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Una aproximación para analizar la estabilidad financiera por medio de un DSGE

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  • David Pérez-Reyna

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    Abstract

    En este trabajo se presenta un modelo de equilibrio general dinámico y estocástico para analizar la estabilidad financiera de una economía cerrada y sin gobierno. El modelo se basa en el propuesto por Leao y Leao (2007), adicionando un incumplimiento endógeno del pago de la deuda por parte de los hogares y un requerimiento de provisiones para los bancos. Así se permite analizar el impacto que tienen cambios en algunas medidas de política monetaria y regulatorias sobre la estabilidad financiera. Los resultados sugieren que una política monetaria contraccionista puede tener implicaciones positivas en términos de estabilidad financiera.

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    File URL: http://www.banrep.gov.co/documentos/publicaciones/report_estab_finan/2009/marzo_aproximacion.pdf
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    Bibliographic Info

    Paper provided by Banco de la Republica de Colombia in its series Temas de Estabilidad Financiera with number 040.

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    Handle: RePEc:bdr:temest:040

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    Related research

    Keywords: Modelo DSGE; Estabilidad Financiera; Política monetaria; Regulación; Sistema financiero colombiano. Classification JEL: D58; E52; E58; G21; G28.;

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    1. Dairo Estrada & Angela González Arbelaéz & Javier Gutiérrez Rueda, . "The Effects of Diversification on Banks’ Expected Returns," Borradores de Economia 524, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    2. Charles A.E. Goodhart & Pojanart Sunirand & Dimitrios P. Tsomocos, 2004. "A Time Series Analysis of Financial Fragility in the UK Banking System," OFRC Working Papers Series 2004fe18, Oxford Financial Research Centre.
    3. Dimitrios P Tsomocos & Gunnar Bardsen, 2006. "Evaluation of macroeconomic models for financial stability analysis," Economics Series Working Papers 2006-FE-01, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
    4. Charles Goodhart & Pojanart Sunirand & Dimitrios P. Tsomocos, 2004. "A model to analyse financial fragility," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 24703, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    5. Akram, Q. Farooq & Eitrheim, Øyvind, 2008. "Flexible inflation targeting and financial stability: Is it enough to stabilize inflation and output?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 32(7), pages 1242-1254, July.
    6. Allen, William A. & Wood, Geoffrey, 2006. "Defining and achieving financial stability," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 2(2), pages 152-172, June.
    7. Q. Akram & Gunnar Bårdsen & Kjersti-Gro Lindquist, 2007. "Pursuing financial stability under an inflation-targeting regime," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 3(1), pages 131-153, January.
    8. Agustín Saade & Daniel Osorio & Dairo Estrada, 2007. "An equilibrium approach to financial stability analysis: the Colombian case," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 3(1), pages 75-105, January.
    9. Leao, Emanuel R. & Leao, Pedro R., 2007. "Modelling the central bank repo rate in a dynamic general equilibrium framework," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 24(4), pages 571-610, July.
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