IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/ememar/v66y2025ics1566014125000287.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The impact of currency depreciation and foreign exchange positions on bank lending: Evidence from an emerging market

Author

Listed:
  • Bagsic, Cristeta
  • Bayangos, Veronica
  • Moreno, Ramon
  • Parcon-Santos, Hazel

Abstract

This study explores how currency depreciation and foreign exchange positions affect bank lending in the Philippines, where banks typically hold positive net foreign assets. We find that banks with rising foreign assets relative to liabilities expand lending during depreciation periods, particularly foreign and large banks in their USD-denominated lending. Sustained depreciations have stronger effects than temporary ones, provided they remain below a threshold. This underscores the role of both depreciation magnitude and duration in lending behavior. Foreign banks demonstrate resilience by increasing lending during depreciation periods, likely due to their access to international networks and diverse funding sources.

Suggested Citation

  • Bagsic, Cristeta & Bayangos, Veronica & Moreno, Ramon & Parcon-Santos, Hazel, 2025. "The impact of currency depreciation and foreign exchange positions on bank lending: Evidence from an emerging market," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ememar:v:66:y:2025:i:c:s1566014125000287
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ememar.2025.101279
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1566014125000287
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.ememar.2025.101279?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to

    for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Cetorelli, Nicola & Goldberg, Linda S., 2012. "Liquidity management of U.S. global banks: Internal capital markets in the great recession," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 88(2), pages 299-311.
    2. Junkyu Lee & Peter Rosenkranz & Arief Ramayandi & Hoang Pham, 2021. "The Influence of US Dollar Funding Conditions on Asian Financial Markets," ADB Economics Working Paper Series 634, Asian Development Bank.
    3. Julian di Giovanni & Şebnem Kalemli-Özcan & Mehmet Fatih Ulu & Yusuf Soner Baskaya, 2022. "International Spillovers and Local Credit Cycles," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 89(2), pages 733-773.
    4. Burcu Erik & Marco J. Lombardi & Dubravko Mihaljek & Hyun Song Shin, 2020. "The Dollar, Bank Leverage, and Real Economic Activity: An Evolving Relationship," AEA Papers and Proceedings, American Economic Association, vol. 110, pages 529-534, May.
    5. Bruno, Valentina & Shin, Hyun Song, 2015. "Capital flows and the risk-taking channel of monetary policy," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 119-132.
    6. repec:zbw:bofitp:2020_006 is not listed on IDEAS
    7. Leonardo Gambacorta & Paolo Emilio Mistrulli, 2014. "Bank Heterogeneity and Interest Rate Setting: What Lessons Have We Learned since Lehman Brothers?," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 46(4), pages 753-778, June.
    8. Patrick Bolton & Xavier Freixas & Leonardo Gambacorta & Paolo Emilio Mistrulli, 2016. "Relationship and Transaction Lending in a Crisis," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 29(10), pages 2643-2676.
    9. Bernanke, Ben S & Blinder, Alan S, 1988. "Credit, Money, and Aggregate Demand," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 78(2), pages 435-439, May.
    10. Zsolt Darvas, 2021. "Timely measurement of real effective exchange rates," Bruegel Working Papers 46497, Bruegel.
    11. Ahnert, Toni & Forbes, Kristin & Friedrich, Christian & Reinhardt, Dennis, 2021. "Macroprudential FX regulations: Shifting the snowbanks of FX vulnerability?," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 140(1), pages 145-174.
    12. Ryan Banerjee & Boris Hofmann & Aaron Mehrotra, 2022. "Corporate investment and the exchange rate: The financial channel," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 25(3), pages 296-312, December.
    13. Cao, Jin & Dinger, Valeriya, 2022. "Financial Globalization and Bank Lending: The Limits of Domestic Monetary Policy," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 57(8), pages 3223-3251, December.
    14. Ananou, Foly & Chronopoulos, Dimitris K. & Tarazi, Amine & Wilson, John O.S., 2021. "Liquidity regulation and bank lending," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    15. Borio, Claudio & Gambacorta, Leonardo, 2017. "Monetary policy and bank lending in a low interest rate environment: Diminishing effectiveness?," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 54(PB), pages 217-231.
    16. Valentina Bruno & Hyun Song Shin, 2015. "Cross-Border Banking and Global Liquidity," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 82(2), pages 535-564.
    17. Nicola Cetorelli & Linda S. Goldberg, 2012. "Banking Globalization and Monetary Transmission," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 67(5), pages 1811-1843, October.
    18. Ongena, Steven & Schindele, Ibolya & Vonnák, Dzsamila, 2021. "In lands of foreign currency credit, bank lending channels run through?," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 129(C).
    19. Silvia Miranda-Agrippino & Hélène Rey, 2020. "The Global Financial Cycle after Lehman," AEA Papers and Proceedings, American Economic Association, vol. 110, pages 523-528, May.
    20. Shesadri Banerjee & M S Mohanty, 2021. "US monetary policy and the financial channel of the exchange rate: evidence from India," BIS Working Papers 945, Bank for International Settlements.
    21. Jonathan Kearns & Nikhil Patel, 2016. "Does the financial channel of exchange rates offset the trade channel?," BIS Quarterly Review, Bank for International Settlements, December.
    22. Burak Buyun, 2024. "Does Exchange Rate Volatility Affect the Bank Lending Channel?," Journal of Economic Policy Researches, Istanbul University, Faculty of Economics, vol. 11(1), pages 51-61, January.
    23. Jeremy C. Stein & Anil K. Kashyap, 2000. "What Do a Million Observations on Banks Say about the Transmission of Monetary Policy?," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 90(3), pages 407-428, June.
    24. Kindleberger, Charles P., 1983. "International banks as leaders or followers of international business : An historical perspective," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 7(4), pages 583-595, December.
    25. Stefan Avdjiev & Wenxin Du & Cathérine Koch & Hyun Song Shin, 2019. "The Dollar, Bank Leverage, and Deviations from Covered Interest Parity," American Economic Review: Insights, American Economic Association, vol. 1(2), pages 193-208, September.
    26. Ryan Niladri Banerjee & Boris Hofmann & Aaron Mehrotra, 2020. "Corporate investment and the exchange rate: The financial channel," BIS Working Papers 839, Bank for International Settlements.
    27. Giorgio Gobbi & Enrico Sette, 2014. "Do Firms Benefit from Concentrating their Borrowing? Evidence from the Great Recession," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 18(2), pages 527-560.
    28. repec:fip:fedgsq:y:2007:i:june15 is not listed on IDEAS
    29. Ben S. Bernanke, 2007. "The financial accelerator and the credit channel," Speech 296, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    30. Mitsuhiro Fukao, 1991. "Exchange Rate Movements and Capital-Asset Ratio of Banks: On the Conept of Structural Positions," Monetary and Economic Studies, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan, vol. 9(2), pages 91-104, September.
    31. Keshtgar, Nafiseh & Pahlavani, Mosayeb & Mirjalili, Seyed Hossein, 2020. "The Impact of Exchange Rate volatility on Banking Performance (case of Iran)," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 12(1), pages 39-56.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Takáts, Előd & Temesvary, Judit, 2020. "The currency dimension of the bank lending channel in international monetary transmission," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
    2. Fabiani, Andrea & Piñeros, Martha López & Peydró, José-Luis & Soto, Paul E., 2022. "Capital controls, domestic macroprudential policy and the bank lending channel of monetary policy," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    3. Buch, Claudia M. & Bussierè, Matthieu & Goldberg, Linda & Hills, Robert, 2019. "The international transmission of monetary policy," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 29-48.
    4. Alper, Koray & Altunok, Fatih & Çapacıoğlu, Tanju & Ongena, Steven, 2020. "The Effect of Unconventional Monetary Policy on Cross-Border Bank Loans: Evidence from an Emerging Market," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 127(C).
    5. Cao, Jin & Dinger, Valeriya, 2022. "Financial Globalization and Bank Lending: The Limits of Domestic Monetary Policy," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 57(8), pages 3223-3251, December.
    6. Takáts, Előd & Temesvary, Judit, 2021. "How does the interaction of macroprudential and monetary policies affect cross-border bank lending?," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    7. Baptiste Meunier & Justine Pedrono, 2021. "A Prudential trade-off? Leakages and Interactions with Monetary Policy," Working papers 805, Banque de France.
    8. Cao, Jin & Dinger, Valeriya & Gómez, Tomás & Gric, Zuzana & Hodula, Martin & Jara, Alejandro & Juelsrud, Ragnar & Liaudinskas, Karolis & Malovaná, Simona & Terajima, Yaz, 2023. "Monetary policy spillover to small open economies: Is the transmission different under low interest rates?," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    9. Temesvary, Judit & Ongena, Steven & Owen, Ann L., 2018. "A global lending channel unplugged? Does U.S. monetary policy affect cross-border and affiliate lending by global U.S. banks?," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 112(C), pages 50-69.
    10. Goswami, Mangal & Pontines, Victor & Mohammed, Yassier, 2023. "Portfolio capital flows and the US dollar exchange rate: Viewed from the lens of time and frequency dynamics of connectedness," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    11. Anusha Chari & Karlye Dilts Stedman & Christian T. Lundblad, 2020. "Capital Flows in Risky Times: Risk-On / Risk-Off and Emerging Market Tail Risk," Research Working Paper RWP 20-08, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
    12. Schmidt, Julia & Caccavaio, Marianna & Carpinelli, Luisa & Marinelli, Giuseppe, 2018. "International spillovers of monetary policy: Evidence from France and Italy," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 50-66.
    13. Georgiadis, Georgios & Müller, Gernot J. & Schumann, Ben, 2024. "Global risk and the dollar," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
    14. Salih Fendoğlu & Eda Gülşen & José-Luis Peydró, 2019. "Global Liquidity and Impairment of Local Monetary Policy," Working Papers 1131, Barcelona School of Economics.
    15. Li, Boyao, 2024. "A balance sheet analysis of monetary policy effects on banks," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
    16. Paola Morales & Daniel Osorio-Rodríguez & Juan S. Lemus-Esquivel & Miguel Sarmiento, 2021. "The internationalization of domestic banks and the credit channel of monetary policy," Borradores de Economia 1181, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    17. Barbosa, Luciana & Bonfim, Diana & Costa, Sónia & Everett, Mary, 2018. "Cross-border spillovers of monetary policy: What changes during a financial crisis?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 154-174.
    18. Morales, Paola & Osorio, Daniel & Lemus, Juan S. & Sarmiento Paipilla, Miguel, 2021. "The Internationalization of Domestic Banks and the Credit Channel of Monetary Policy," Other publications TiSEM a8a61825-7d96-4635-8e61-8, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    19. Swapan-Kumar Pradhan & Viktors Stebunovs & Előd Takáts & Judit Temesvary, 2025. "Geopolitics Meets Monetary Policy: Decoding Their Impact on Cross-Border Bank Lending," International Finance Discussion Papers 1403, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    20. Stijn Claessens & M Ayhan Kose, 2018. "Frontiers of macrofinancial linkages," BIS Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 95.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    JEL classification:

    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • F33 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:ememar:v:66:y:2025:i:c:s1566014125000287. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/inca/620356 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.