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Benchmark-Driven Investments in Emerging Market Bond Markets: Taking Stock

Author

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  • Mr. Serkan Arslanalp
  • Dimitris Drakopoulos
  • Rohit Goel
  • Mr. Robin Koepke

Abstract

This paper reviews the role of benchmark-driven investments in EM local bond markets. We provide an overview of how key EM bond benchmark indices are constructed, how they affect the behavior of investment funds, and what are the likely implications for capital flows and policy-making. Several methods are presented suggesting that the amount of assets benchmarked against widely followed EM local-currency bond indices have risen fivefold since the mid-2000s to around $300 billion. Our review suggests that the benefits of index membership may be tempered by portfolio outflow risks for some countries. This is because benchmark-driven investments may increase the importance of external factors at the expense of domestic factors, raising the risks of outflows unrelated to recipient country fundamentals. Some countries may be disproportionately exposed to these risks, reflecting the way the indices are constructed.

Suggested Citation

  • Mr. Serkan Arslanalp & Dimitris Drakopoulos & Rohit Goel & Mr. Robin Koepke, 2020. "Benchmark-Driven Investments in Emerging Market Bond Markets: Taking Stock," IMF Working Papers 2020/192, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2020/192
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Horacio Aguirre & Rodrigo Pérez Ártica, 2022. "Non-bank Financial Intermediation and Capital Flows: Evidence from Emerging Market Economies," Asociación Argentina de Economía Política: Working Papers 4534, Asociación Argentina de Economía Política.
    2. Fernando Eguren Martin & Mark Joy & Claudia Maurini & Alessandro Moro & Valerio Nispi Landi & Alessandro Schiavone & Carlos van Hombeeck, 2020. "Capital flows during the pandemic: lessons for a more resilient international financial architecture," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 589, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    3. Muduli, Silu & Behera, Harendra & Patra, Michael Debabrata, 2022. "Capital Flows at Risk: India’s Experience," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 76(6), pages 73-88.
    4. Cormier, Benjamin & Naqvi, Natalya, 2023. "Delegating discipline: how indexes restructured the political economy of sovereign bond markets," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 117248, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    5. McCully, Tuuli, 2023. "Drivers of portfolio flows into Chinese debt securities amidst China's bond market development," BOFIT Discussion Papers 8/2023, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT).
    6. Mert Onen & Hyun Song Shin & Goetz von Peter, 2023. "Overcoming original sin: insights from a new dataset," BIS Working Papers 1075, Bank for International Settlements.
    7. Bank for International Settlements, 2021. "Changing patterns of capital flows," CGFS Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 66, december.
    8. Antonelli, Stefano & Corneli, Flavia & Ferriani, Fabrizio & Gazzani, Andrea, 2022. "Benchmark effects from the inclusion of Chinese A-shares in the MSCI EM index," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 216(C).
    9. Romero, José Vicente & Vargas, Hernando & Cardozo, Pamela & Murcia, Andrés, 2021. "How foreign participation in the Colombian local public debt market has influenced domestic financial conditions," Latin American Journal of Central Banking (previously Monetaria), Elsevier, vol. 2(4).
    10. Bruno Bonizzi & Annina Kaltenbrunner, 2024. "International financial subordination in the age of asset manager capitalism," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 56(2), pages 603-626, March.
    11. Carlos Alba & Gabriel Cuadra & Juan R. Hernandez & Raul Ibarra, 2024. "Capital flows to emerging economies and global risk aversion during the COVID‐19 pandemic," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(3), pages 2804-2836, July.
    12. Jorge Hernán Toro-Córdoba & Fredy Gamboa-Estrada & Laura Viviana León-Díaz & Martha López & Lucía Arango-Lozano & Diego Alejandro Martínez-Cruz & Luis Fernando Melo-Velandia & Carlos Andrés Quicazán-M, 2023. "Flujos de Capital de Portafolio en Colombia," Revista ESPE - Ensayos sobre Política Económica, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, issue 105, pages 1-103, July.
    13. Ferriani, Fabrizio, 2021. "From taper tantrum to Covid-19: Portfolio flows to emerging markets in periods of stress," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    14. Gamboa-Estrada, Fredy & Sanchez-Jabba, Andres, 2024. "The effects of foreign investor composition on Colombia's sovereign debt flows," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 178(C).
    15. Fredy Gamboa-Estrada & Andrés Sánchez-Jabba, 2022. "The Effects of Foreign Investor Composition on Colombia’s Sovereign Debt Flows," Borradores de Economia 1222, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    16. Guilherme Suedekum, 2023. "Local Currency Sovereign Debt Markets, Global Financial Conditions and the Role of Foreign Investors," IHEID Working Papers 19-2023, Economics Section, The Graduate Institute of International Studies.

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