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Content
2020
- 2020/110 The Macroeconomic Costs of Conflict
by Natalija Novta & Evgenia Pugacheva
- 2020/109 The Impact of Monetary Policy Communication in an Emerging Economy: The Case of Indonesia
by Mr. Calixte Ahokpossi & Agnes Isnawangsih & Md. Shah Naoaj & Ting Yan
- 2020/108 One Money, Many Markets: Monetary Transmission and Housing Financing in the Euro Area
by Giancarlo Corsetti & Joao B. Duarte & Samuel Mann
- 2020/107 Wealth Inequality and Private Savings: The Case of Germany
by Mai Dao
- 2020/106 Dampening Global Financial Shocks: Can Macroprudential Regulation Help (More than Capital Controls)?
by Katharina Bergant & Mr. Francesco Grigoli & Mr. Niels-Jakob H Hansen & Mr. Damiano Sandri
- 2020/105 Designing Fiscal Redistribution: The Role of Universal and Targeted Transfers
by Mr. David Coady & Nghia-Piotr Le
- 2020/104 A Survey of Research on Retail Central Bank Digital Currency
by Mr. John Kiff & Jihad Alwazir & Sonja Davidovic & Aquiles Farias & Mr. Ashraf Khan & Mr. Tanai Khiaonarong & Majid Malaika & Mr. Hunter K Monroe & Nobu Sugimoto & Hervé Tourpe & Peter Zhou
- 2020/103 Does Going Tough on Banks Make the Going Get Tough? Bank Liquidity Regulations, Capital Requirements, and Sectoral Activity
by Ms. Deniz O Igan & Ali Mirzaei
- 2020/102 Debt, Investment, and Growth in Developing Countries with Segmented Labor Markets
by Mr. Edward F Buffie & Luis-Felipe Zanna & Mr. Christopher S Adam & Lacina Balma & Dawit Tessema & Mr. Kangni R Kpodar
- 2020/101 The Non-U.S. Bank Demand for U.S. Dollar Assets
by Mr. Tobias Adrian & Peichu Xie
- 2020/100 Comfort in Floating: Taking Stock of Twenty Years of Freely-Floating Exchange Rate in Chile
by Elías Albagli & Mauricio Calani & Metodij Hadzi-Vaskov & Mario Marcel & Mr. Luca A Ricci
- 2020/099 Social Programs and Formal Employment: Evidence from the Brazilian Bolsa Família Program
by Anna Fruttero & Alexandre Ribeiro Leichsenring & Luis Henrique Paiva
- 2020/098 The Lack of Convergence of Latin-America Compared with CESEE: Is Low Investment to Blame?
by Mr. Bas B. Bakker & Mr. Manuk Ghazanchyan & Alex Ho & Vibha Nanda
- 2020/097 Shocks Matter: Managing Capital Flows with Multiple Instruments in Emerging Economies
by Mr. Ruy Lama & Juan Pablo Medina
- 2020/096 The Distributional Impact of Recessions: the Global Financial Crisis and the Pandemic Recession
by Mr. Ippei Shibata
- 2020/095 Improving Crop Yields in Sub-Saharan Africa - What Does the East African Data Say
by Mr. Alun H. Thomas
- 2020/094 Fiscal Resilience Building: Insights from a New Tax Revenue Diversification Index
by Rasmané Ouedraogo & Rene Tapsoba & Moussé Sow & Ali Compaoré
- 2020/093 How Large and Persistent is the Response of Inflation to Changes in Retail Energy Prices?
by Mr. Chadi Abdallah & Mr. Kangni R Kpodar
- 2020/092 Would Population Aging Change the Output Effects of Fiscal Policy?
by Mr. Jiro Honda & Hiroaki Miyamoto
- 2020/091 Government Spending Effects in a Policy Constrained Environment
by Ruoyun Mao & Susan Yang Shu-Chun
- 2020/090 FX Intervention to Stabilize or Manipulate the Exchange Rate? Inference from Profitability
by Mr. Damiano Sandri
- 2020/089 The Costs of Macroprudential Deleveraging in a Liquidity Trap
by Mr. Jiaqian Chen & Daria Finocchiaro & Jesper Lindé & Karl Walentin
- 2020/088 Who will Bear the Brunt of Lockdown Policies? Evidence from Tele-workability Measures Across Countries
by Mariya Brussevich & Ms. Era Dabla-Norris & Salma Khalid
- 2020/087 Estimating the Neutral Interest Rate in the Kyrgyz Republic
by Iulia Ruxandra Teodoru & Asel Toktonalieva
- 2020/086 How Loose, How Tight? A Measure of Monetary and Fiscal Stance for the Euro Area
by Nicoletta Batini & Mr. Alessandro Cantelmo & Mr. Giovanni Melina & Stefania Villa
- 2020/085 Credibility Dynamics and Disinflation Plans
by Rumen Kostadinov & Francisco Roldán
- 2020/084 Why Did Public Banks Lend More During the Global Financial Crisis?
by Joshua Bosshardt & Mr. Eugenio M Cerutti
- 2020/083 Synergies Between Monetary and Macroprudential Policies in Thailand
by Ichiro Fukunaga & Manrique Saenz
- 2020/082 Liquidity at Risk: Joint Stress Testing of Solvency and Liquidity
by Rama Cont & Artur Kotlicki & Ms. Laura Valderrama
- 2020/081 Measuring the Impact of a Failing Participant in Payment Systems
by Ronald Heijmans & Ms. Froukelien Wendt
- 2020/080 Estimated Policy Rules for Capital Controls
by Gurnain Kaur Pasricha
- 2020/079 This Changes Everything: Climate Shocks and Sovereign Bonds
by Mr. Serhan Cevik & João Tovar Jalles
- 2020/078 Predictive Density Aggregation: A Model for Global GDP Growth
by Francesca Caselli & Mr. Francesco Grigoli & Romain Lafarguette & Changchun Wang
- 2020/077 Tax Elasticity Estimates for Capital Stocks in Canada
by Jean-François Wen & Fatih Yilmaz & Danea Trejo
- 2020/076 Tec(h)tonic Shifts: Taxing the “Digital Economy”
by Aqib Aslam & Ms. Alpa Shah
- 2020/075 Fintech and Payments Regulation: Analytical Framework
by Mr. Tanai Khiaonarong & Terry Goh
- 2020/074 Drivers of Financial Access: the Role of Macroprudential Policies
by Ms. Corinne C Delechat & Lama Kiyasseh & Ms. Margaux MacDonald & Rui Xu
- 2020/073 Hysteresis and Business Cycles
by Ms. Valerie Cerra & A. Fatas & Ms. Sweta Chaman Saxena
- 2020/072 When Banks Punch Back: Macrofinancial Feedback Loops in Stress Tests
by Mr. Mario Catalan & Alexander W. Hoffmaister
- 2020/071 The Fiscal State-Dependent Effects of Capital Income Tax Cuts
by Alexandra Fotiou & Ms. Wenyi Shen & Susan Yang Shu-Chun
- 2020/070 Global Smartphones Sales May Have Peaked
by Mr. Joannes Mongardini & Aneta Radzikowski
- 2020/069 Patterns of Foreign Exchange Intervention under Inflation Targeting
by Gustavo Adler & Kyun Suk Chang & Zijiao Wang
- 2020/068 Can Digitalization Help Deter Corruption in Africa?
by Rasmané Ouedraogo & Mr. Amadou N Sy
- 2020/067 Effects of Macroprudential Policy: Evidence from Over 6,000 Estimates
by Ms. Juliana Dutra Araujo & Manasa Patnam & Ms. Adina Popescu & Mr. Fabian Valencia & Weijia Yao
- 2020/066 Do Remittances Enhance Financial Inclusion in LMICs and in Fragile States?
by Sami Ben Naceur & Mr. Ralph Chami & Mohamed Trabelsi
- 2020/065 Macroprudential Policies, Economic Growth, and Banking Crises
by Mohamed Belkhir & Sami Ben Naceur & Bertrand Candelon & Jean-Charles Wijnandts
- 2020/064 Model-Based Globally-Consistent Risk Assessment
by Michal Andrle & Mr. Benjamin L Hunt
- 2020/063 Non-Resident Holdings of Domestic Debt in Nigeria: Internal or External Driven?
by Amr Hosny
- 2020/062 Macro-Structural Obstacles to Firm Performance: Evidence from 2,640 Firms in Nigeria
by Amr Hosny
- 2020/061 Are Capital Goods Tariffs Different?
by Sergii Meleshchuk & Mr. Yannick Timmer
- 2020/060 Real Exchange Rate Overshooting in Large Depreciations: Determinants and Consequences
by Mr. Alexander Culiuc
- 2020/059 A European Minimum Wage: Implications for Poverty and Macroeconomic Imbalances
by Ms. Enrica Detragiache & Mr. Christian H Ebeke & La-Bhus Fah Jirasavetakul & Koralai Kirabaeva & Mr. Davide Malacrino & Florian Misch & Mr. Hyun Park & Ms. Yu Shi
- 2020/058 The Anatomy of the Transmission of Macroprudential Policies
by Viral V. Acharya & Katharina Bergant & Matteo Crosignani & Tim Eisert & Fergal McCann
- 2020/057 World Seaborne Trade in Real Time: A Proof of Concept for Building AIS-based Nowcasts from Scratch
by Mr. Diego A. Cerdeiro & Andras Komaromi & Yang Liu & Mamoon Saeed
- 2020/056 Do FDI Firms Employ More Workers than Domestic Firms for Each Dollar of Assets?
by Mr. Sakai Ando & Mengxue Wang
- 2020/055 Unlocking Access to Finance for SMEs: A Cross-Country Analysis
by Mr. Armand P Fouejieu & Anta Ndoye & Tetyana Sydorenko
- 2020/054 Systemic Risk Modeling: How Theory Can Meet Statistics
by Mr. Raphael A Espinoza & Miguel A. Segoviano & Ji Yan
- 2020/053 Riding the Yield Curve: Risk Taking Behavior in a Low Interest Rate Environment
by Mr. Ralph Chami & Mr. Thomas F. Cosimano & Ms. Celine Rochon & Julieta Yung
- 2020/052 r minus g negative: Can We Sleep More Soundly?
by Mr. Paolo Mauro & Jing Zhou
- 2020/051 Household Consumption Volatility and Poverty Risk: Case Studies from South Africa and Tanzania
by Mr. Matthieu Bellon & Carlo Pizzinelli & Mr. Roberto Perrelli
- 2020/050 Operationalizing Inclusive Growth: Per-Percentile Diagnostics to Inform Redistribution Policies
by Mr. Alexei P Kireyev & Andrei Leonidov
- 2020/049 Exploring Residual Profit Allocation
by Sebastian Beer & Ruud A. de Mooij & Mr. Shafik Hebous & Mr. Michael Keen & Ms. Li Liu
- 2020/048 On the Capacity to Absorb Public Investment: How Much is Too Much?
by Daniel Gurara & Mr. Kangni R Kpodar & Mr. Andrea F Presbitero & Dawit Tessema
- 2020/047 Transitory and Permanent Shocks in the Global Market for Crude Oil
by Mr. Nooman Rebei & Rashid Sbia
- 2020/046 International Capital Flows at the Security Level – Evidence from the ECB’s Asset Purchase Programme
by Katharina Bergant & Michael Fidora & Martin Schmitz
- 2020/045 Deus ex Machina? A Framework for Macro Forecasting with Machine Learning
by Marijn A. Bolhuis & Brett Rayner
- 2020/044 The More the Merrier? A Machine Learning Algorithm for Optimal Pooling of Panel Data
by Marijn A. Bolhuis & Brett Rayner
- 2020/043 Foreign Demand and Local House Prices: Evidence from the US
by Mr. Damien Puy & Mr. Anil Ari & Ms. Yu Shi
- 2020/042 Household Debt and House Prices-at-risk: A Tale of Two Countries
by Mr. Adrian Alter & Elizabeth M. Mahoney
- 2020/041 The Impact of Conflict and Political Instability on Banking Crises in Developing Countries
by Ali Compaoré & Mr. Montfort Mlachila & Rasmané Ouedraogo & Sandrine Sourouema
- 2020/040 Lessons from Two Public Sector Reforms in Italy
by Nazim Belhocine & La-Bhus Fah Jirasavetakul
- 2020/039 Identifying Service Market Reform Priorities in Italy
by Nazim Belhocine & Mr. Daniel Garcia-Macia
- 2020/038 Labor Costs and Corporate Investment in Italy
by Mr. Daniel Garcia-Macia
- 2020/037 Toward a Comprehensive Tax Reform for Italy
by Emile Cammeraat & Ernesto Crivelli
- 2020/036 Markups, Quality, and Trade Costs
by Natalie Chen & Luciana Juvenal
- 2020/035 Monetary Policy Transmission in Emerging Markets and Developing Economies
by Mr. Luis Brandão-Marques & Mr. Gaston Gelos & Mr. Thomas Harjes & Ms. Ratna Sahay & Yi Xue
- 2020/034 Barbados’ 2018–19 Sovereign Debt Restructuring–A Sea Change?
by Anthony Myrvin & Gregorio Impavido & Mr. Bert van Selm
- 2020/033 A Model-based Fiscal Taylor Rule and a Toolkit to Assess the Fiscal Stance
by Jean-Marc Fournier & Philipp Lieberknecht
- 2020/032 Taking Down the Wall: Transition and Inequality
by Mr. Serhan Cevik & Carolina Correa-Caro
- 2020/031 Vietnam's Development Success Story and the Unfinished SDG Agenda
by Ms. Anja Baum
- 2020/030 Competition, Competitiveness and Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa
by Reda Cherif & Sandesh Dhungana & Xiangming Fang & Mr. Jesus R Gonzalez-Garcia & Yuanchen Yang & Mustafa Yenice & Jung Eun Yoon
- 2020/029 Distributional Implications of Labor Market Reforms: Learning from Spain's Experience
by Ara Stepanyan & Jorge Salas
- 2020/028 Cyber Risk Surveillance: A Case Study of Singapore
by Joseph Goh & Mr. Heedon Kang & Zhi Xing Koh & Jin Way Lim & Cheng Wei Ng & Galen Sher & Chris Yao
- 2020/027 Does Child Marriage Matter for Growth?
by Ms. Pritha Mitra & Eric M. Pondi Endengle & Ms. Malika Pant & Luiz F. Almeida
- 2020/026 Monetary Policy Implementation: Operational Issues for Countries with Evolving Monetary Policy Frameworks
by Mr. Nils O Maehle
- 2020/025 Macroeconomic Policy, Product Market Competition, and Growth: The Intangible Investment Channel
by Mr. JaeBin Ahn & Mr. Romain A Duval & Can Sever
- 2020/024 Measuring Output Gap: Is It Worth Your Time?
by Mr. Jiaqian Chen & Lucyna Gornicka
- 2020/023 The Minimum Wage Puzzle in Less Developed Countries: Reconciling Theory and Evidence
by Mr. Christopher S Adam & Mr. Edward F Buffie
- 2020/022 Where Should We Go? Internet Searches and Tourist Arrivals
by Mr. Serhan Cevik
- 2020/021 Riding the Storm: Fiscal Sustainability in the Caribbean
by Mr. Serhan Cevik & Vibha Nanda
- 2020/020 Guyana: Housing Market and Implications for Macroprudential Policies
by Mr. Julian T Chow
- 2020/019 Labor Market Dynamics, Informality and Regulations in Latin America
by Mr. Antonio David & Samuel Pienknagura & Mr. Jorge Roldos
- 2020/018 Productivity Growth and Value Chains in Four European Countries
by Ms. Izabela Karpowicz & Mrs. Nujin Suphaphiphat
- 2020/017 How Big are Fiscal Multipliers in Latin America?
by Jorge Restrepo
- 2020/016 Effectiveness and Equity in Social Spending - The Case of Spain
by Svetlana Vtyurina
- 2020/015 Remittance Concentration and Volatility: Evidence from 72 Developing Countries
by Amr Hosny
- 2020/014 Tech in Fin before FinTech: Blessing or Curse for Financial Stability?
by Mr. Nicola Pierri & Mr. Yannick Timmer
- 2020/013 A Monthly Indicator of Economic Growth for Low Income Countries
by Mr. Michael Stanger
- 2020/012 Exploring the Output Effect of Fiscal Policy Shocks in Low Income Countries
by Mr. Jiro Honda & Hiroaki Miyamoto & Mina Taniguchi
- 2020/011 Predicting Downside Risks to House Prices and Macro-Financial Stability
by Mr. Tobias Adrian & Andrea Deghi & Mitsuru Katagiri & Mr. Sohaib Shahid & Nico Valckx
- 2020/010 One Shock, Many Policy Responses
by Rui Mano & Ms. Silvia Sgherri
- 2020/009 Intervention Under Inflation Targeting--When Could It Make Sense?
by Mr. David J Hofman & Mr. Marcos d Chamon & Mr. Pragyan Deb & Mr. Thomas Harjes & Umang Rawat & Itaru Yamamoto
- 2020/008 Is the Whole Greater than the Sum of its Parts? Strengthening Caribbean Regional Integration
by Abdullah Alhassan & Mary E. Burfisher & Mr. Julian T Chow & Ding Ding & Fabio Di Vittorio & Dmitriy Kovtun & Arnold McIntyre & Ms. Inci Ötker & Marika Santoro & Lulu Shui & Karim Youssef
- 2020/007 How Do Member Countries Receive IMF Policy Advice: Results from a State-of-the-art Sentiment Index
by Ms. Ghada Fayad & Chengyu Huang & Yoko Shibuya & Peng Zhao
- 2020/006 How Should Credit Gaps Be Measured? An Application to European Countries
by Chikako Baba & Mr. Salvatore Dell'Erba & Ms. Enrica Detragiache & Olamide Harrison & Ms. Aiko Mineshima & Anvar Musayev & Asghar Shahmoradi
- 2020/005 The (Subjective) Well-Being Cost of Fiscal Policy Shocks
by Kodjovi M. Eklou & Mamour Fall
- 2020/004 Monetary Policy Is Not Always Systematic and Data-Driven: Evidence from the Yield Curve
by Mr. Aleš Bulíř & Mr. Jan Vlcek
- 2020/003 Natural Disaster Insurance for Sovereigns: Issues, Challenges and Optimality
by Aliona Cebotari & Karim Youssef
- 2020/002 Crime and Output: Theory and Application to the Northern Triangle of Central America
by Dmitry Plotnikov
- 2020/001 Debt Is Not Free
by Ms. Marialuz Moreno Badia & Mr. Paulo A Medas & Pranav Gupta & Yuan Xiang
2019