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A Stylized Applied Energy-Economy Model for France

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  • Fanny Henriet, Nicolas Maggiar, and Katheline Schubert

Abstract

We build, calibrate and simulate a stylized energy-economy model designed to evaluate the magnitude of carbon tax that would allow the French economy to reduce by a factor of four its CO2 emissions at a forty-year horizon. We estimate the substitution possibilities between fossil energy and other factors for households and firms. We build two versions of the model, the first with exogenous technical progress, and the second with an endogenization of the direction of technical progress. We show that if the energy-saving technical progress rate remains at its recent historical value, the magnitude of the carbon tax is quite unrealistic. When the direction of technical progress responds endogenously to economic incentives, CO2 emissions can be reduced by more than that allowed by the substitution possibilities, but not by a factor of four. To achieve this, an additional instrument is needed, namely a subsidy to fossil energy-saving research. The redirection of technical progress, which is a driver of energy transition, comes at a small cost in terms of the overall growth rate of the economy.

Suggested Citation

  • Fanny Henriet, Nicolas Maggiar, and Katheline Schubert, 2014. "A Stylized Applied Energy-Economy Model for France," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 4).
  • Handle: RePEc:aen:journl:ej35-4-01
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    Cited by:

    1. Verónica Acurio Vásconez, 2015. "What if oil is less substitutable? A New-Keynesian Model with Oil, Price and Wage Stickiness including Capital Accumulation," Post-Print halshs-01167027, HAL.
    2. Pascal da Costa, 2014. "Semi-Endogenous Growth and Pollution: No Double Dividend in the Long Term," Working Papers hal-00994904, HAL.
    3. Fanny Henriet & Nicolas Maggiar & Katheline Schubert, 2016. "La France peut-elle atteindre l’objectif du Facteur 4 ? Une évaluation à l’aide d’un modèle stylisé énergie-économie," Economie & Prévision, La Documentation Française, vol. 0(1), pages 1-21.
    4. Pascal da Costa & Wenhui Tian, 2015. "A Sectoral Prospective Analysis of CO2 Emissions in China, USA and France, 2010-2050," Working Papers hal-01026302, HAL.
    5. Veronica ACURIO VASCONEZ, 2020. "What if Oil was Less Substitutable?," Working Papers of BETA 2020-08, Bureau d'Economie Théorique et Appliquée, UDS, Strasbourg.
    6. Antoine Devulder & Noëmie Lisack, 2020. "Carbon Tax in a Production Network: Propagation and Sectoral Incidence," Working papers 760, Banque de France.

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