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Methods versus Substance: Measuring the Effects of Technology Shocks on Hours

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  • Fuentes-Albero, Cristina
  • Kryshko, Maxym
  • Ríos-Rull, José-Víctor
  • Santaeulàlia-Llopis, Raül
  • Schorfheide, Frank

Abstract

In this paper, we employ both calibration and modern (Bayesian) estimation methods to assess the role of neutral and investment-specific technology shocks in generating fluctuations in hours. Using a neoclassical stochastic growth model, we show how answers are shaped by the identification strategies and not by the statistical approaches. The crucial parameter is the labor supply elasticity. Both a calibration procedure that uses modern assessments of the Frisch elasticity and the estimation procedures result in technology shocks accounting for 2% to 9% of the variation in hours worked in the data. We infer that we should be talking more about identification and less about the choice of particular quantitative approaches.

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Paper provided by C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers in its series CEPR Discussion Papers with number 7474.

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Date of creation: Sep 2009
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Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:7474

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Keywords: Business Cycle Fluctuations; Calibration; DSGE Model Estimation; Technology Shocks;

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Blog mentions

As found by EconAcademics.org, the blog aggregator for Economics research:
  1. Technology shocks and hours: it is the identification, stupid!
    by Economic Logician in Economic Logic on 2009-10-13 14:05:00

RePEc Biblio mentions

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  1. > Macroeconomics > Monetary Theory
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Cited by:
  1. Alejandro Justiniano & Bruce Preston, 2006. "Can Structural Small Open Economy Models Account For The Influence Of Foreign Disturbances?," CAMA Working Papers 2006-12, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
  2. Nikolay Iskrev, 2013. "On the distribution of information in the moment structure of DSGE models," 2013 Meeting Papers 339, Society for Economic Dynamics.
  3. Jesús Rodríguez López, 2010. "Growth, fluctuations and technology in the U.S. post-war economy," Working Papers 10.01, Universidad Pablo de Olavide, Department of Economics.
  4. Mennuni, Alessandro, 2014. "The Role of Curvature in the Transformation Frontier between Consumption and Investment," Discussion Paper Series In Economics And Econometrics 1407, Economics Division, School of Social Sciences, University of Southampton.
  5. Chang, Yongsung & Schorfheide, Frank, 2010. "Labor-Market Heterogeneity, Aggregation, and the Lucas Critique," CEPR Discussion Papers 8039, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  6. Cristiano Cantore & Filippo Ferroni & Miguel A León-Ledesma, 2012. "Interpreting the Hours-Technology time-varying relationship," Studies in Economics 1201, Department of Economics, University of Kent.
  7. Sacht, Stephen & Franke, Reiner & Jang, Tae-Seok, 2013. "Moment Matching versus Bayesian Estimation: Backward-Looking Behaviour in a New-Keynesian Baseline Model," Annual Conference 2013 (Duesseldorf): Competition Policy and Regulation in a Global Economic Order 79694, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
  8. Enrique Martínez-García & Diego Vilán & Mark Wynne, 2012. "Bayesian estimation of NOEM models: identification and inference in small samples," Globalization and Monetary Policy Institute Working Paper 105, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
  9. Frank Schorfheide, 2011. "Estimation and evaluation of DSGE models: progress and challenges," Working Papers 11-7, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
  10. Fang Yao, 2010. "Aggregate Hazard Function in Price-Setting: A Bayesian Analysis Using Macro Data," SFB 649 Discussion Papers SFB649DP2010-020, Sonderforschungsbereich 649, Humboldt University, Berlin, Germany.
  11. Alejandro Justiniano & Claudio Michelacci, 2011. "The Cyclical Behavior of Equilibrium Unemployment and Vacancies in the US and Europe," NBER Working Papers 17429, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  12. Alejandro Justiniano & Claudio Michelacci, 2011. "The Cyclical Behavior of Equilibrium Unemployment and Vacancies in the United States and Europe," NBER Chapters, in: NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2011, pages 169-235 National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  13. Frank Schorfheide, 2012. "EconomicDynamics Interviews Frank Schorfheide on DSGE Model Estimation," EconomicDynamics Newsletter, Review of Economic Dynamics, vol. 13(2), April.

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