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Money-financed fiscal stimulus: The effects of implementation lag

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  • Tsuruga, Takayuki
  • Wake, Shota

Abstract

Previous studies argue that, based on the New Keynesian framework, a fiscal stimulus financed by money creation has a strong positive effect on output under a reasonable degree of nominal price rigidities. This paper investigates the effects of an implementation lag in a money-financed fiscal stimulus on output. We show that if a money-financed government purchase has a time lag between the decision and the implementation: (1) it may cause a recession rather than a boom when the economy is in normal times; (2) it may deepen a recession when the economy is in a liquidity trap; (3) the longer the implementation lag, the deeper the recession; and (4) the depth of the recession depends on the interest semi-elasticity of money demand. Our results imply that, if money demand is unstable, the money-financed fiscal stimulus with an implementation lag may have unstable effects on output, in contrast to the debt-financed fiscal stimulus.

Suggested Citation

  • Tsuruga, Takayuki & Wake, Shota, 2019. "Money-financed fiscal stimulus: The effects of implementation lag," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 104(C), pages 132-151.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:dyncon:v:104:y:2019:i:c:p:132-151
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2019.05.007
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    2. Kiyotaka Nakashima & Masahiko Shibamoto & Koji Takahashi, 2019. "Identifying Quantitative and Qualitative Monetary Policy Shocks," Discussion Paper Series DP2019-09, Research Institute for Economics & Business Administration, Kobe University, revised Mar 2023.
    3. Mosley, Max, 2021. "The importance of being earners: Modelling the implications of changes to welfare contributions on macroeconomic recovery," MPRA Paper 108620, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Okano, Eiji & Eguchi, Masataka, 2021. "The Effects of Money-financed Fiscal Stimulus in a Small Open Economy," Dynare Working Papers 70, CEPREMAP.
    5. Thomas J. Carter & Rhys R. Mendes, 2020. "The Power of Helicopter Money Revisited: A New Keynesian Perspective," Discussion Papers 2020-1, Bank of Canada.
    6. Ida, Daisuke & Okano, Mitsuhiro, 2023. "Does nominal wage stickiness affect fiscal multiplier in a two-agent new Keynesian model?," MPRA Paper 117241, University Library of Munich, Germany.
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    8. Leon A. Petrosyan & David W.K. Yeung, 2020. "Cooperative Dynamic Games with Durable Controls: Theory and Application," Dynamic Games and Applications, Springer, vol. 10(4), pages 872-896, December.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Anticipation effect; Fiscal multiplier; Government spending; Seigniorage;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory

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