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Stress Tests and Information Disclosure

Author

Listed:
  • Itay Goldstein
  • Yaron Leitner

Abstract

We study an optimal disclosure policy of a regulator that has information about banks (e.g., from conducting stress tests). In our model, disclosure can destroy risk-sharing opportunities for banks (the Hirshleifer effect). Yet, in some cases, some level of disclosure is necessary for risk sharing to occur. We provide conditions under which optimal disclosure takes a simple form (e.g., full disclosure, no disclosure, or a cutoff rule). We also show that, in some cases, optimal disclosure takes a more complicated form (e.g., multiple cutoffs or nonmonotone rules), which we characterize. We relate our results to the Bayesian persuasion literature.

Suggested Citation

  • Itay Goldstein & Yaron Leitner, 2017. "Stress Tests and Information Disclosure," Working Papers 17-28, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
    • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedpwp:17-28
    Note: Supersedes WP13-26 & WP15-10/R
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Goncharenko, Roman & Hledik, Juraj & Pinto, Roberto, 2018. "The dark side of stress tests: Negative effects of information disclosure," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 49-59.
    2. Laura Blattner & Scott Nelson & Jann Spiess, 2021. "Unpacking the Black Box: Regulating Algorithmic Decisions," Papers 2110.03443, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2023.
    3. Yaron Leitner & Basil Williams, 2018. "Model Secrecy and Stress Tests," 2018 Meeting Papers 566, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    4. Acharya, Viral V. & Berger, Allen N. & Roman, Raluca A., 2018. "Lending implications of U.S. bank stress tests: Costs or benefits?," Journal of Financial Intermediation, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 58-90.
    5. Jondeau, Eric & Khalilzadeh, Amir, 2022. "Predicting the stressed expected loss of large U.S. banks," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
    6. Cortés, Kristle R. & Demyanyk, Yuliya & Li, Lei & Loutskina, Elena & Strahan, Philip E., 2020. "Stress tests and small business lending," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 136(1), pages 260-279.
    7. Glode, Vincent & Opp, Christian C. & Zhang, Xingtan, 2018. "Voluntary disclosure in bilateral transactions," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 175(C), pages 652-688.

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