25002859. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/pacfin .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.