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Individual Welfare Gains from Deferred Life-Annuities under Stochastic Mortality

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  • Post Thomas

    (Maastricht University)

Abstract

At the end of the deferment period a deferred annuity’s policyholder can choose between receiving annuity payouts or the capital accumulated. Considering stochastic mortality improvements, this is a valuable option for the policyholder. Whenever mortality improves less than expected at contract inception, the policyholder will choose the lump-sum and buy an annuity at current market prices. Otherwise, he will retain the more favorable deferred annuity. We use a life-cycle model and calculate the welfare gains of deferred annuities considering stochastic mortality improvements. Deferred annuities are found to substantially improve the welfare of an individual. The option feature is especially valuable in the presence of adverse selection problems. The results derived are relevant for individual retirement planning and pension system design.

Suggested Citation

  • Post Thomas, 2012. "Individual Welfare Gains from Deferred Life-Annuities under Stochastic Mortality," Asia-Pacific Journal of Risk and Insurance, De Gruyter, vol. 6(2), pages 1-26, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:bpj:apjrin:v:6:y:2012:i:2:n:2
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Cocco, João F. & Gomes, Francisco J., 2012. "Longevity risk, retirement savings, and financial innovation," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 103(3), pages 507-529.
    2. D'Albis, Hippolyte & Thibault, Emmanuel, 2012. "Ambiguous Life Expectancy and the Demand for Annuities," IDEI Working Papers 731, Institut d'Économie Industrielle (IDEI), Toulouse.
    3. Thomas Post & Katja Hanewald, 2010. "Stochastic Mortality, Subjective Survival Expectations, and Individual Saving Behavior," SFB 649 Discussion Papers SFB649DP2010-040, Sonderforschungsbereich 649, Humboldt University, Berlin, Germany.
    4. Hanewald, Katja & Piggott, John & Sherris, Michael, 2013. "Individual post-retirement longevity risk management under systematic mortality risk," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 52(1), pages 87-97.
    5. Huaxiong Huang & Moshe A. Milevsky & Thomas S. Salisbury, 2012. "Optimal retirement consumption with a stochastic force of mortality," Papers 1205.2295, arXiv.org.
    6. repec:hal:journl:halshs-00721281 is not listed on IDEAS
    7. Post, Thomas & Hanewald, Katja, 2013. "Longevity risk, subjective survival expectations, and individual saving behavior," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 200-220.
    8. Huang, Huaxiong & Milevsky, Moshe A. & Salisbury, Thomas S., 2012. "Optimal retirement consumption with a stochastic force of mortality," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 51(2), pages 282-291.

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