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Central bank digital currency and systemic risk

Author

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  • Rizwan, Muhammad Suhail
  • Ahmad, Ghufran
  • Qureshi, Anum

Abstract

Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC) is an emerging Financial Technology (FinTech) area. Several countries are involved in CBDC development at different stages and a few are already in the launching stage. We use the autoregressive distributed lag approach to explore the association between CBDC-related news and systemic risk in the short and long run by employing dynamic panel heterogeneity analysis. The results show that CBDC-related news has a significant negative association with systemic risk in the long run, indicating a positive reception by the global financial sector. Extended analysis shows that the long-run negative association is consistent across different income levels and geographical regions. However, countries in the advanced stages of CBDC development show a significant positive association between CBDC-related news and systemic risk warranting the utmost care in implementing CBDC initiatives.

Suggested Citation

  • Rizwan, Muhammad Suhail & Ahmad, Ghufran & Qureshi, Anum, 2025. "Central bank digital currency and systemic risk," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 99(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:intfin:v:99:y:2025:i:c:s1042443124001707
    DOI: 10.1016/j.intfin.2024.102104
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