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News about Aggregate Demand and the Business Cycle

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Author Info

  • Jang-Ting Guo

    (Department of Economics, University of California-Riverside)

  • Anca-Ioana Sirbu

    (Department of Economics, University of California-Riverside)

  • Mark Weder

    ()
    (School of Economics, University of Adelaide)

Abstract

We show that a one-sector real business cycle model with variable capital utilization and mild increasing returns-to-scale is able to generate qualitatively as well as quantitatively realistic aggregate fluctuations driven by news shocks to future consumption demand. In sharp contrast to many studies in the existing expectations-driven business cycle literature, our results do not rely on non-separable preferences or investment adjustment costs.

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File URL: http://www.economics.adelaide.edu.au/research/papers/doc/wp2012-01.pdf
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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by University of Adelaide, School of Economics in its series School of Economics Working Papers with number 2012-01.

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Length: 16 pages
Date of creation: Jan 2012
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:adl:wpaper:2012-01

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Keywords: News Shocks; Aggregate Demand; Business Cycles;

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References

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  1. Christopher Gunn & Alok Johri, 2011. "News and knowledge capital," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 14(1), pages 92-101, January.
  2. Jang-Ting Guo & Anca-Ioana Sirbu & Richard M. H. Suen, 2010. "On Expectations-Driven Business Cycles in Economies with Production Externalities: A Comment," Working Papers 201009, University of California at Riverside, Department of Economics, revised Sep 2010.
  3. Valerie A. Ramey, 2009. "Identifying Government Spending Shocks: It's All in the Timing," NBER Working Papers 15464, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  4. Laitner, John & Stolyarov, Dmitriy, 2004. "Aggregate returns to scale and embodied technical change: theory and measurement using stock market data," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 51(1), pages 191-233, January.
  5. Christiano, Lawrence & Ilut, Cosmin & Motto, Roberto & Rostagno, Massimo, 2011. "Monetary Policy and Stock Market Booms," Working Papers 2011-005, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú.
  6. Michael P. Keane & Richard Rogerson, 2011. "Reconciling Micro and Macro Labor Supply Elasticities: A Structural Perspective," NBER Working Papers 17430, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  7. Richard Rogerson, 2010. "Indivisible Labor, Lotteries and Equilibrium," Levine's Working Paper Archive 250, David K. Levine.
  8. Michael Keane & Richard Rogerson, 2012. "Micro and Macro Labor Supply Elasticities: A Reassessment of Conventional Wisdom," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 50(2), pages 464-76, June.
  9. Lilia Karnizova, 2008. "The Spirit of Capitalism and Expectation Driven Business Cycles," Working Papers 0804E, University of Ottawa, Department of Economics.
  10. Paul Beaudry & Franck Portier, 2004. "When Can Changes in Expectations Cause Business Cycle Fluctuations in Neo-Classical Settings?," NBER Working Papers 10776, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  11. Pengfei Wang, 2012. "Understanding Expectation‐Driven Fluctuations: A Labor‐Market Approach," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 44, pages 487-506, 03.
  12. Nutahara, Kengo, 2009. "Internal and external habits and news-driven business cycles," MPRA Paper 12550, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  13. Alvarez-Pelaez, Maria J. & Diaz, Antonia, 2005. "Minimum consumption and transitional dynamics in wealth distribution," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 52(3), pages 633-667, April.
  14. Oscar Pavlov & Mark Weder, 2011. "Countercyclical Markups and News-Driven Business Cycles," School of Economics Working Papers 2011-28, University of Adelaide, School of Economics.
  15. Wen, Yi, 1998. "Capacity Utilization under Increasing Returns to Scale," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 81(1), pages 7-36, July.
  16. Karel Mertens & Morten Overgaard Ravn, 2011. "Understanding the Aggregate Effects of Anticipated and Unanticipated Tax Policy Shocks," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 14(1), pages 27-54, January.
  17. Paul Beaudry & Bernd Lucke, 2009. "Letting Different Views about Business Cycles Compete," NBER Working Papers 14950, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  18. Beaudry, Paul & Portier, Franck, 2001. "An Exploration into Pigou's Theory of Cycles," CEPR Discussion Papers 2996, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  19. Stefano Eusepi*, 2009. "On expectations-driven business cycles in economies with production externalities," International Journal of Economic Theory, The International Society for Economic Theory, vol. 5(1), pages 9-23.
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