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Speculative Attacks on the Drachma and the Changeover to the Euro

Author

Listed:
  • Tassos Anastasatos

    (Eurobank EFG)

  • Constantina Manou

    () (Bank of Greece)

Abstract

This article examines speculative attacks against the Greek drachma from 1960 until the adoption of the euro in 2001. The analysis is preceded by a historical review. Subsequently, using monthly data on a plethora of economic, financial and political variables, a range of Limited Dependent Variable Models (both binomial and multinomial) is estimated. This methodology allows devaluations to be differentiated from speculative pressure which was successfully repelled. Findings suggest that, until the early 1990s, speculative attacks were largely related to domestic macroeconomic imbalances. However, the effort to fulfill the Maastricht criteria disciplined policies. Thereafter, disturbances were more related to contagion from international crises due to increasing international interdependence.

Suggested Citation

  • Tassos Anastasatos & Constantina Manou, 2008. "Speculative Attacks on the Drachma and the Changeover to the Euro," Economic Bulletin, Bank of Greece, issue 31, pages 49-77, November.
  • Handle: RePEc:bog:econbl:y:2008:i:31:p:49-77
    as

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    File URL: http://eng.bankofgreece.gr/en/publications/pdf/econbull200810.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Costas N. Kanellopoulos, 2012. "Employment and worker flows during the financial crisis," Economic Bulletin, Bank of Greece, issue 36, pages 31-41, April.
    2. Costas N. Kanellopoulos, 2014. "The private sector Greek labour market during the crisis," Economic Bulletin, Bank of Greece, issue 39, pages 21-36, July.
    3. Petros M. Migiakis, 2012. "Reviewing the proposals for common bond issuances by the euro-area sovereign under a long-term perspective," Economic Bulletin, Bank of Greece, issue 37, pages 43-54, December.
    4. Costas N. Kanellopoulos, 2012. "The Size and structure of uninsured employment," Economic Bulletin, Bank of Greece, issue 37, pages 23-41, December.
    5. Zacharias Bragoudakis & Dimitrios Sideris, 2012. "Do retail gasoline prices adjust symmetrically to crude oil price changes? the case of the Greek oil market," Economic Bulletin, Bank of Greece, issue 37, pages 7-21, December.
    6. Daniel Stavárek, 2011. "Comparison of Exchange Market Pressure Across the New Part of the European Union," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(0), pages 21-39, July.
    7. Sophia Lazaretou, 2014. "The smart economy: cultural and creative industries in Greece: can they be a way out of the crisis?," Economic Bulletin, Bank of Greece, issue 39, pages 73-103, July.
    8. Dimitra Dimitropoulou & Anastasia Koutsomanoli-Filippaki & Evangelos Charalambakis & Georgios Aggelis, 2014. "The financing of Greek enterprises before and during the crisis," Economic Bulletin, Bank of Greece, issue 39, pages 7-20, July.
    9. Aikaterini Chaireti, 2014. "The housing situation of residents of Greece in the time of crisis 2008-2012," Economic Bulletin, Bank of Greece, issue 39, pages 105-141, July.
    10. Faidon Kalfaoglou, 2014. "European banking union: “Europeanising” banks’ financial safety net," Economic Bulletin, Bank of Greece, issue 39, pages 37-72, July.
    11. Daniel Stavárek, 2011. "Comparison of Exchange Market Pressure Across the New Part of the European Union," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(0), pages 21-39, July.
    12. Stavarek, Daniel, 2010. "Determinants of the exchange market pressure in the euro-candidate countries," MPRA Paper 26933, University Library of Munich, Germany.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    drachma; adoption of euro; speculative attacks;

    JEL classification:

    • F32 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements
    • F36 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Financial Aspects of Economic Integration

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