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Modelling volatility persistence and asymmetry: A Study on selected Indian non-ferrous metals markets

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  • Gil-Alana, Luis A.
  • Tripathy, Trilochan

Abstract

This paper deals with the analysis of the volatility persistence and the leverage effect across six non-ferrous metals spot and futures series in India. Data for aluminium, copper, lead, nickel, zinc and tin were collected from 1st January, 2009 to 30th June, 2012. Volatility persistence was determined throughout the ARCH/GARCH class of models. The leverage effect was tested using TARCH and EGARCH models. Out of the twelve non-ferrous metals series including both spot and futures, TGARCH captures asymmetric effects in seven series and EGARCH captures leverage effect in ten series. Other long memory features of the data were also examined. Testing fractional integration our results show that the series are I(1) but the squared returns display long memory features.

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  • Gil-Alana, Luis A. & Tripathy, Trilochan, 2014. "Modelling volatility persistence and asymmetry: A Study on selected Indian non-ferrous metals markets," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 31-39.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:jrpoli:v:41:y:2014:i:c:p:31-39
    DOI: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2014.02.004
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    10. Wang, Xinya & Liu, Huifang & Huang, Shupei, 2019. "Identification of the daily seasonality in gold returns and volatilities: Evidence from Shanghai and London," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 522-531.
    11. Wang, Xiao-Qing & Qin, Meng & Moldovan, Nicoleta-Claudia & Su, Chi-Wei, 2023. "Bubble behaviors in lithium price and the contagion effect: An industry chain perspective," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    12. Ozgur, Onder & Yilanci, Veli & Ozbugday, Fatih Cemil, 2021. "Detecting speculative bubbles in metal prices: Evidence from GSADF test and machine learning approaches," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    13. József Popp & Judit Oláh & Mária Farkas Fekete & Zoltán Lakner & Domicián Máté, 2018. "The Relationship Between Prices of Various Metals, Oil and Scarcity," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(9), pages 1-19, September.
    14. Claudio-Quiroga, Gloria & Gil-Alana, Luis A. & Maiza-Larrarte, Andoni, 2023. "Mineral prices persistence and the development of a new energy vehicle industry in China: A fractional integration approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    15. Al-Yahyaee, Khamis Hamed & Rehman, Mobeen Ur & Wanas Al-Jarrah, Idries Mohammad & Mensi, Walid & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2020. "Co-movements and spillovers between prices of precious metals and non-ferrous metals: A multiscale analysis," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    16. Ordu-Akkaya, Beyza Mina & Ugurlu-Yildirim, Ecenur & Soytas, Ugur, 2019. "The role of trading volume, open interest and trader positions on volatility transmission between spot and futures markets," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 410-422.
    17. Nikhil Kaushik, 2018. "Do global oil price shocks affect Indian metal market?," Energy & Environment, , vol. 29(6), pages 891-904, September.
    18. Wahab, Bashir A. & Adewuyi, Adeolu O., 2021. "Analysis of major properties of metal prices using new methods: Structural breaks, non-linearity, stationarity and bubbles," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    19. Adibi, Nabiollah & Ataee-pour, Majid, 2015. "Decreasing minerals׳ revenue risk by diversification of mineral production in mineral rich countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 121-129.
    20. Berna Kirkulak-Uludag & Zorikto Lkhamazhapov, 2017. "Volatility Dynamics of Precious Metals: Evidence from Russia," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 67(4), pages 300-317, August.
    21. Ciner, Cetin & Lucey, Brian & Yarovaya, Larisa, 2020. "Spillovers, integration and causality in LME non-ferrous metal markets," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 17(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Volatility persistence; Price asymmetry; Leverage effect; Long memory;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G13 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Contingent Pricing; Futures Pricing

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