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Money-Financed Fiscal Stimulus: The Effects of Implementation Lag

Author

Listed:
  • Takayuki Tsuruga
  • Shota Wake

Abstract

Previous studies argue that, based on the New Keynesian framework, a fiscal stimulus financed by money creation has a strong positive effect on output under a reasonable degree of nominal price rigidities. This paper investigates the effects of an implementation lag in a money-financed fiscal stimulus on output. We show that if a money-financed government purchase has a time lag between the decision and the implementation: (1) it may cause a recession rather than a boom when the economy is in normal times; (2) it may deepen a recession when the economy is in a liquidity trap; (3) the longer the implementation lag, the deeper the recession; and (4) the depth of the recession depends on the interest semi-elasticity of money demand. Our results imply that, if money demand is unstable, the money-financed fiscal stimulus with an implementation lag may have unstable effects on output, in contrast to the debt-financed fiscal stimulus.

Suggested Citation

  • Takayuki Tsuruga & Shota Wake, 2019. "Money-Financed Fiscal Stimulus: The Effects of Implementation Lag," CAMA Working Papers 2019-12, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    • Handle: RePEc:een:camaaa:2019-12
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    Cited by:

    1. Mao, Ruoyun & Shen, Wenyi & Yang, Shu-Chun S., 2023. "Uncertain policy regimes and government spending effects," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
    2. Michau, Jean-Baptiste, 2025. "Fiscal policy under secular stagnation: An optimal pump-priming strategy," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 175(C).
    3. Jin, Hao & Wang, Junfeng, 2024. "The effects of a money-financed fiscal stimulus under fiscal stress," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    4. Liao, Qinghu & Erzurumlu, Yaman Omer & Gozgor, Giray, 2025. "Impact of market regulations on firm-specific esg performance: evidence from asian economies," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    5. Kiyotaka Nakashima & Masahiko Shibamoto & Koji Takahashi, 2024. "Identifying Quantitative and Qualitative Monetary Policy Shocks," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 20(3), pages 1-61, July.
    6. Mosley, Max, 2021. "The importance of being earners: Modelling the implications of changes to welfare contributions on macroeconomic recovery," MPRA Paper 108620, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Eiji Okano & Masataka Eguchi, 2024. "The Effects of a Money-Financed Fiscal Stimulus in a Small Open Economy," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 72(3), pages 1212-1237, September.
    8. Thomas J. Carter & Rhys R. Mendes, 2020. "The Power of Helicopter Money Revisited: A New Keynesian Perspective," Discussion Papers 2020-1, Bank of Canada.
    9. Ida Daisuke & Okano Mitsuhiro, 2024. "Does Nominal Wage Stickiness Affect Fiscal Multiplier in a Two-Agent New Keynesian Model?," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 24(2), pages 883-928.
    10. Ma, Yong & Lv, Lin, 2022. "Money, debt, and the effects of fiscal stimulus," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 152-178.
    11. Leon A. Petrosyan & David W.K. Yeung, 2020. "Cooperative Dynamic Games with Durable Controls: Theory and Application," Dynamic Games and Applications, Springer, vol. 10(4), pages 872-896, December.

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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory

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