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Econometrics: A Bird's Eye View

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Author Info

  • Geweke, John F.

    ()
    (University of Iowa)

  • Horowitz, Joel L.

    ()
    (Northwestern University)

  • Pesaran, M. Hashem

    ()
    (University of Cambridge)

Abstract

As a unified discipline, econometrics is still relatively young and has been transforming and expanding very rapidly over the past few decades. Major advances have taken place in the analysis of cross sectional data by means of semi-parametric and non-parametric techniques. Heterogeneity of economic relations across individuals, firms and industries is increasingly acknowledged and attempts have been made to take them into account either by integrating out their effects or by modeling the sources of heterogeneity when suitable panel data exists. The counterfactual considerations that underlie policy analysis and treatment evaluation have been given a more satisfactory foundation. New time series econometric techniques have been developed and employed extensively in the areas of macroeconometrics and finance. Non-linear econometric techniques are used increasingly in the analysis of cross section and time series observations. Applications of Bayesian techniques to econometric problems have been given new impetus largely thanks to advances in computer power and computational techniques. The use of Bayesian techniques have in turn provided the investigators with a unifying framework where the tasks of forecasting, decision making, model evaluation and learning can be considered as parts of the same interactive and iterative process; thus paving the way for establishing the foundation of “real time econometrics”. This paper attempts to provide an overview of some of these developments.

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Paper provided by Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) in its series IZA Discussion Papers with number 2458.

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Length: 74 pages
Date of creation: Nov 2006
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Publication status: published in: Steven N. Durlauf and Lawrence E. Blume (eds.), The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics, Second Edition, Palgrave MacMillan: 2008, 609-642
Handle: RePEc:iza:izadps:dp2458

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Keywords: Bayesian econometrics; macroeconometrics; microeconometrics; history of econometrics; nonparametric and semi-parametric analysis;

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