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Re-examining the dynamic causal oil-macroeconomy relationship

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  • Hammoudeh, Shawkat
  • Bhar, Ramaprasad
  • Thompson, Mark A.

Abstract

We investigate the cyclical component dynamics of US macroeconomic variables and oil benchmark prices in a regime-switching environment. We compare two different oil benchmark cycles, and the results indicate that WTI and Brent are not perfect substitutes in the US economy when it comes to dynamic causal oil-macroeconomic relationships. The results provide valuable information to policymakers regarding the impacts of major oil prices on different macroeconomic variables and their interrelations among the macroeconomic variables.

Suggested Citation

  • Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Bhar, Ramaprasad & Thompson, Mark A., 2010. "Re-examining the dynamic causal oil-macroeconomy relationship," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 19(4), pages 298-305, September.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:finana:v:19:y:2010:i:4:p:298-305
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Silvia Gardini & F. Marta L. Di Lascio & Franco Visani, 2017. "How cultural and contextual variables affect the disclosure and transparency of pro-forma indicators," BEMPS - Bozen Economics & Management Paper Series BEMPS41, Faculty of Economics and Management at the Free University of Bozen.
    2. Hatice Gaye GENCER & Erdem KILIC, 2014. "Conditional Correlations and Volatility Links Among Gold, Oil and Istanbul Stock Exchange Sector Returns," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 4(1), pages 170-182.
    3. Dayanandan, Ajit & Donker, Han, 2011. "Oil prices and accounting profits of oil and gas companies," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 20(5), pages 252-257.
    4. Gormus, N. Alper & Atinc, Guclu, 2016. "Volatile oil and the U.S. economy," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 62-73.
    5. Nazlioglu, Saban & Gormus, N. Alper & Soytas, Uğur, 2016. "Oil prices and real estate investment trusts (REITs): Gradual-shift causality and volatility transmission analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 168-175.
    6. Wan, Jer-Yuh & Kao, Chung-Wei, 2015. "Interactions between oil and financial markets — Do conditions of financial stress matter?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 52(PA), pages 160-175.
    7. Sun, Xinxin & Lu, Xinsheng & Yue, Gongzheng & Li, Jianfeng, 2017. "Cross-correlations between the US monetary policy, US dollar index and crude oil market," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 467(C), pages 326-344.

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