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A survey of impact evaluations of infrastructure projects, programs and policies

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  • Antonio Estache

Abstract

This paper surveys the main lessons from impact evaluations of infrastructure projects, programs and policies relevant to policymakers. In the process, however, it also reveals some major research gaps of relevance to academics. After a brief discussion of the motivation for the explosion of the demand for impact evaluations, it starts with some sometimes underestimated lessons for infrastructure specialists from theoretical experiment. The main focus of the paper is, however, the impact evaluations derived from experimental and quasi-experimental techniques. It covers energy, water and sanitation as well as the various transport subsectors (ports, railways, rural roads and highways). The main value added of the survey may be to show that despite the relatively modest number of published evaluations concluded in infrastructure as compared to health or education for instance, there is a growing coverage of the sector in evaluation efforts. The survey also offers an opportunity to get a sense of the creativity of researchers conducting these evaluations. It summarizes the main questions asked, the main techniques used and when available the results available. It concludes with a discussion of some of the limitations of evaluations in the context of infrastructure interventions.

Suggested Citation

  • Antonio Estache, 2010. "A survey of impact evaluations of infrastructure projects, programs and policies," Working Papers ECARES 2010_005, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
  • Handle: RePEc:eca:wpaper:2010_005
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    1. Antonio Estache & Caroline Philippe, 2012. "The Impact of Private Participation in Infrastructure in Developing Countries: Taking Stock of about 20 Years of Experience," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2012-043, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
    2. Kiyoyasu Tanaka & Kenmei Tsubota, 2013. "Does Aid for Roads Attract Foreign or Domestic Firms? Evidence from Cambodia," The Developing Economies, Institute of Developing Economies, vol. 51(4), pages 388-401, December.
    3. Monica Beuran & Marie Gachassin & Gaël Raballand, 2015. "Are There Myths on Road Impact and Transport in Sub-Saharan Africa?," Development Policy Review, Overseas Development Institute, vol. 33(5), pages 673-700, September.
    4. Marinella Davide & Enrica De Cian & Alexis Bernigaud, 2019. "Building a Framework to Understand the Energy Needs of Adaptation," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(15), pages 1-32, July.
    5. Sawada, Yasuyuki, 2015. "The Impacts of Infrastructure in Development: A Selective Survey," ADBI Working Papers 511, Asian Development Bank Institute.
    6. Daniela López Cajiao, 2018. "Lightning the future of education in Brazil: the impact of rural electrification on educational outcomes," Documentos CEDE 16817, Universidad de los Andes, Facultad de Economía, CEDE.
    7. Afeikhena Jerome, 2011. "Infrastructure, Economic Growth and Poverty Reduction in Africa," Journal of Infrastructure Development, India Development Foundation, vol. 3(2), pages 127-151, December.
    8. Ariel BenYishay & Rebecca Tunstall, 2011. "Impact evaluation of infrastructure investments: the experience of the Millennium Challenge Corporation," Journal of Development Effectiveness, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 3(1), pages 103-130.
    9. Subedi, Mukti Nath & Bharadwaj, Bishal & Rafiq, Shuddhasattwa, 2023. "Who benefits from the decentralised energy system (DES)? Evidence from Nepal’s micro-hydropower (MHP)," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
    10. Mobarak, Ahmed & Lipscomb, Molly & Barham, Tania, 2011. "Development Effects of Electrification: Evidence from the Geologic Placement of Hydropower Plants in Brazil," CEPR Discussion Papers 8427, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    11. repec:wbk:wbpubs:15790 is not listed on IDEAS
    12. Atif Ansar & Bent Flyvbjerg & Alexander Budzier & Daniel Lunn, 2016. "Does infrastructure investment lead to economic growth or economic fragility? Evidence from China," Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Oxford University Press and Oxford Review of Economic Policy Limited, vol. 32(3), pages 360-390.
    13. Whitzman, Carolyn & James, Kathryn & Poweseu, Ipul, 2013. "Travelling together: participatory research methods for disability inclusive road development in Papua New Guinea," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 26(C), pages 65-71.
    14. Molly Lipscomb & A. Mushfiq Mobarak & Tania Barham, 2013. "Development Effects of Electrification: Evidence from the Topographic Placement of Hydropower Plants in Brazil," American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, American Economic Association, vol. 5(2), pages 200-231, April.
    15. Xinhai Lu & Jiao Hou & Yifeng Tang & Ting Wang & Tianyi Li & Xupeng Zhang, 2022. "Evaluating the Impact of the Highway Infrastructure Construction and the Threshold Effect on Cultivated Land Use Efficiency: Evidence from Chinese Provincial Panel Data," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(7), pages 1-20, July.
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