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The dark side of stress tests: Negative effects of information disclosure

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  • Goncharenko, Roman
  • Hledik, Juraj
  • Pinto, Roberto

Abstract

This paper studies the effect of information disclosure on banks’ portfolio risk. We cast a simple banking system into a general equilibrium model with trading frictions. We find that the information disclosure lowers the expected risk-adjusted profits for a non-negligible fraction of banks. The magnitude of this effect depends on the structure of the banking system and, alarmingly, it is more pronounced for systemically important institutions. We connect these theoretical findings to the stress test procedure, where bank information is disclosed by the regulator. The 2011 and 2014 stress tests are used in an empirical study to further support our theoretical results.

Suggested Citation

  • Goncharenko, Roman & Hledik, Juraj & Pinto, Roberto, 2018. "The dark side of stress tests: Negative effects of information disclosure," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 49-59.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:finsta:v:37:y:2018:i:c:p:49-59
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jfs.2018.05.003
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    Cited by:

    1. Hledik, Juraj & Rastelli, Riccardo, 2020. "A dynamic network model to measure exposure diversification in the Austrian interbank market," ESRB Working Paper Series 109, European Systemic Risk Board.
    2. Zhao, Ju & Qiu, Ju & Zhou, Yong-Wu & Hu, Xiao-Jian & Yang, Ai-Feng, 2020. "Quality disclosure in the presence of strategic consumers," Journal of Retailing and Consumer Services, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
    3. Kauko, Karlo, 2020. "The vanishing interest income of Chinese banks," BOFIT Discussion Papers 2/2020, Bank of Finland, Institute for Economies in Transition.
    4. Sahin, Cenkhan & de Haan, Jakob & Neretina, Ekaterina, 2020. "Banking stress test effects on returns and risks," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 117(C).
    5. Valentina Lagasio & Marina Brogi, 2021. "Market reaction to banks’ interim press releases: an event study analysis," Journal of Management & Governance, Springer;Accademia Italiana di Economia Aziendale (AIDEA), vol. 25(1), pages 95-119, March.
    6. Nguyen, Thach Vu Hong & Ahmed, Shamim & Chevapatrakul, Thanaset & Onali, Enrico, 2020. "Do stress tests affect bank liquidity creation?," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    7. Juraj Hledik & Riccardo Rastelli, 2018. "A dynamic network model to measure exposure diversification in the Austrian interbank market," Papers 1804.01367, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2018.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Information disclosure; General equilibrium; Systemic risk;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D50 - Microeconomics - - General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium - - - General
    • D80 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - General
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages

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