IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/jocoma/v1y2016i1p35-47.html

The relationship between input-factor and output prices in commodity industries: The case of Norwegian salmon aquaculture

Author

Listed:
  • Asche, Frank
  • Oglend, Atle

Abstract

Using the Norwegian salmon aquaculture as a case study, this paper examines the relationship between input-factor prices and cost driven output prices. We hypothesize that as variations in marginal productivity in an industry falls, the relative importance of input-factor price variations on unit production costs increases. For maturing commodity industries, price trends will go from productivity driven to input-factor price driven. Our empirical results indicate that the correlation between salmon price and feed input-factor prices (fishmeal, soybean meal and wheat) has increased in recent years. Consistent with a period of increased importance of feed costs to developments in salmon production costs, we find evidence of an emergent protein cointegration relationship between salmon, fishmeal and soybean prices. The paper provides an empirical framework to analyze changing relationship between output and input prices, and highlights some limits to inference using price analysis.

Suggested Citation

  • Asche, Frank & Oglend, Atle, 2016. "The relationship between input-factor and output prices in commodity industries: The case of Norwegian salmon aquaculture," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 1(1), pages 35-47.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jocoma:v:1:y:2016:i:1:p:35-47
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jcomm.2015.11.001
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2405851315300295
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.jcomm.2015.11.001?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to

    for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Johansen, Soren & Juselius, Katarina, 1990. "Maximum Likelihood Estimation and Inference on Cointegration--With Applications to the Demand for Money," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 52(2), pages 169-210, May.
    2. Frank Asche & Atle Oglend & Sigbjørn Tveteras, 2013. "Regime Shifts in the Fish Meal/Soybean Meal Price Ratio," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 64(1), pages 97-111, February.
    3. Hans-Martin Straume, 2014. "Currency Invoicing in Norwegian Salmon Export," Marine Resource Economics, University of Chicago Press, vol. 29(4), pages 391-409.
    4. MacKinnon, James G., 2010. "Critical Values for Cointegration Tests," Queen's Economics Department Working Papers 273723, Queen's University - Department of Economics.
    5. David Ubilava, 2014. "El Niño Southern Oscillation and the fishmeal–soya bean meal price ratio: regime-dependent dynamics revisited," European Review of Agricultural Economics, Oxford University Press and the European Agricultural and Applied Economics Publications Foundation, vol. 41(4), pages 583-604.
    6. Zhang, Dengjun & Asche, Frank & Oglend, Atle, 2014. "Ethanol and trade: An analysis of price transmission in the US market," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 1-8.
    7. Kristin Roll, 2013. "Measuring performance, development and growth when restricting flexibility," Journal of Productivity Analysis, Springer, vol. 39(1), pages 15-25, February.
    8. Rosamond L. Naylor & Rebecca J. Goldburg & Jurgenne H. Primavera & Nils Kautsky & Malcolm C. M. Beveridge & Jason Clay & Carl Folke & Jane Lubchenco & Harold Mooney & Max Troell, 2000. "Effect of aquaculture on world fish supplies," Nature, Nature, vol. 405(6790), pages 1017-1024, June.
    9. Roy Endre Dahl & Atle Oglend, 2014. "Fish Price Volatility," Marine Resource Economics, University of Chicago Press, vol. 29(4), pages 305-322.
    10. Frank Asche & Sigbjørn Tveterås, 2004. "On the Relationship Between Aquaculture and Reduction Fisheries," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 55(2), pages 245-265, July.
    11. Xiaodong Du and Lihong Lu McPhail, 2012. "Inside the Black Box: the Price Linkage and Transmission between Energy and Agricultural Markets," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 2).
    12. Johansen, Soren, 1988. "Statistical analysis of cointegration vectors," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 12(2-3), pages 231-254.
    13. Asche, Frank & Roll, Kristin H. & Tveteras, Ragnar, 2009. "Economic inefficiency and environmental impact: An application to aquaculture production," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 58(1), pages 93-105, July.
    14. MacKinnon, James G., 2010. "Critical Values for Cointegration Tests," Queen's Economics Department Working Papers 273723, Queen's University - Department of Economics.
    15. Sigbjørn Tveterås & Ragnar Tveterås, 2010. "The Global Competition for Wild Fish Resources between Livestock and Aquaculture," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 61(2), pages 381-397, June.
    16. Campos, Julia & Ericsson, Neil R. & Hendry, David F., 1996. "Cointegration tests in the presence of structural breaks," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 70(1), pages 187-220, January.
    17. Nazlioglu, Saban & Soytas, Ugur, 2011. "World oil prices and agricultural commodity prices: Evidence from an emerging market," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 33(3), pages 488-496, May.
    18. Ciaian, Pavel & Kancs, d'Artis, 2011. "Interdependencies in the energy-bioenergy-food price systems: A cointegration analysis," Resource and Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 33(1), pages 326-348, January.
    19. Natanelov, Valeri & Alam, Mohammad J. & McKenzie, Andrew M. & Van Huylenbroeck, Guido, 2011. "Is there co-movement of agricultural commodities futures prices and crude oil?," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 39(9), pages 4971-4984, September.
    20. Frank Asche & Atle Oglend & Dengjun Zhang, 2015. "Hoarding the Herd: The Convenience of Productive Stocks," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 35(7), pages 679-694, July.
    21. Alberto Salvo & Cristian Huse, 2011. "Is Arbitrage Tying the Price of Ethanol to that of Gasoline? Evidence from the Uptake of Flexible-Fuel Technology," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 3), pages 119-148.
    22. Kristofersson, Dadi & Anderson, James L., 2006. "Is there a relationship between fisheries and farming? Interdependence of fisheries, animal production and aquaculture," Marine Policy, Elsevier, vol. 30(6), pages 721-725, November.
    23. Stephen Leybourne & Paul Newbold, 2003. "Spurious rejections by cointegration tests induced by structural breaks," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(9), pages 1117-1121.
    24. Sigbjorn Tveteras & Frank Asche, 2008. "International fish trade and exchange rates: an application to the trade with salmon and fishmeal," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(13), pages 1745-1755.
    25. Minot, Nicholas, 2010. "Transmission of World Food Price Changes to African Markets and its Effect on Household Welfare," Food Security Collaborative Working Papers 58563, Michigan State University, Department of Agricultural, Food, and Resource Economics.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Ewald, Christian Oliver & Li, Yaoyu, 2024. "The role of news sentiment in salmon price prediction using deep learning," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 36(C).
    2. Atle Oglend & Vesa-Heikki Soini, 2020. "Implications of Entry Restrictions to Address Externalities in Aquaculture: The Case of Salmon Aquaculture," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 77(4), pages 673-694, December.
    3. Dahl, Roy Endré & Jonsson, Erlendur, 2018. "Volatility spillover in seafood markets," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 12(C), pages 44-59.
    4. Misund, Bård, 2018. "Common and fundamental risk factors in shareholder returns of Norwegian salmon producing companies," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 12(C), pages 19-30.
    5. Onozaka, Yuko & Honkanen, Pirjo & Altintzoglou, Themistoklis, 2023. "Sustainability, perceived quality and country of origin of farmed salmon: Impact on consumer choices in the USA, France and Japan," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 117(C).
    6. Thanh Ngo & Hung V. Vu & Huong Ho & Thuy T. T. Dao & Hai T. H. Nguyen, 2019. "Performance of Fish Farms in Vietnam–Does Financial Access Help Improve Their Cost Efficiency?," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 7(3), pages 1-10, August.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Asche, Frank & Misund, Bard & Oglend, Atle, 2015. "The Spot-Forward Relationship in the Atlantic Salmon Market," UiS Working Papers in Economics and Finance 2015/16, University of Stavanger.
    2. Nygaard, Rune & Roll, Kristin H., 2024. "Cross-hedging wild salmon prices," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 33(C).
    3. Misund, Bård, 2018. "Common and fundamental risk factors in shareholder returns of Norwegian salmon producing companies," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 12(C), pages 19-30.
    4. Neil R. Ericsson & James G. MacKinnon, 2002. "Distributions of error correction tests for cointegration," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 5(2), pages 285-318, June.
    5. Daniel Levy, 1995. "Investment-saving comovement under endogenous fiscal policy," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 6(3), pages 237-254, July.
    6. Abdul Qayyum, 2000. "Demand for Real Money Balances by the Business Sector: An Econometric Investigation," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 39(4), pages 857-873.
    7. Mansor H. Ibrahim, 2006. "Stock Prices and Bank Loan Dynamics in a Developing Country: The Case of Malaysia," Journal of Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 9(1), pages 71-89, May.
    8. Norah Al-Ballaa, 2005. "Test for cointegration based on two-stage least squares," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(7), pages 707-713.
    9. Sanu, Md Sahnewaz, 2018. "The Contribution of MSMEs in India’s Total Exports and GDP Growth: Evidence from Cointegration and Causality Tests," MPRA Paper 107892, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Jan 2019.
    10. Bernd Hayo, 1999. "Estimating A European Demand For Money," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 46(3), pages 221-244, August.
    11. Zeshan Atique & Mohsin Hasnain Ahmad & Usman Azhar, 2004. "The Impact of FDI on Economic Growth under Foreign Trade Regimes: A Case Study of Pakistan," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 43(4), pages 707-718.
    12. Puah, Chin-Hong & Kueh, Jerome Swee-Hui & Lau, Evan, 2007. "The Implications Of Emergence Of China Towards Asean-5: Fdi-Gdp Perspective," MPRA Paper 4550, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    13. Ebenezer, Appiah Collins & Jatoe, John Baptist D. & Mensa-Bonsu, Akwasi, "undated". "Food Price Sensitivity To Changes In Petroleum Price And Exchange Rate In Ghana: A Cointegration Analysis," 2018 Conference (2nd), August 8-11, Kumasi, Ghana 277791, Ghana Association of Agricultural Economists.
    14. Alejandro Diaz-Bautista, 2004. "Mexico’s Industrial Engine of Growth: Cointegration and Causality," Econometrics 0402010, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    15. Bernd Hayo, 2000. "The demand for money in Austria," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 25(4), pages 581-603.
    16. Abdul Qayyum & Muhammad Arshad Khan, 2003. "Capital Flows and Money Supply: The Degree of Sterilisation in Pakistan," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 42(4), pages 975-985.
    17. Waseem Khan & Vishal Sharma & Saghir Ahmad Ansari, 2022. "Modeling the dynamics of oil and agricultural commodity price nexus in linear and nonlinear frameworks: A case of emerging economy," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 26(3), pages 1733-1784, August.
    18. Ryuzo Miyao, 2002. "Liquidity Trap and the Stability of Money Demand: Is Japan Really Trapped at the Zero Bound?," Discussion Paper Series 127, Research Institute for Economics & Business Administration, Kobe University.
    19. Sergio Adriani David & Claudio M. C. Inácio & José A. Tenreiro Machado, 2019. "Ethanol Prices and Agricultural Commodities: An Investigation of Their Relationship," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 7(9), pages 1-25, August.
    20. Jean-François Fillion, 1996. "L'endettement du Canada et ses effets sur les taux d'interet reels de long term," Staff Working Papers 96-14, Bank of Canada.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:jocoma:v:1:y:2016:i:1:p:35-47. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/jcomm .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.