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Prognose des Dienstleistungssektors in Deutschland

Author

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  • Klaus Wohlrabe

    ()

Abstract

Der Bereich Dienstleistungen macht mehr als 70% der deutschen Bruttowertschöpfung aus, jedoch ist die Konjunkturanalyse und -prognose in diesem Wirtschaftsbereich unterentwickelt. Die Forschung steht hier noch am Anfang. Um diese Lücke etwas zu schließen, wurden Indikatoren für sechs verschiedene Teilbereiche des Dienstleistungssektors auf ihre Prognoseeigenschaften identifiziert.

Suggested Citation

  • Klaus Wohlrabe, 2012. "Prognose des Dienstleistungssektors in Deutschland," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 65(01), pages 31-39, January.
  • Handle: RePEc:ces:ifosdt:v:65:y:2012:i:01:p:31-39
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    File URL: http://www.cesifo-group.de/DocDL/ifosd_2012_1_4.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Beate Schirwitz, 2009. "A comprehensive German business cycle chronology," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 37(2), pages 287-301, October.
    2. Klaus Abberger & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2006. "Einige Prognoseeigenschaften des ifo Geschäftsklimas - Ein Überblick über die neuere wissenschaftliche Literatur," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 59(22), pages 19-26, November.
    3. Klaus Wohlrabe, 2009. "Makroökonomische Prognosen mit gemischten Frequenzen," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 62(21), pages 22-33, November.
    4. Wohlrabe, Klaus, 2009. "Forecasting with mixed-frequency time series models," Munich Dissertations in Economics 9681, University of Munich, Department of Economics.
    5. Layton, Allan P & Moore, Geoffrey H, 1989. "Leading Indicators for the Service Sector," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 7(3), pages 379-386, July.
    6. Klaus Wohlrabe, 2011. "Konstruktion von Indikatoren zur Analyse der wirtschaftlichen Aktivität in den Dienstleistungsbereichen," ifo Forschungsberichte, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 55, April.
    7. Beate Schirwitz & Christian Seiler & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2009. "Regionale Konjunkturzyklen in Deutschland - Teil II: Die Zyklendatierung," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 62(14), pages 24-31, July.
    8. Kai Carstensen & Steffen Henzel & Johannes Mayr & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2009. "IFOCAST: Methoden der ifo-Kurzfristprognose," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 62(23), pages 15-28, December.
    9. Nikolay Robinzonov & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2010. "Freedom of Choice in Macroeconomic Forecasting ," CESifo Economic Studies, CESifo, vol. 56(2), pages 192-220, June.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Dienstleistungssektor; Prognose; Wertschöpfung; Deutschland;

    JEL classification:

    • L80 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Services - - - General
    • C42 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Survey Methods

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