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Evaluation of macroeconomic models for financial stability analysis

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Gunnar Bardsen
Kjersti-Gro Lindquist
Dimitrios P.Tsomocos

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Abstract

As financial stability has gained focus in economic policymaking, the demand for analyses of financial stability and the consequences of economic policy has increased. Alternative macroeconomic models are available for policy analyses, and this paper evaluates the usefulness of some models from the perspective of financial stability. Financial stability analyses are complicated by the lack of a clear and consensus definition of "financial stability", and the paper concludes that operational definitions of this term must be expected to vary across alternative models. Furthermore, since assessment of financial stability in general is based on a wide range of risk factors, one can not expect one single model to satisfactorily capture all the risk factors. Rather, a suite of models is needed. This is in particular true for the evaluation of risk factors originating and developing inside and outside the financial system respectively.

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Paper provided by Oxford Financial Research Centre in its series OFRC Working Papers Series with number 2006fe01.

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Date of creation: 2006
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Handle: RePEc:sbs:wpsefe:2006fe01

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  1. David Pérez-Reyna, . "Una aproximación para analizar la estabilidad financiera por medio de un DSGE," Temas de Estabilidad Financiera 040, Banco de la Republica de Colombia. [Downloadable!]
  2. Agustín Saade & Daniel Osorio & Dairo Estrada, 2007. "An equilibrium approach to financial stability analysis: the Colombian case," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 3(1), pages 75-105, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Jan Willem van den End & Marco Hoeberichts & Mostafa Tabbae, 2006. "Modelling Scenario Analysis and Macro Stress-testing," DNB Working Papers 119, Netherlands Central Bank, Research Department. [Downloadable!]
  4. Hernando Vargas H. & Dpto de Estabilidad Financiera, 2006. "El Riesgo De Mercado De La Deuda Pública:¿Una Restricción A La Política Monetaria?El Caso Colombiano," BORRADORES DE ECONOMIA 002543, BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA. [Downloadable!]
  5. Hernando Vargas Herrera & Dpto de Estabilidad Financiera, . "El Riesgo de Mercado de la Deuda Pública: ¿Una Restricción a la Política Monetaria? El Caso Colombiano," Borradores de Economia 382, Banco de la Republica de Colombia. [Downloadable!]
  6. Dale F. Gray & Robert C. Merton & Zvi Bodie, 2007. "New Framework for Measuring and Managing Macrofinancial Risk and Financial Stability," NBER Working Papers 13607, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  7. James P Walsh & Dale F. Gray, 2008. "Factor Model for Stress-testing with a Contingent Claims Model of the Chilean Banking System," IMF Working Papers 08/89, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
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