IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/jrpoli/v79y2022ics0301420722004767.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Commodity dynamism in the COVID-19 crisis: Are gold, oil, and stock commodity prices, symmetrical?

Author

Listed:
  • Sadiq, Muhammad
  • Lin, Chia-Yang
  • Wang, Kuan-Ting
  • Trung, Lam Minh
  • Duong, Khoa Dang
  • Ngo, Thanh Quang

Abstract

The current research intends to examine the commodities' dynamism connection with stock prices under the COVID-19 crisis. DCC-GARCH modeling was applied to the data of Asian economies, including China, India, Sri Lanka, Bangladesh, and Pakistan to achieve the study objectives. The study's results indicated a significant connection between gold prices with stock prices and oil prices for all Asian stock markets. The results of the study constructs were symmetrical. In general, the connection grows with the frequency. The lowest frequency months contributed the most to the total relationship, followed by more than 12 months. Overall, gold and oil prices influence the Asian stock markets. These research findings can avoid contagion in times of economic uncertainty. This study also suggested policy implications for better decision-making of key stakeholders. Dynamic coefficient values were about 0.8 of β2 because nations' internal markets were more closely linked. There are also dynamic relationship factors between crude oil and foreign currency markets, where the correlations in India and China have always been around 0.

Suggested Citation

  • Sadiq, Muhammad & Lin, Chia-Yang & Wang, Kuan-Ting & Trung, Lam Minh & Duong, Khoa Dang & Ngo, Thanh Quang, 2022. "Commodity dynamism in the COVID-19 crisis: Are gold, oil, and stock commodity prices, symmetrical?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:jrpoli:v:79:y:2022:i:c:s0301420722004767
    DOI: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2022.103033
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0301420722004767
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.resourpol.2022.103033?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Genc, Talat S., 2017. "OPEC and demand response to crude oil prices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 238-246.
    2. Färe, Rolf & Grosskopf, Shawna, 2010. "Directional distance functions and slacks-based measures of efficiency: Some clarifications," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 206(3), pages 702-702, November.
    3. Hanif, Imran & Aziz, Babar & Chaudhry, Imran Sharif, 2019. "Carbon emissions across the spectrum of renewable and nonrenewable energy use in developing economies of Asia," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 143(C), pages 586-595.
    4. Massimo Filippini & William Greene, 2016. "Persistent and transient productive inefficiency: a maximum simulated likelihood approach," Journal of Productivity Analysis, Springer, vol. 45(2), pages 187-196, April.
    5. Kocher, Martin G. & Luptacik, Mikulas & Sutter, Matthias, 2006. "Measuring productivity of research in economics: A cross-country study using DEA," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 40(4), pages 314-332, December.
    6. Mohsin, Muhammad & Taghizadeh-Hesary, Farhad & Iqbal, Nadeem & Saydaliev, Hayot Berk, 2022. "The role of technological progress and renewable energy deployment in green economic growth," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 190(C), pages 777-787.
    7. Hatefi, S.M. & Torabi, S.A., 2010. "A common weight MCDA-DEA approach to construct composite indicators," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 70(1), pages 114-120, November.
    8. Tetyana Vasylieva & Oleksii Lyulyov & Yuriy Bilan & Dalia Streimikiene, 2019. "Sustainable Economic Development and Greenhouse Gas Emissions: The Dynamic Impact of Renewable Energy Consumption, GDP, and Corruption," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(17), pages 1-12, August.
    9. Rempel, Arthur & Gupta, Joyeeta, 2021. "Fossil fuels, stranded assets and COVID-19: Imagining an inclusive & transformative recovery," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
    10. Mohamad Kaakeh & Sabina Sheherbano Shirazi & Korhan K. Gokmenoglu, 2021. "The Extended GREEN-A Framework: A Gender Comparison in Consumer Support for Sustainable Businesses Practices," Journal of Environmental Assessment Policy and Management (JEAPM), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 23(01n02), pages 1-30, June.
    11. Mika Marttunen & Jyri Mustajoki, 2018. "Use of Analyst-Generated Stakeholder Preference Profiles in Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis — Experiences from an Urban Planning Case," Journal of Environmental Assessment Policy and Management (JEAPM), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 20(03), pages 1-29, September.
    12. Guo, Yangli & Ma, Feng & Li, Haibo & Lai, Xiaodong, 2022. "Oil price volatility predictability based on global economic conditions," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    13. Bai, Yang & Dahl, Carol, 2018. "Evaluating the management of U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve during oil disruptions," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 25-38.
    14. Paresh Kumar Narayan, 2005. "The saving and investment nexus for China: evidence from cointegration tests," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(17), pages 1979-1990.
    15. Sigala, Marianna, 2020. "Tourism and COVID-19: Impacts and implications for advancing and resetting industry and research," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 312-321.
    16. Farhad Taghizadeh-Hesary & Farzad Taghizadeh-Hesary, 2020. "The Impacts of Air Pollution on Health and Economy in Southeast Asia," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(7), pages 1-15, April.
    17. Naoyuki Yoshino & Ehsan Rasoulinezhad & Farhad Taghizadeh-Hesary, 2021. "Economic Impacts of Carbon Tax in a General Equilibrium Framework: Empirical Study of Japan," Journal of Environmental Assessment Policy and Management (JEAPM), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 23(01n02), pages 1-25, June.
    18. Betarelli Junior, Admir Antonio & Faria, Weslem Rodrigues & Proque, Andressa Lemes & Perobelli, Fernando Salgueiro & de Almeida Vale, Vinicius, 2021. "COVID-19, public agglomerations and economic effects: Assessing the recovery time of passenger transport services in Brazil," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 110(C), pages 254-272.
    19. Bakirtas, Tahsin & Akpolat, Ahmet Gökçe, 2020. "The relationship between crude oil exports, crude oil prices and military expenditures in some OPEC countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    20. Drachal, Krzysztof, 2021. "Forecasting crude oil real prices with averaging time-varying VAR models," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    21. Liu, John S. & Lu, Louis Y.Y. & Lu, Wen-Min & Lin, Bruce J.Y., 2013. "Data envelopment analysis 1978–2010: A citation-based literature survey," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 41(1), pages 3-15.
    22. Scarpellini, Sabina & Alexia Sanz Hernández, M. & Moneva, José M. & Portillo-Tarragona, Pilar & Rodríguez, María Esther López, 2019. "Measurement of spatial socioeconomic impact of energy poverty," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 124(C), pages 320-331.
    23. Färe, Rolf & Grosskopf, Shawna, 2010. "Directional distance functions and slacks-based measures of efficiency," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 200(1), pages 320-322, January.
    24. Giuseppe Munda & Michela Nardo, 2009. "Noncompensatory/nonlinear composite indicators for ranking countries: a defensible setting," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 41(12), pages 1513-1523.
    25. Cline, Brandon N. & Fu, Xudong & Tang, Tian, 2020. "Shareholder investment horizons and bank debt financing," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
    26. Zhou, P. & Ang, B.W. & Poh, K.L., 2006. "Slacks-based efficiency measures for modeling environmental performance," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 60(1), pages 111-118, November.
    27. He, Shuying & Guo, Kun, 2021. "What factors contribute to the mutual dependence degree of China in its crude oil trading relationship with oil-exporting countries?," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 228(C).
    28. Mert Gürlek & Muharrem Tuna, 2018. "Reinforcing competitive advantage through green organizational culture and green innovation," The Service Industries Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(7-8), pages 467-491, June.
    29. Dam Lam, Rodolfo & Gasparatos, Alexandros & Chakraborty, Shamik & Rivera, Horacio & Stanley, Taira, 2019. "Multiple values and knowledge integration in indigenous coastal and marine social-ecological systems research: A systematic review," Ecosystem Services, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 1-1.
    30. Kamyk, Jarosław & Kot-Niewiadomska, Alicja & Galos, Krzysztof, 2021. "The criticality of crude oil for energy security: A case of Poland," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 220(C).
    31. Callens, Isabelle & Tyteca, Daniel, 1999. "Towards indicators of sustainable development for firms: A productive efficiency perspective," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 28(1), pages 41-53, January.
    32. Shahrestani, Parnia & Rafei, Meysam, 2020. "The impact of oil price shocks on Tehran Stock Exchange returns: Application of the Markov switching vector autoregressive models," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    33. Frank Hanssen & Roel May & Jiska van Dijk & Jan Ketil Rød, 2018. "Spatial Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis Tool Suite for Consensus-Based Siting of Renewable Energy Structures," Journal of Environmental Assessment Policy and Management (JEAPM), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 20(03), pages 1-28, September.
    34. Zhu, Kai & Li, Xueqiang & Campana, Pietro Elia & Li, Hailong & Yan, Jinyue, 2018. "Techno-economic feasibility of integrating energy storage systems in refrigerated warehouses," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 216(C), pages 348-357.
    35. Kazi Humayun Kabir & Md. Ayatullah Khan & Kamrul Hasan & Sharmin Aftab, 2022. "Driving Forces of Adaptation Decision and Strategies to Climate-Related Events: Case on Farming Households in South–West Coastal Bangladesh," Journal of Environmental Assessment Policy and Management (JEAPM), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 24(01), pages 1-26, March.
    36. Mohsin, Muhammad & Ullah, Hafeez & Iqbal, Nadeem & Iqbal, Wasim & Taghizadeh-Hesary, Farhad, 2021. "How external debt led to economic growth in South Asia: A policy perspective analysis from quantile regression," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 423-437.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Sofia Karagiannopoulou & Nikolaos Sariannidis & Konstantina Ragazou & Ioannis Passas & Alexandros Garefalakis, 2023. "Corporate Social Responsibility: A Business Strategy That Promotes Energy Environmental Transition and Combats Volatility in the Post-Pandemic World," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(3), pages 1-21, January.
    2. Chien, FengSheng & Paramaiah, Ch & joseph, Robinson & Pham, Hong Chuong & Phan, Thi Thu Hien & Ngo, Thanh Quang, 2023. "The impact of eco-innovation, trade openness, financial development, green energy and government governance on sustainable development in ASEAN countries," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 211(C), pages 259-268.
    3. Hsu, Ching-Chi & Chau, Ka Yin & Chien, FengSheng, 2023. "Natural resource volatility and financial development during Covid-19: Implications for economic recovery," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    4. Chien, FengSheng & Vu, Trong Lam & Hien Phan, Thi Thu & Van Nguyen, Sang & Viet Anh, Nguyen Ho & Ngo, Thanh Quang, 2023. "Zero-carbon energy transition in ASEAN countries: The role of carbon finance, carbon taxes, and sustainable energy technologies," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 212(C), pages 561-569.
    5. Chau, Ka Yin & Sadiq, Muhammad & Chien, FengSheng, 2023. "The role of natural resources and eco-financing in producing renewable energy and carbon neutrality: Evidence from ten Asian countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PA).
    6. Luqman, Muhammad & Mugheri, Adil & Ahmad, Najid & Soytas, Ugur, 2023. "Casting shadows on natural resource commodity markets: Unraveling the quantile dilemma of gold and crude oil prices," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 86(PA).
    7. Hu, Guoheng & Liu, Shan & Wu, Guo & Hu, Peng & Li, Ruiqi & Chen, Liujie, 2023. "Economic policy uncertainty, geopolitical risks, and the heterogeneity of commodity price fluctuations in China ——an empirical study based on TVP-SV-VAR model," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PA).
    8. Nguyen, Tran Thai Ha & Tu, Yu-Te & Diep, Gia Luat & Tran, Trung Kien & Tien, Nguyen Hoang & Chien, FengSheng, 2023. "Impact of natural resources extraction and energy consumption on the environmental sustainability in ASEAN countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PA).
    9. Chien, FengSheng & Chau, Ka Yin & Sadiq, Muhammad, 2023. "Impact of climate mitigation technology and natural resource management on climate change in China," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Chang, Lei & Taghizadeh-Hesary, Farhad & Saydaliev, Hayot Berk, 2022. "How do ICT and renewable energy impact sustainable development?," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 199(C), pages 123-131.
    2. Zhang, Shikun & Anser, Muhammad Khalid & Yao-Ping Peng, Michael & Chen, Chunchun, 2023. "Visualizing the sustainable development goals and natural resource utilization for green economic recovery after COVID-19 pandemic," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    3. Cai, Lu & Le, Thanh Tiep, 2023. "Natural resources and financial development: Role of corporate social responsibility on green economic growth in Vietnam," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    4. Xiong, Yuyu & Dai, Li, 2023. "Does green finance investment impact on sustainable development: Role of technological innovation and renewable energy," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 214(C), pages 342-349.
    5. Chang, Lei & Taghizadeh-Hesary, Farhad & Mohsin, Muhammad, 2023. "Role of artificial intelligence on green economic development: Joint determinates of natural resources and green total factor productivity," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    6. Liu, Yang & Dilanchiev, Azer & Xu, Kaifei & Hajiyeva, Aytan Merdan, 2022. "Financing SMEs and business development as new post Covid-19 economic recovery determinants," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 554-567.
    7. Witold Chmielarz & Marek Zborowski & Mesut Atasever & Jin Xuetao & Justyna Szpakowska, 2023. "The Role of ICT in Creating the Conscious Development of Green Energy Applications in Times of Crisis: Comparison of Poland, Türkiye and People's Republic of China," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(1), pages 492-519.
    8. Wang, Weiwei & Gao, Pengpeng & Wang, Jiahaoran, 2023. "Nexus among digital inclusive finance and carbon neutrality: Evidence from company-level panel data analysis," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    9. Xu, Nuo & Kasimov, Ikboljon & Wang, Yanan, 2022. "Unlocking private investment as a new determinant of green finance for renewable development in China," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 198(C), pages 1121-1130.
    10. Yu, Huaying & Wei, Wei & Li, Jinhe & Li, Ying, 2022. "The impact of green digital finance on energy resources and climate change mitigation in carbon neutrality: Case of 60 economies," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    11. Xu, Lan & Wu, Yang, 2023. "Nexus between green finance, renewable energy and carbon emission: Empirical evidence from selected Asian economies," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 215(C).
    12. Zhou, Haibo & Yang, Yi & Chen, Yao & Zhu, Joe, 2018. "Data envelopment analysis application in sustainability: The origins, development and future directions," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 264(1), pages 1-16.
    13. Chang, Wentao & Yin, Shanminhui & Yu, Mingwen & Teymurova, Vusala & Balabeyova, Narmina, 2023. "Impact of innovation on Corporate Social Responsibility: Evidence from China," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 1185-1194.
    14. Tan, Hua & Iqbal, Nadeem & Wu, Zhengzhong, 2022. "Evaluating the impact of stakeholder engagement for renewable energy sources and economic growth for CO2 emission," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 198(C), pages 999-1007.
    15. Zhang, Yong & Liu, Zhen & Baloch, Zulfiqar Ali, 2022. "Combining effects of private participation and green finance for renewable energy: Growth of economy as mediating tool," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 195(C), pages 1028-1036.
    16. Hongyu Zhang & Qi Huang, 2024. "RETRACTED ARTICLE: Innovations in supply chain management for sustainable energy transition: lessons from leading enterprises," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 57(3), pages 1-27, June.
    17. Gómez-Calvet, Roberto & Conesa, David & Gómez-Calvet, Ana Rosa & Tortosa-Ausina, Emili, 2014. "Energy efficiency in the European Union: What can be learned from the joint application of directional distance functions and slacks-based measures?," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 132(C), pages 137-154.
    18. Zhou, P. & Ang, B.W. & Wang, H., 2012. "Energy and CO2 emission performance in electricity generation: A non-radial directional distance function approach," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 221(3), pages 625-635.
    19. Sun, Jiasen & Yuan, Yang & Yang, Rui & Ji, Xiang & Wu, Jie, 2017. "Performance evaluation of Chinese port enterprises under significant environmental concerns: An extended DEA-based analysis," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 75-86.
    20. Kounetas, Konstantinos & Zervopoulos, Panagiotis D., 2019. "A cross-country evaluation of environmental performance: Is there a convergence-divergence pattern in technology gaps?," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 273(3), pages 1136-1148.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:jrpoli:v:79:y:2022:i:c:s0301420722004767. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/inca/30467 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.