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Replacement Investment: Optimal Economic Life Under Uncertainty

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  • Ian M. Dobbs

Abstract

Replacement investment is essentially a regenerative optimal stopping problem; that is, the key decision concerns when to terminate the life of existing plant – and hence when to start over again. This paper examines this optimisation problem within a continuous time framework and studies the qualitative and quantitative impact of uncertainty on the timing of new investment (and the criteria that should be used for terminating the life of existing plant).

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  • Ian M. Dobbs, 2004. "Replacement Investment: Optimal Economic Life Under Uncertainty," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(5‐6), pages 729-757, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:jbfnac:v:31:y:2004:i:5-6:p:729-757
    DOI: 10.1111/j.0306-686X.2004.00555.x
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

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    2. Reindorp, Matthew J. & Fu, Michael C., 2011. "Capital renewal as a real option," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 214(1), pages 109-117, October.
    3. Paul R. Kleindorfer & Andrei Neboian & Alain Roset & Stefan Spinler, 2012. "Fleet Renewal with Electric Vehicles at La Poste," Interfaces, INFORMS, vol. 42(5), pages 465-477, October.
    4. Adkins, Roger & Paxson, Dean, 2013. "The effect of tax depreciation on the stochastic replacement policy," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 229(1), pages 155-164.
    5. Adkins, Roger & Paxson, Dean, 2017. "Replacement decisions with multiple stochastic values and depreciation," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 257(1), pages 174-184.
    6. Dimitrios Koumparoulis, 2011. "The Proportionality Hypothesis in Capital Theory: an Assessment of the Literature," EuroEconomica, Danubius University of Galati, issue 27, pages 27-39, February.
    7. Adkins, Roger & Paxson, Dean, 2013. "Deterministic models for premature and postponed replacement," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 41(6), pages 1008-1019.
    8. Song-Man Wu & Felix T. S. Chan & S. H. Chung, 2022. "The influence of positive and negative salvage values on supply chain financing strategies," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 315(1), pages 535-563, August.
    9. M. Trojanowska & P. M. Kort, 2010. "The Worst Case for Real Options," Journal of Optimization Theory and Applications, Springer, vol. 146(3), pages 709-734, September.
    10. Stutzmas, Sarah & Weiland, Brandon & Preckel, Paul & Wetzstein, Michael, 2016. "Can wood pellets save coal? A real options approach to retrofitting coal plants," 2016 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Boston, Massachusetts 234940, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    11. Himpler, Sebastian & Madlener, Reinhard, 2011. "Repowering of Wind Turbines: Economics and Optimal Timing," FCN Working Papers 19/2011, E.ON Energy Research Center, Future Energy Consumer Needs and Behavior (FCN).
    12. Fumagalli, Elena & Garrone, Paola & Grilli, Luca, 2007. "Service quality in the electricity industry: The role of privatization and managerial behavior," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 35(12), pages 6212-6224, December.
    13. Yatsenko, Yuri & Hritonenko, Natali, 2017. "Machine replacement under evolving deterministic and stochastic costs," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 193(C), pages 491-501.
    14. Müller, Christine & Growitsch, Christian & Wissner, Matthias, 2010. "Regulierung und Investitionsanreize in der ökonomischen Theorie. IRIN Working Paper im Rahmen des Arbeitspakets: Smart Grid-gerechte Weiterentwicklung der Anreizregulierung," WIK Discussion Papers 349, WIK Wissenschaftliches Institut für Infrastruktur und Kommunikationsdienste GmbH.
    15. Nykamp, Stefan & Andor, Mark & Hurink, Johann L., 2012. "‘Standard’ incentive regulation hinders the integration of renewable energy generation," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 222-237.

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