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Analysis of Japan's energy and environment strategy after the Fukushima nuclear plant accident

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  • Homma, Takashi
  • Akimoto, Keigo

Abstract

This paper examines economic analyses of the “Options for Energy and the Environment” proposed by the Japanese government. The main focuses of the analyses are the power generation mix in 2030, and particularly electricity supply shares of nuclear power. The options proposed by the government assume drastic energy efficiency improvements, increase in renewable energy, and deep CO2 emission reductions. Considerable energy savings are assumed by the government even in the baseline scenario, and these are inconsistent with historical growth trends for GDP and power demand. We modify the energy savings baseline scenario for consistency with the historical trends and historical electricity savings after the nuclear power accident. In order to provide a wider array of options, particularly those with fewer negative impacts on GDP, this paper proposes alternative options under a revised baseline. In the alternative options, we assume lower shares of renewable energy in electricity supply and lower carbon price. The economic impacts for the alternative options are much smaller than those assumed by the government. The economic analyses provided in this paper will help future policy making for energy and environment in Japan.

Suggested Citation

  • Homma, Takashi & Akimoto, Keigo, 2013. "Analysis of Japan's energy and environment strategy after the Fukushima nuclear plant accident," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 1216-1225.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:enepol:v:62:y:2013:i:c:p:1216-1225
    DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2013.07.137
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Zhang, Qi & Mclellan, Benjamin C. & Tezuka, Tetsuo & Ishihara, Keiichi N., 2012. "Economic and environmental analysis of power generation expansion in Japan considering Fukushima nuclear accident using a multi-objective optimization model," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 44(1), pages 986-995.
    2. Hong, Sanghyun & Bradshaw, Corey J.A. & Brook, Barry W., 2013. "Evaluating options for the future energy mix of Japan after the Fukushima nuclear crisis," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 418-424.
    3. Hertel, Thomas, 1997. "Global Trade Analysis: Modeling and applications," GTAP Books, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Department of Agricultural Economics, Purdue University, number 7685, December.
    4. Akimoto, Keigo & Sano, Fuminori & Homma, Takashi & Oda, Junichiro & Nagashima, Miyuki & Kii, Masanobu, 2010. "Estimates of GHG emission reduction potential by country, sector, and cost," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 38(7), pages 3384-3393, July.
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    Cited by:

    1. Oshiro, Ken & Fujimori, Shinichiro & Ochi, Yuki & Ehara, Tomoki, 2021. "Enabling energy system transition toward decarbonization in Japan through energy service demand reduction," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 227(C).
    2. Kuramochi, Takeshi & Wakiyama, Takako & Kuriyama, Akihisa, 2017. "Assessment of national greenhouse gas mitigation targets for 2030 through meta-analysis of bottom-up energy and emission scenarios: A case of Japan," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 924-944.
    3. Pollitt, Hector & Park, Seung-Joon & Lee, Soocheol & Ueta, Kazuhiro, 2014. "An economic and environmental assessment of future electricity generation mixes in Japan – an assessment using the E3MG macro-econometric model," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 243-254.
    4. Su, Xuanming & Zhou, Weisheng & Sun, Faming & Nakagami, Ken'Ichi, 2014. "Possible pathways for dealing with Japan's post-Fukushima challenge and achieving CO2 emission reduction targets in 2030," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 90-97.
    5. Zeng, Ming & Wang, Shicheng & Duan, Jinhui & Sun, Jinghui & Zhong, Pengyuan & Zhang, Yingjie, 2016. "Review of nuclear power development in China: Environment analysis, historical stages, development status, problems and countermeasures," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 1369-1383.
    6. Wakiyama, Takako & Kuramochi, Takeshi, 2017. "Scenario analysis of energy saving and CO2 emissions reduction potentials to ratchet up Japanese mitigation target in 2030 in the residential sector," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 103(C), pages 1-15.
    7. Chuanwang Sun & Nan Lyu & Xiaoling Ouyang, 2014. "Chinese Public Willingness to Pay to Avoid Having Nuclear Power Plants in the Neighborhood," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 6(10), pages 1-27, October.
    8. Kwak, Kiho & Yoon, Hyungseok (David), 2020. "Unpacking transnational industry legitimacy dynamics, windows of opportunity, and latecomers’ catch-up in complex product systems," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 49(4).
    9. Kuramochi, Takeshi, 2015. "Review of energy and climate policy developments in Japan before and after Fukushima," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 1320-1332.

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