IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/jomega/v112y2022ics0305048322000822.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Subsidies for green technology adoption under uncertain demand and incomplete information

Author

Listed:
  • Zheng, Shiyuan
  • Jiang, Changmin
  • Fu, Xiaowen
  • Ge, Ying-En
  • Shu, Jia

Abstract

In order to encourage manufacturers to replace traditional high-emission equipment with new ones powered by green technology, alternative regulations, notably equipment subsidy policy (ESP) and operation subsidy policy (OSP), have been proposed to align manufacturers’ decisions with governments’ objectives. This study investigates manufacturers’ timing decisions to adopt green technology under ESP and OSP. In our study the market demand is dynamically stochastic, and the certain demand promotion is observable only by the manufacturer and can be promoted by inserting costly effort. A principal-agent model is developed in which the regulation on the adoption timing is specified as a call option exercised by the government and constrained by the manufacturer's incentive compatibility (IC), participation constraint (PC), ex ante IC, and ex ante PC. We find that the optimal subsidy policies exhibit stepwise structures, which depend solely on the demand promotion under complete information, and on the demand promotion as well as the manufacturer's effort cost under incomplete information. The optimal ESP and OSP are equivalent under complete information. Under incomplete information, these two policies lead to the same adoption timing if the demand is high, although ESP may require a larger subsidy budget. Otherwise, ESP promotes earlier adoption than OSP.

Suggested Citation

  • Zheng, Shiyuan & Jiang, Changmin & Fu, Xiaowen & Ge, Ying-En & Shu, Jia, 2022. "Subsidies for green technology adoption under uncertain demand and incomplete information," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 112(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:jomega:v:112:y:2022:i:c:s0305048322000822
    DOI: 10.1016/j.omega.2022.102675
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0305048322000822
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.omega.2022.102675?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Asano, Takao & Shibata, Akihisa, 2011. "Optimal pricing and quality choice of a monopolist under Knightian uncertainty," International Journal of Industrial Organization, Elsevier, vol. 29(6), pages 746-754.
    2. Kuno J.M. Huisman & Peter M. Kort, 2015. "Strategic capacity investment under uncertainty," RAND Journal of Economics, RAND Corporation, vol. 46(2), pages 376-408, June.
    3. Dung-Ying Lin & Chien-Chih Huang & ManWo Ng, 2017. "The coopetition game in international liner shipping," Maritime Policy & Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 44(4), pages 474-495, May.
    4. Thijssen, Jacco J. J. & Huisman, Kuno J. M. & Kort, Peter M., 2004. "The effect of information streams on capital budgeting decisions," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 157(3), pages 759-774, September.
    5. Jacco Thijssen & Kuno Huisman & Peter Kort, 2006. "The effects of information on strategic investment and welfare," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 28(2), pages 399-424, June.
    6. Grenadier, Steven R. & Wang, Neng, 2005. "Investment timing, agency, and information," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 75(3), pages 493-533, March.
    7. Jiayi Joey Yu & Christopher S. Tang & Zuo-Jun Max Shen, 2018. "Improving Consumer Welfare and Manufacturer Profit via Government Subsidy Programs: Subsidizing Consumers or Manufacturers?," Manufacturing & Service Operations Management, INFORMS, vol. 20(4), pages 752-766, October.
    8. David F. Drake & Paul R. Kleindorfer & Luk N. Van Wassenhove, 2016. "Technology Choice and Capacity Portfolios under Emissions Regulation," Production and Operations Management, Production and Operations Management Society, vol. 25(6), pages 1006-1025, June.
    9. Jung, Seung Hwan & Feng, Tianjun, 2020. "Government subsidies for green technology development under uncertainty," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 286(2), pages 726-739.
    10. Yang, Rui & Tang, Wansheng & Zhang, Jianxiong, 2021. "Technology improvement strategy for green products under competition: The role of government subsidy," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 289(2), pages 553-568.
    11. Azevedo, Alcino & Paxson, Dean, 2014. "Developing real option game models," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 237(3), pages 909-920.
    12. Hong, Zhaofu & Guo, Xiaolong, 2019. "Green product supply chain contracts considering environmental responsibilities," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 155-166.
    13. Shibata, Takashi & Nishihara, Michi, 2011. "Interactions between investment timing and management effort under asymmetric information: Costs and benefits of privatized firms," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 215(3), pages 688-696, December.
    14. Wang, Feng & Zhang, Bing, 2016. "Distributional incidence of green electricity price subsidies in China," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 27-38.
    15. Rau, Philipp & Spinler, Stefan, 2016. "Investment into container shipping capacity: A real options approach in oligopolistic competition," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 130-147.
    16. Trigeorgis, Lenos & Tsekrekos, Andrianos E., 2018. "Real Options in Operations Research: A Review," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 270(1), pages 1-24.
    17. Turken, Nazli & Carrillo, Janice & Verter, Vedat, 2020. "Strategic supply chain decisions under environmental regulations: When to invest in end-of-pipe and green technology," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 283(2), pages 601-613.
    18. Chen, Zhisong & Su, Shong-Iee Ivan, 2014. "Photovoltaic supply chain coordination with strategic consumers in China," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 236-244.
    19. Jenn, Alan & Azevedo, Inês L. & Ferreira, Pedro, 2013. "The impact of federal incentives on the adoption of hybrid electric vehicles in the United States," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 936-942.
    20. Nie, Pu-Yan & Wang, Chan & Yang, Yon-Cong, 2017. "Comparison of energy efficiency subsidies under market power," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 110(C), pages 144-149.
    21. Avinash K. Dixit & Robert S. Pindyck, 1994. "Investment under Uncertainty," Economics Books, Princeton University Press, edition 1, number 5474.
    22. Xia, Jing & Niu, Wenju, 2021. "Carbon-reducing contract design for a supply chain with environmental responsibility under asymmetric information," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
    23. Maxime C. Cohen & Ruben Lobel & Georgia Perakis, 2016. "The Impact of Demand Uncertainty on Consumer Subsidies for Green Technology Adoption," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 62(5), pages 1235-1258, May.
    24. Saed Alizamir & Francis de Véricourt & Peng Sun, 2016. "Efficient Feed-In-Tariff Policies for Renewable Energy Technologies," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 64(1), pages 52-66, February.
    25. Chen, Jen-Yi & Dimitrov, Stanko & Pun, Hubert, 2019. "The impact of government subsidy on supply Chains’ sustainability innovation," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 42-58.
    26. Li, Zhimin & Pan, Yanchun & Yang, Wen & Ma, Jianhua & Zhou, Ming, 2021. "Effects of government subsidies on green technology investment and green marketing coordination of supply chain under the cap-and-trade mechanism," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 101(C).
    27. Matt Thompson & Matt Davison & Henning Rasmussen, 2004. "Valuation and Optimal Operation of Electric Power Plants in Competitive Markets," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 52(4), pages 546-562, August.
    28. Yu, Yugang & Han, Xiaoya & Hu, Guiping, 2016. "Optimal production for manufacturers considering consumer environmental awareness and green subsidies," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 182(C), pages 397-408.
    29. Chevalier-Roignant, Benoît & Flath, Christoph M. & Huchzermeier, Arnd & Trigeorgis, Lenos, 2011. "Strategic investment under uncertainty: A synthesis," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 215(3), pages 639-650, December.
    30. Delaney, Laura & Thijssen, Jacco J.J., 2015. "The impact of voluntary disclosure on a firm’s investment policy," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 242(1), pages 232-242.
    31. Bian, Junsong & Zhang, Guoqing & Zhou, Guanghui, 2020. "Manufacturer vs. Consumer Subsidy with Green Technology Investment and Environmental Concern," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 287(3), pages 832-843.
    32. Hao, Peng & Guo, Jun-Peng & Chen, Yihsu & Xie, Bai-Chen, 2020. "Does a combined strategy outperform independent policies? Impact of incentive policies on renewable power generation," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
    33. Huang, Weixiang & Zhou, Wenhui & Chen, Jiguang & Chen, Xiaohong, 2019. "The government’s optimal subsidy scheme under Manufacturers’ competition of price and product energy efficiency," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 70-101.
    34. Xin Wang & Soo-Haeng Cho & Alan Scheller-Wolf, 2021. "Green Technology Development and Adoption: Competition, Regulation, and Uncertainty—A Global Game Approach," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 67(1), pages 201-219, January.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Chen, Rui & Meng, Qiang & Yu, Jiayi Joey, 2023. "Optimal government incentives to improve the new technology adoption: Subsidizing infrastructure investment or usage?," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
    2. He, Haonan & Chen, Wenze & Zhou, Qi, 2023. "Subsidy allocation strategies for power industry’s clean transition under Bayesian Nash equilibrium," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 182(C).
    3. Wang, Jinggai & Zhong, Meisu & Wang, Tianni & Ge, Ying-En, 2023. "Identifying industry-related opinions on shore power from a survey in China," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 134(C), pages 65-81.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Xia, Jing & Niu, Wenju & Chen, Xiaolin & Zhang, Lianmin, 2023. "Investing in a shared supplier to encourage environmental responsibility under spillovers and demand uncertainty," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 174(C).
    2. Junjian Wu & Jennifer Shang, 2021. "Optimal Green Operation and Information Leakage Decisions under Government Subsidy and Supply Uncertainty," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(24), pages 1-19, December.
    3. Ke Li & Gengxin Dai & Yanfei Xia & Zongyu Mu & Guitao Zhang & Yangyan Shi, 2022. "Green Technology Investment with Data-Driven Marketing and Government Subsidy in a Platform Supply Chain," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(7), pages 1-22, March.
    4. Trigeorgis, Lenos & Tsekrekos, Andrianos E., 2018. "Real Options in Operations Research: A Review," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 270(1), pages 1-24.
    5. Zongyu Mu & Qiujie Li & Gengxin Dai & Ke Li & Guangming Zhang & Fan Zhang, 2022. "Government Subsidy Policy and Online Selling Strategy in a Platform Supply Chain with Green R&D and DDM Activities," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(15), pages 1-23, August.
    6. Li, Xishu & Zuidwijk, Rob & de Koster, M.B.M, 2023. "Optimal competitive capacity strategies: Evidence from the container shipping market," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
    7. Li Liu & Zhe Wang & Jiangtao Xu & Zaisheng Zhang, 2023. "Green baton: how government interventions advance green technological innovation," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 25(10), pages 11121-11152, October.
    8. Meng, Mingyou & Deng, Shiming & Zhou, Pin & Xu, He, 2023. "The effects of subsidy programs in byproduct synergy operations," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 175(C).
    9. Silaghi, Florina & Sarkar, Sudipto, 2021. "Agency problems in public-private partnerships investment projects," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 290(3), pages 1174-1191.
    10. Balter, Anne G. & Huisman, Kuno J.M. & Kort, Peter M., 2022. "Effects of creative destruction on the size and timing of an investment," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 252(C).
    11. Randrianarisoa, Laingo M. & Zhang, Anming, 2019. "Adaptation to climate change effects and competition between ports: Invest now or later?," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 123(C), pages 279-322.
    12. Juan Zhang & Ziyue Wang & Huiju Zhao, 2020. "The Impact of Consumer Subsidy on Green Technology Innovations for Vehicles and Environmental Impact," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(20), pages 1-24, October.
    13. Guo, Yan & Yu, Xinning & Zhou, Caifeng & Lyu, Gaoyan, 2021. "Government subsidies for preventing supply disruption when the supplier has an outside option under competition," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 147(C).
    14. Zhao, Meng & Li, Bin & Ren, Jiali & Hao, Zhihua, 2023. "Competition equilibrium of ride-sourcing platforms and optimal government subsidies considering customers’ green preference under peak carbon dioxide emissions," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 255(C).
    15. Ebina, Takeshi & Matsushima, Noriaki & Nishide, Katsumasa, 2022. "Demand uncertainty, product differentiation, and entry timing under spatial competition," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 303(1), pages 286-297.
    16. Cheng, Fei & Chen, Tong & Chen, Qiao, 2022. "Cost-reducing strategy or emission-reducing strategy? The choice of low-carbon decisions under price threshold subsidy," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 157(C).
    17. Ferreira, Ricardo M. & Pereira, Paulo J., 2021. "A dynamic model for venture capitalists’ entry–exit investment decisions," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 290(2), pages 779-789.
    18. Jin, Wei & Ding, Wen & Yang, Jun, 2022. "Impact of financial incentives on green manufacturing: Loan guarantee vs. interest subsidy," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 300(3), pages 1067-1080.
    19. Zolfagharinia, Hossein & Zangiabadi, Maryam & Hafezi, Maryam, 2023. "How much is enough? Government subsidies in supporting green product development," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 309(3), pages 1316-1333.
    20. Fu, Ke & Li, Yanzhi & Mao, Huiqiang & Miao, Zhaowei, 2023. "Firms’ production and green technology strategies: The role of emission asymmetry and carbon taxes," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 305(3), pages 1100-1112.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:jomega:v:112:y:2022:i:c:s0305048322000822. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/wps/find/journaldescription.cws_home/375/description#description .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.