# Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems

# Working papers

Postal: UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN MADISON, SOCIAL SYSTEMS RESEARCH INSTITUTE(S.S.R.I.), MADISON WISCONSIN 53706 U.S.A.

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### 1991

**9101 Some Theory of Statistical Inference for Nonlinear Science : Expanded Version***by*Brock, W.A.**90-22 Simple Technical Trading Rules And The Stochastic Properties Of Stock Returns***by*Brock, W. & Lakonishok, J. & Lebaron, B.

### 1990

**9034 The Identification problem Under Contaminated Sampling***by*Manski, C.F.**9010 A Coevolutionary Model Of Free Riding Behavior: Replicator Dtnamics As An Explanaton Of The Experimental Results***by*Miller, J.H. & Andreoni, J.**9009 Iras And Household Savings***by*Gale, W.G. & Scholz, J.K.**9008 A Multiple-Object Auction With Superadditive Values***by*Gale, I.**9007 The Dynamic Of Competitive Equilibrium Allocations With Borrowing Constraints***by*Hernandez, A.D.**9006 An Experimental Test Of The Public Goods Crowding-Out Hypothesis***by*Andreoni, J.**9005 Advance-Purchase Discounts And Monopoly Allocation Of Capacity***by*Gale, I.L. & Holmes, T.J.**9004 Severity Of Selection Problem In The Absence Of Prior Information***by*Manski, C.F.**9003 Dynamic Choice In A Social Setting***by*Manski, C.F.**9002 Some Relations Between Volatility And Serial Correlations In Stock Market Returns***by*Lebaron, B.**9001 Semiparametric Estimation Of Selection Models: Some Empirical Results***by*Newey, W.K. & Powell, J.L. & Walker, J.R.**90-33 Semiparametric Estimation Of Censored Selection Models With A Nonparametric Selection Mechanism***by*Ahn, H. & Powell, J.L.**90-32 Auctions With Adaptive Artificially Intelligent Agents***by*Andreoni, J. & Miller, J.H.**90-31 Alternative Estimates Of The Effect Of Family Stucture During Adolescence On Hight School Graduation***by*Manski, C.F. & Sandefur, G.D. & Mclanahan, S. & Powers, D.**90-30 Rationality Alone Does Not Allow Players To Solve All Games***by*Borgers, T. & Samuelson, L.**90-29 Evolutionary Stability In Repeated Games Played By Finite Automata***by*Binmore, K. & Samuelson, L.**90-28 Accident Rates, Labor Effort And The Business Cycle***by*Shea, J.**90-27 Subgame Perfection: An Introduction***by*Samuelson, L.**90-26 Incentives, Insurance And The Variability Of Con Somption And Leisure***by*Phelan, J.C.**90-25 Continuous Reaction Functions In Duopolies***by*Friedman, J.W. & Samuelson, L.**90-24 Evolutionary Stability In Symmetric Games***by*Samuelson, L. & Zhang, J.**90-23 An Economic Analisys Of Charitable Giving With Interdependent Preferences***by*Andreoni, J. & Schols, J.K.**90-21 Price Competition In A Competitively Ruled Cotenancy***by*Gale, I.**90-20 Economic Underdevelopment: The Case Of A Missing Market For Human Capital***by*Ljungqvist, L.**90-19 A Possible Unification Of Some Results On Learning Dynamics In Games***by*Brock, W.A.**90-18 A Rationale For Firms' Exchange Rate Hedging***by*Ljungqvist, L.**90-17 Nonlinear Dynamical Systems Instability And Chaos In Economics***by*Brock, W.A. & Dechert, W.D.**90-16 Learning And The Value Of The Firm***by*Kiyotaki, N.**90-15 Search For A Theory Of Money***by*Kiyotaki, N. & Wright, R.**90-14 Dominated Strategies And Common Knowledge***by*Samuelson, L.**90-13 Extensive Form Reasoning In Normal Form Games***by*Mailath, G.J. & Samuelson, L. & Swinkels, J.**90-12 The Selection Problem***by*Manski, C.F.**90-11 The Efficiency Of Advance-Purshase Discounts In The Presence Of Inflexible Prices***by*Gale, I.L. & Holmes, T.J.

### 1989

**8918 Alternative Estimators For Factor Garch Models - A Monte Carlo Comparison***by*Lin, W-L.**8917 Regression***by*Manski, C.F.**8916 Traditional Capital In The Process Of Modernization***by*Berkowitz, D.**8912 Biconvergent Recursive Utility And Dynamic Programming: Tow Special Cases Using Arbitrary Action Spaces***by*Streufert, P.A.**8911 Biconvergent Recursive Utility And Dynamic Programming : General Theory For Arbitrary Action Spaces***by*Streufert, P.A.**8910 On The Optimality Of Temporary Labor Surplus Regimes: A Perestroika Turnpike***by*Berkowitz, D.**8909 Nonparametric Bounds On Treatment Effects***by*Manski, C.F.**8908 Reasonable Doubt And The Optimal Magnitude Of Fines: Should The Penalty Fit The Crime***by*Andreoni, J.**8907 Irs As Loan Shark: Tax Compliance When Borrowing Constraints Are Possible***by*Andreoni, J.**8906 Price Floors: A Welfare Analysis In A Model Of Dominant- Firm Pricing***by*Holmes, T.J.**8905 The Use Of Intentions Data To Predict Behaviour : A Best- Case Analysis***by*Manski, C.F.**8904 Industry Evolution With Sunk Costs And Uncertian Market Conditions***by*Lambson, V.E.**8903 Sovereign Debt Repurchases: No Cure For Overhang***by*Bulow, J. & Rogof, K.**8902 Insufficient Human Capital Accumulation Resulting In Dual Economy Caught In A Poverty Trap***by*Ljungqvist, L.**8901 The Desirability Of Permanant Tax Amnesty***by*Andreoni, J.**374 Economic And Mechanical Models Of Intergenerational Transmission***by*Goldberger, A.S.**372 The Logic Model And Response-Based Samples***by*Xie, Y. & Manski, C.F.**367 Estimation Of Best Predictors Of Benary Response***by*Manski, C.F. & Thompson, S.T.

### 1988

**8827 A Theory Of Enterpreneurship And Its Application To The Study Of Business Transfers***by*Holmes, T.J. & Schmitz, J.A.**8826 The Effects On Banking Structure And Interregional Funds Flows Of An Increasing Minimum Primary Capital Requirement***by*Hester, D.D.**8825 Fiat Money In Search Equilibrium***by*Kiyotaki, N. & Wright, R.**8823 Capacity Auctions***by*Gale, I.**8822 Entry, Exit, And Competitive Profits In The Long Run***by*Lambson, V.E.**8821 One-Good Concave Dynamic Optimization***by*Streufert, P.A.**8820 Financial Capacity, Reliquification, And Production In An Economy With Long-Tem Financial Arrangements***by*Gertler, M.**8819 Banking Market Imperfections And Interregional Flows In Italy***by*Hester, D.D. & Sdogati, F.**8818 Estimation Of Monotonic Regression Models Under Quantile Restrictions***by*Powell, J.L.**8817 The Theory Of Statistical Inference For Nonlinear Science: Gauge Functions, Complexity Measures, And Instability Measures***by*Brock, W.A. & Baek, E.G.**8816 A Nonparametric Test For Temporal Dependence In A Vector Of Time Series***by*Baek, E.G. & Brock, W.A.**8815 Hicksian Nonlinearity***by*Brock, W.A.**8814 Stationary Dynamic Programming Without Contraction Mappings***by*Streufert, P.A.**8813 Sovereign Debt: Is To Forgive To Forget?***by*Bulow, J. & Rogoff, K.**8812 A Characterization Of Independence Fo A Gaussian Process In Terms Of The Correlation Integral***by*Dechert, W.D.**8811 The Logit Model And Response-Based Samples***by*Xie, Y. & Manski, C.F.**375 Why Free Ride? Strategies And Learning In Public Goods Experiments***by*Andereoni, J.**369 Aggregate Efficiency, Market Demand, And The Substainability Of Collusion***by*Lambson, V.E.**368 Was It Real? The Exchange Rate-Interest Differential Ralation Over The Modern Floating-Rate Period***by*Meese, R. & Rogoff, K.**366 Theorems On Distinguishing Deterministic Form Random Systems***by*Brock, W.A. & Dechert, W.D.**363 Ordinal Utility Models Of Decision Making Under Uncertainty***by*Manski, C.F.**362 Changes In Cohort Wealth Over A Generation***by*David, M.H. & Menchik, P.L.**360 Nonlinearity And Complex Dynamics In Economics And Finance***by*Brock, W.A.