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Evaluation of macroeconomic models for financial stability analysis

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Author Info
Gunnar Bårdsen () (Department of Economics, Norwegian University of Science and Technology, Norway)
Kjersti-Gro Lindquist () (Bank of Norway)
Dimitrios P. Tsomocos () (Saïd Business School and St. Edmund Hall, Oxford University, United Kingdom)

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Abstract

As financial stability has gained focus in economic policymaking, the demand for analyses of financial stability and the consequences of economic policy has increased. Alternative macroeconomic models are available for policy analyses, and this paper evaluates the usefulness of some models from the perspective of financial stability. Financial stability analyses are complicated by the lack of a clear and consensus definition of ‘financial stability’, and the paper concludes that operational definitions of this term must be expected to vary across alternative models. Furthermore, since assessment of financial stability in general is based on a wide range of risk factors, one can not expect one single model to satisfactorily capture all the risk factors. Rather, a suite of models is needed. This is in particular true for the evaluation of risk factors originating and developing inside and outside the financial system respectively.

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Paper provided by Department of Economics, Norwegian University of Science and Technology in its series Working Paper Series with number 6806.

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Length: 42 pages
Date of creation: 14 Feb 2006
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Handle: RePEc:nst:samfok:6806

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Keywords: Financial stability Banks Default Macroeconomic models Policy

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
E1 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models
E4 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates
E5 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit
G1 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets
G2 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services

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Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Jan Willem van den End & Marco Hoeberichts & Mostafa Tabbae, 2006. "Modelling Scenario Analysis and Macro Stress-testing," DNB Working Papers 119, Netherlands Central Bank, Research Department. [Downloadable!]
  2. Hernando Vargas H. & Dpto de Estabilidad Financiera, 2006. "El Riesgo De Mercado De La Deuda Pública:¿Una Restricción A La Política Monetaria?El Caso Colombiano," BORRADORES DE ECONOMIA 002543, BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA. [Downloadable!]
  3. Hernando Vargas Herrera & Dpto de Estabilidad Financiera, . "El Riesgo de Mercado de la Deuda Pública: ¿Una Restricción a la Política Monetaria? El Caso Colombiano," Borradores de Economia 382, Banco de la Republica de Colombia. [Downloadable!]
  4. Dale F. Gray & Robert C. Merton & Zvi Bodie, 2007. "New Framework for Measuring and Managing Macrofinancial Risk and Financial Stability," NBER Working Papers 13607, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. James P Walsh & Dale F. Gray, 2008. "Factor Model for Stress-testing with a Contingent Claims Model of the Chilean Banking System," IMF Working Papers 08/89, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
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