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A Real Options Analysis of Automatic Milking Systems

  • Engel, Phoebe D.
  • Hyde, Jeffrey
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    Automatic, or robotic, milking systems have the potential to significantly change the way milk is produced on U.S. dairy farms. However, there is a high degree of uncertainty associated with adoption of this new technology. A real options approach is used to analyze the decision to replace an operational milking system with an automatic milking system. The most important source of uncertainty is shown to be the length of the technology's useful life. Under our assumptions, the automatic system is always an optimal investment if it is certain that it will last longer than the operational system being replaced.

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    File URL: http://purl.umn.edu/31618
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    Article provided by Northeastern Agricultural and Resource Economics Association in its journal Agricultural and Resource Economics Review.

    Volume (Year): 32 (2003)
    Issue (Month): 2 (October)
    Pages:

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    Handle: RePEc:ags:arerjl:31618
    Contact details of provider: Web page: http://www.narea.org/

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    1. Isik, Murat & Coble, Keith H. & Hudson, Darren & House, Lisa O., 2003. "A model of entry-exit decisions and capacity choice under demand uncertainty," Agricultural Economics, Blackwell, vol. 28(3), pages 215-224, May.
    2. Sporleder, Thomas L. & Bailey, Michael D., 2001. "Using Real Options To Evaluate Producer Investment In New Generation Cooperatives," 2001 Annual meeting, August 5-8, Chicago, IL 20725, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    3. Balmann, Alfons & Musshoff, Oliver, 2002. "Is The "Standard Real Options Approach" Appropriate For Investment Decisions In Hog Production?," 2002 Annual meeting, July 28-31, Long Beach, CA 19897, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
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