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A flexible estimation of sectoral portfolio exposure to climate transition risks in the European stock market

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  • Zanin, Luca

Abstract

I investigate the exposure of sectoral equity portfolios to climate transition risks by augmenting a three-factor asset pricing model with a green-minus-brown (GMB) factor as a proxy. I estimate the relationship between risk factors and excess returns within an additive mixed model representation, which flexibly captures possible changes in investors’ subjective beliefs as reflected in the determinants of asset pricing. Empirical evidence is provided based on European sectoral portfolios covering the 2016–2021 period. Compared to classic linear models, the results show an improvement in model goodness-of-fit when flexibly estimating the relationship between risk factors and excess returns. I confirm previous studies that exposure to climate transition risks particularly affects high-energy-intensity sectors. I also find heterogeneity in exposure between firms within each sectoral portfolio in terms of the sign and/or magnitude of estimates. Moreover, some firms still have no statistically significant exposure to climate transition risks.

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  • Zanin, Luca, 2023. "A flexible estimation of sectoral portfolio exposure to climate transition risks in the European stock market," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 39(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:beexfi:v:39:y:2023:i:c:s2214635023000382
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jbef.2023.100824
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Asset pricing model; Climate transition risk; Green-minus-brown factor; Flexible modelling framework;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C1 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • Q50 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - General

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