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The Assessment of Climate Risk Impact on the Economy: A Panel Data Approach

Author

Listed:
  • Teodora Cristina Barbu

    (Bucharest University of Economic Studies, Bucharest, Romania)

  • Cosmin-Octavian Cepoi

    (Bucharest University of Economic Studies, Bucharest, Romania)

  • Crina Raluca Petrescu

    (Bucharest University of Economic Studies, Bucharest, Romania)

  • Mariana Vuta

    (Bucharest University of Economic Studies, Bucharest, Romania)

Abstract

In this paper, we investigate how climate risk impacts the sovereign risk, the stock market evolution, and the degree of competitiveness, starting from the macroeconomic and financial effects globally produced by climate change. Using both quantile and logistic regression and a sample of 22 countries, of which 16 EU members and 6 OECD members, during the 2008 2019 period, the results highlight a negative relationship between climate risks and the evolution of stock market capitalization as a percentage of GDP. Moreover, the climate risk leads to an increase in sovereign risk only across inferior quantiles, i.e., when the CDS level is small. In addition, based on a logit regression model, we show that the level of competitiveness of a country is influenced to a small extent by the level of climate risk. This could be a consequence of concerns among authorities and companies in each country willing to implement development strategies to achieve the goals proposed by the European Green Pact and standardization of the global price of CO2.

Suggested Citation

  • Teodora Cristina Barbu & Cosmin-Octavian Cepoi & Crina Raluca Petrescu & Mariana Vuta, 2022. "The Assessment of Climate Risk Impact on the Economy: A Panel Data Approach," The AMFITEATRU ECONOMIC journal, Academy of Economic Studies - Bucharest, Romania, vol. 24(61), pages 597-597, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:aes:amfeco:v:24:y:2022:i:61:p:597
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    climate risk index; stock market capitalisation; sovereign risk; global competitivity; quantile regression; logistic regression.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C1 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General
    • C58 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Financial Econometrics
    • D53 - Microeconomics - - General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium - - - Financial Markets
    • E60 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - General
    • G20 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - General
    • Q54 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Climate; Natural Disasters and their Management; Global Warming

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